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RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga 09.05.2026 · 13:30 Red Bull Arena Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
RB Leipzig emblem
RB Leipzig
L
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
09 May · 13:30
FC St. Pauli emblem
FC St. Pauli
L
L
D
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.35

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
RB Leipzig
50%
Draw
0%
FC St. Pauli

Form Comparison

■ RB Leipzig ■ FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
86%
Form
14%
77%
Att
23%
61%
Def
39%
80%
Poisson distribution
20%
62%
H2h
38%
64%
Goals
36%
72%
Total
28%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
27.01.2026
FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
1 — 1
09.02.2025
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
2 — 0
29.10.2024
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
4 — 2
22.09.2024
FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
0 — 0
12.02.2016
FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
1 — 0
23.08.2015
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
0 — 1
03.05.2015
FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
1 — 0
23.11.2014
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
4 — 1

Last Matches

RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
02.05.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
1 — 4
24.04.2026
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin
3 — 1
18.04.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
3 — 1
11.04.2026
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 — 0
04.04.2026
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

As the Bundesliga season nears its conclusion, RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli prepare to clash at the Red Bull Arena on May 9th. Both teams find themselves in contrasting positions on the league table, with Leipzig vying to secure a top finish, while St. Pauli battles to escape the relegation zone. This match promises to be a compelling encounter with significant implications for both sides.

RB Leipzig: In Fine Form

Currently sitting in third place, RB Leipzig has been in scintillating form, particularly at home. Their recent performances have been nothing short of impressive, with four wins and a draw in their last five home matches. Averaging 2.60 goals scored per game at the Red Bull Arena, Leipzig's attacking prowess is evident. Furthermore, their defense has been solid, conceding an average of just 0.80 goals per home game. Without any injuries or suspensions to contend with, Leipzig is poised to field a full-strength squad, further bolstering their chances against St. Pauli.

FC St. Pauli: Fighting for Survival

FC St. Pauli, on the other hand, finds itself mired in the relegation zone, positioned 16th on the league table. Their recent form hasn't inspired confidence, with just one win in their last five encounters. Away from home, they have struggled, managing only one win in their last five outings. With a meager average of 0.40 goals scored per away game, their attack has been noticeably blunt. Additionally, with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions, St. Pauli will need to muster all their resources to stand a chance against the high-flying Leipzig.

Prediction: Goals Galore

Given the recent form and statistical trends, a high-scoring game seems likely. RB Leipzig's ability to score freely, coupled with FC St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests an encounter with multiple goals. The prediction leans towards a match with over 2.5 goals, considering Leipzig's average of 2.80 goals scored in their last five matches and St. Pauli's tendency to concede, averaging 2.20 goals against them over the same period. This makes the "Total:Over: 2.5" market a compelling choice, with a high probability of success. Additionally, while Leipzig is expected to dominate, St. Pauli will be eager to exploit any lapses, potentially contributing to the goal tally.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

RB Leipzig's strong scoring form and FC St. Pauli's defensive struggles suggest a high-scoring game.

4.35
Odds
Win 1
75%
Total:Over: 3.0
65%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
Pin-UP
W11.40
X4.90
W26.75
William Hill
W11.40
X4.80
W26.50
Bet365
W11.38
X4.50
W27.50
Marathonbet
W11.39
X5.40
W27.90
Unibet
W11.40
X4.70
W27.50
Betfair
W11.36
X4.75
W27.00
BetVictor
W11.33
X4.80
W27.00
Pinnacle
W11.38
X5.47
W27.58
SBO
W11.34
X4.49
W26.47
1xBet
W11.41
X5.48
W28.00
Betano
W11.39
X5.10
W27.40
Dafabet
W11.39
X5.00
W27.00

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
32 26 5 1 83
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
32 20 7 5 67
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig ★
32 19 5 8 62
4
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
32 17 7 8 58
5
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
32 17 7 8 58
6
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
32 17 7 8 58
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
32 12 8 12 44
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
32 11 10 11 43
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
32 11 7 14 40
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
32 9 10 13 37
11
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
32 8 11 13 35
12
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
32 8 10 14 34
13
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
32 8 9 15 33
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
32 7 11 14 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
32 8 8 16 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
32 6 8 18 26
17
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli ★
32 6 8 18 26
18
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
32 5 8 19 23
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