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Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 17.10.2026 · 09:30 An der Alten Försterei Referee: Daniel Schlager
Union Berlin emblem
Union Berlin
W
W
L
L
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 09:30
Borussia Dortmund emblem
Borussia Dortmund
L
D
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
19%
Union Berlin
22%
Draw
59%
Borussia Dortmund

Form Comparison

■ Union Berlin ■ Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
24%
Form
76%
31%
Att
69%
19%
Def
81%
21%
Poisson distribution
79%
20%
H2h
80%
12%
Goals
88%
21%
Total
79%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.01.2026
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 3
31.08.2025
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin
3 — 0
22.02.2025
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin
6 — 0
05.10.2024
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 1
02.03.2024
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 2
07.10.2023
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin
4 — 2
08.04.2023
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin
2 — 1
16.10.2022
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 0
13.02.2022
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 3
19.09.2021
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin
4 — 2

Last Matches

Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
10.10.2026
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg
1 — 0
26.09.2026
HNK Rijeka vs Union Berlin
1 — 0
18.09.2026
Bayern München vs Union Berlin
0 — 7
11.09.2026
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
1 — 3
05.09.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
0 — 4
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Union Berlin
A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, E. Latte Lath, J. Juranovic, S. Nsoki
Borussia Dortmund
E. Can, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma

Union Berlin are set to face Borussia Dortmund in a highly anticipated Bundesliga clash on October 17, 2026. While Union Berlin have struggled this season, Borussia Dortmund have been in scintillating form, topping the league table after four matches.

Union Berlin's Struggles in the Bundesliga

Union Berlin find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the Bundesliga with just one point from their opening four matches. Their recent form highlights their struggles, having conceded a staggering 14 goals while scoring only 4 in their last five matches. Their solitary point came from a 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, which was a rare bright spot in their campaign. Last season, Union finished 11th, but their current form places them in the relegation zone, raising concerns about their defensive vulnerabilities.

Borussia Dortmund's Dominant Start

Borussia Dortmund have enjoyed a perfect start to their Bundesliga campaign, leading the table with 12 points. Their attacking prowess has been on full display, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 4 in their last five outings. Notably, Dortmund's away form has been impeccable, having won all their recent away matches convincingly. Building on last season’s second-place finish, Dortmund have demonstrated their championship credentials early on and will be eager to continue their unbeaten run against Union Berlin.

Match Prediction: Dortmund to Continue Winning Streak

In this upcoming encounter between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, our prediction favors an away win for Dortmund (2). Dortmund's impressive form and Union's defensive frailties bolster this prediction. With Dortmund's excellent away record and Union's struggles both defensively and in terms of league position, the probability of Dortmund securing a victory is high.

Additional predictions for the match include: Total Team 2: Over 1.5, Borussia Dortmund to score at least two goals given their recent scoring spree; Both Teams to Score: Yes, as Union Berlin have shown some scoring capability despite their defensive issues; Total: Over 2.5, considering both teams' recent goal-scoring trends; and Total Team 1: Under 1.5, reflecting Union Berlin's difficulties in finding the net consistently. These outcomes align with the current form and statistical evidence available for both teams.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
80%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Dafabet

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
5 4 1 0 13
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund ★
5 4 1 0 13
3
Bayern München logoBayern München
5 3 2 0 11
4
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
5 3 1 1 10
5
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
5 3 0 2 9
6
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
5 2 2 1 8
7
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
5 2 2 1 8
8
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
5 2 1 2 7
9
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
5 2 1 2 7
10
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
5 2 1 2 7
11
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
5 2 0 3 6
12
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
5 2 0 3 6
13
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04
5 1 2 2 5
14
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
5 1 2 2 5
15
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
5 1 1 3 4
16
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin ★
5 1 1 3 4
17
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
5 1 0 4 3
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
5 0 0 5 0
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