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Primera División

Concepción VS A. Italiano: Final Score & Prediction

Primera División 04.09.2026 · 20:30 Estadio Ester Roa Referee: Nicolas Millas, Chile
Concepción emblem
Concepción
W
D
W
W
W
Full Time
0 – 1
HT 0:1
04 Sep · 20:30
A. Italiano emblem
A. Italiano
L
D
D
D
W

Match Stats

Concepción 0:1 A. Italiano
67%
Ball Possession
33%
21
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
13
Shots off Target
3
2
Blocked Shots
4
15
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Shots Outside Box
7
9
Corners
2
2
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
478
Total Passes
245
380
Accurate Passes
163

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
17'
César PinaresGoal · Diego Coelho
Fernando MartinezSubstitution · Joaquín Montecinos
45'
Nicolas FuentesSubstitution · Aldrix Jara
45'
45'
Federico MateosSubstitution · Marco Collao Ramos
Jorge HenríquezSubstitution · Fernando Romero
56'
64'
Paolo GuajardoSubstitution · Mario Eduardo Sandoval
68'
Mario Eduardo SandovalYellow Card
Ethan EspinozaSubstitution · Carlos Escobar
69'
Y. RodríguezSubstitution · Misael Dávila
69'
Fausto GrilloRed Card
74'
Joaquín MontecinosYellow Card
76'
77'
Franco TroyanskyYellow Card
84'
Franco TroyanskySubstitution · Marcelo Ortíz
90+3'
Diego CoelhoSubstitution · Damian Pizarro
Aldrix JaraYellow Card
90+5'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
46%
Concepción
27%
Draw
27%
A. Italiano

Form Comparison

■ Concepción ■ A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
68%
Form
32%
62%
Att
38%
89%
Def
11%
75%
Poisson distribution
25%
13%
H2h
88%
17%
Goals
83%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.03.2026
A. Italiano vs Concepción
3 — 0
07.05.2025
A. Italiano vs Concepción
2 — 1
06.04.2025
Concepción vs A. Italiano
0 — 0

Last Matches

Concepción
A. Italiano
29.08.2026
Nublense vs Concepción
1 — 0
23.08.2026
Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido
1 — 1
16.08.2026
Cobresal vs Concepción
2 — 0
09.08.2026
Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion
1 — 0
02.08.2026
Concepción vs U. Catolica
3 — 0
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

Concepción's recent form has been formidable, with the team remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.20. This run includes four consecutive home wins, highlighting their dominance at Estadio Ester Roa. In stark contrast, A. Italiano has struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last five outings and an average of 1.00 goal scored per game. Despite their lower league position, A. Italiano's away form shows promise, with three wins in their last five away fixtures.

Concepción's home prowess is evident in their ability to keep clean sheets, having conceded only once in their last five home games. A. Italiano, however, has shown resilience on the road, conceding just 0.80 goals per match away from home. The head-to-head record between these sides favors A. Italiano, who have won two of the last three encounters, including a commanding 3-0 victory in their most recent meeting. Concepción will aim to overturn this trend and maintain their impeccable home form.

In terms of prediction, Concepción's home advantage and recent performances suggest they are likely to control the match. However, A. Italiano's ability to secure results away from home cannot be ignored. Given Concepción's defensive solidity and A. Italiano's recent tendency for draws, a draw could be a viable outcome. The main betting prediction is for a draw (X), supported by Concepción's single home draw in their last five games and A. Italiano's three draws in their last five matches overall, giving this scenario a strong statistical basis. Confidence in this outcome is moderate, with a score of 7 out of 10. Additionally, the odds of both teams scoring appear high, given their respective scoring records, while a low-scoring affair aligns with their defensive statistics.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
1X
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Concepción vs A. Italiano
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
Dafabet

Primera División Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Colo Colo logoColo Colo
22 17 2 3 53
2
U. Catolica logoU. Catolica
22 12 3 7 39
3
Universidad de Chile logoUniversidad de Chile
22 11 6 5 39
4
Palestino logoPalestino
22 11 3 8 36
5
Everton de Vina logoEverton de Vina
22 9 6 7 33
6
Deportes Limache logoDeportes Limache
22 10 3 9 33
7
Nublense logoNublense
22 8 8 6 32
8
D. La Serena logoD. La Serena
22 7 9 6 30
9
Concepción logoConcepción ★
22 9 3 10 30
10
Coquimbo Unido logoCoquimbo Unido
21 8 5 8 29
11
O'Higgins logoO'Higgins
22 8 3 11 27
12
A. Italiano logoA. Italiano ★
22 6 7 9 25
13
Huachipato logoHuachipato
21 7 4 10 25
14
Universidad de Concepcion logoUniversidad de Concepcion
22 6 4 12 22
15
Cobresal logoCobresal
22 6 3 13 21
16
Union La Calera logoUnion La Calera
22 3 5 14 14
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