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Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga 10.05.2026 · 13:30 Volksparkstadion Referee: Timo Gerach, Germany
Hamburger SV emblem
Hamburger SV
W
L
L
L
D
vs
– : –
10 May · 13:30
SC Freiburg emblem
SC Freiburg
D
L
L
L
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.88

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Hamburger SV
45%
Draw
45%
SC Freiburg

Form Comparison

■ Hamburger SV ■ SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
36%
Form
64%
45%
Att
55%
45%
Def
55%
65%
Poisson distribution
35%
20%
H2h
80%
32%
Goals
68%
41%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.01.2026
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
2 — 1
30.10.2024
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
2 — 1
13.01.2023
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
6 — 2
19.04.2022
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
1 — 3
21.04.2018
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
1 — 0
01.12.2017
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
0 — 0
18.02.2017
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
2 — 2
20.09.2016
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
1 — 0
08.05.2015
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
1 — 1
13.12.2014
SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV
0 — 0

Last Matches

Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
02.05.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
2 — 1
25.04.2026
Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1 — 2
18.04.2026
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
1 — 3
12.04.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV
0 — 4
04.04.2026
Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Bundesliga season approaches its culmination, the clash between Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg at the Volksparkstadion on May 10, 2026, promises to be a pivotal encounter. Hamburger SV finds themselves precariously hovering above the relegation zone, while SC Freiburg is vying for a spot in European competitions. Both teams are eager to secure maximum points, setting the stage for a thrilling showdown.

Hamburger SV's Battle for Survival

Hamburger SV's recent form has been a cause for concern as they come into this fixture without a win in their last five matches. Their recent outings have seen them concede an average of 2.60 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Despite their struggles, there have been glimpses of attacking promise, with the team managing to net an average of 1.00 goal per match. At home, however, their scoring rate dips to 0.80, with the defense allowing 1.40 goals on average. The absence of injuries or suspensions is a silver lining for Hamburger SV, giving them a full squad to choose from as they aim to turn their fortunes around.

SC Freiburg's European Aspirations

SC Freiburg arrives at the Volksparkstadion with aspirations of climbing higher in the league standings. Their recent performances have been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. On the road, Freiburg has been somewhat inconsistent, but they have shown they can score goals, averaging 1.20 goals per game away from home. Defensively, they have conceded 1.80 goals on average in away matches, which they will need to tighten up against a determined Hamburger SV side. Freiburg's squad is free from injuries and suspensions, offering them the stability needed to push for a strong finish to the season.

Prediction: Goals Likely in an Open Contest

Given both teams' recent form and defensive records, this matchup is likely to see goals at both ends. Hamburger SV's home struggles and Freiburg's inconsistency on the road suggest an open contest. Notably, in their last five head-to-head encounters, SC Freiburg has emerged victorious four times, a fact that weighs heavily in their favor. The most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," due to the defensive frailties both sides have exhibited and their ability to find the net. With a Confidence Score of 8, this prediction reflects the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. Additional betting opportunities include "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5," with both teams expected to contribute to the scoreline.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, and with their ability to score, this match is likely to see goals from both sides.

2.88
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
70%
1X
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
Pin-UP
W12.66
X3.55
W22.42
William Hill
W12.62
X3.50
W22.40
Bet365
W12.70
X3.40
W22.45
Marathonbet
W12.78
X3.72
W22.48
Unibet
W12.80
X3.50
W22.40
Betfair
W12.75
X3.60
W22.30
BetVictor
W12.63
X3.40
W22.38
Pinnacle
W12.75
X3.78
W22.43
SBO
W12.63
X3.23
W22.27
1xBet
W12.82
X3.78
W22.52
Betano
W12.72
X3.65
W22.45
Dafabet
W12.70
X3.55
W22.42

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
32 26 5 1 83
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
32 20 7 5 67
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
32 19 5 8 62
4
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
32 17 7 8 58
5
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
32 17 7 8 58
6
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
32 17 7 8 58
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg ★
32 12 8 12 44
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
32 11 10 11 43
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
32 11 7 14 40
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
32 9 10 13 37
11
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
32 8 11 13 35
12
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV ★
32 8 10 14 34
13
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
32 8 9 15 33
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
32 7 11 14 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
32 8 8 16 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
32 6 8 18 26
17
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli
32 6 8 18 26
18
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
32 5 8 19 23
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