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Canadian Premier League

Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction

Canadian Premier League 17.05.2026 · 13:00 TD Place Stadium Referee: R. Villanueva
Atlético Ottawa emblem
Atlético Ottawa
W
W
L
D
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 13:00
HFX Wanderers FC emblem
HFX Wanderers FC
L
L
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
42%
Atlético Ottawa
27%
Draw
31%
HFX Wanderers FC

Form Comparison

■ Atlético Ottawa ■ HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
44%
Form
56%
36%
Att
64%
47%
Def
53%
51%
Poisson distribution
49%
62%
H2h
38%
55%
Goals
45%
49%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.10.2025
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
0 — 1
18.07.2025
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 0
24.05.2025
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
2 — 0
05.04.2025
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 2
29.09.2024
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
1 — 1
24.08.2024
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 1
02.06.2024
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
2 — 2
27.04.2024
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 3
18.09.2023
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 2

Last Matches

Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
17.05.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
1 — 0
05.05.2026
Toronto FC vs Atlético Ottawa
3 — 1
01.05.2026
York United vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 4
26.04.2026
Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
1 — 1
19.04.2026
Supra du Quebec vs Atlético Ottawa
1 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Atlético Ottawa comes into this match with a mixed bag of results, having lost 3-1 to Vancouver FC in their latest outing. Despite sitting fourth in the league, their defensive frailties have been apparent, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per game over their last five matches. Their opponents, HFX Wanderers FC, are just one spot below in fifth place, and likewise, have also struggled defensively, allowing an average of 1.60 goals in the same span. Both teams face off at TD Place Stadium with no injury or suspension concerns affecting their lineups.

Atlético Ottawa has been distinctly better at home, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game compared to their away form. They have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five home matches. In contrast, HFX Wanderers FC has found it challenging on their travels, averaging just 0.60 goals and one win from their last five away games. Historically, Atlético has gotten the better of HFX, winning four of their last five head-to-head encounters, including a 3-1 victory in their most recent meeting.

The numbers suggest a high-scoring affair might be on the cards. Atlético Ottawa has scored an average of 1.20 goals in their last five matches, while HFX Wanderers FC matches this average. However, the disparity in goals conceded is noteworthy, as Ottawa has leaked 2.40 goals per game, compared to HFX's 1.60. The head-to-head data underscores Atlético's dominance, with four wins to HFX's one, and no draws. At home, Ottawa has been prolific, but their defensive record of conceding two goals per game could provide HFX a glimmer of hope.

The prediction for this clash leans towards a game with multiple goals. Given the recent form and head-to-head history, the Total:Over: 2.5 market holds significant promise. Atlético Ottawa's attacking prowess at home, paired with HFX Wanderers' defensive vulnerabilities on the road, suggests a high likelihood of surpassing this goal mark. The confidence score for this prediction is 8 out of 10. Additional betting opportunities include a home win, based on Ottawa's superior head-to-head record and home performance, with a probability of 65%. Similarly, Total Team 1 Over: 1.5, given Ottawa's average home scoring, is rated at 70%. Additionally, Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 is plausible, given HFX's low away scoring rate, at 75%. Finally, a Total:Over: 3.0 is also justifiable, with a probability of 55%, reflecting the potential for an open and high-scoring encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%
Total:Over: 3.0
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Betfair

Canadian Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cavalry FC logoCavalry FC
27 17 6 4 57
2
Forge logoForge
27 17 6 4 57
3
Atlético Ottawa logoAtlético Ottawa ★
27 13 4 10 43
4
Vancouver FC logoVancouver FC
27 10 7 10 37
5
Supra du Quebec logoSupra du Quebec
27 10 5 12 35
6
HFX Wanderers FC logoHFX Wanderers FC ★
27 7 7 13 28
7
York United logoYork United
27 6 9 12 27
8
Pacific FC logoPacific FC
27 2 8 17 14
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