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Primera División

Nublense VS Union La Calera: Final Score & Prediction

Primera División 16.08.2026 · 12:30 Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas Referee: J. Lara
Nublense emblem
Nublense
D
W
W
L
W
Full Time
2 – 1
HT 2:0
16 Aug · 12:30
Union La Calera emblem
Union La Calera
L
W
L
D
W

Match Stats

Nublense 2:1 Union La Calera
50%
Ball Possession
50%
15
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots Inside Box
5
10
Shots Outside Box
5
10
Corners
2
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
392
Total Passes
401
304
Accurate Passes
309
78%
Pass Accuracy
77%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
S. ValenciaGoal · M. Plaza
22'
40'
D. GutierrezYellow Card
S. ValenciaGoal · M. Rivera
44'
46'
C. VillanuevaSubstitution · B. Oyarzo Munoz
47'
B. FerreyraYellow Card
64'
B. FerreyraSubstitution · F. Pozzo
64'
C. MoyaSubstitution · Y. Leiva
L. Molina CantoSubstitution · I. Tapia
65'
G. GracianiSubstitution · E. Calderon
65'
77'
C. DiazGoal · K. Mendez
78'
Y. W. Andia LeonSubstitution · J. Cruz
I. TapiaSubstitution · I. Jeraldino
80'
85'
D. GutierrezSubstitution · C. Gutierrez
D. SanhuezaSubstitution · F. Campos Mosqueira
87'
M. RiveraSubstitution · D. Cespedes
87'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
52%
Nublense
27%
Draw
21%
Union La Calera

Form Comparison

■ Nublense ■ Union La Calera
Nublense
Union La Calera
75%
Form
25%
69%
Att
31%
60%
Def
40%
76%
Poisson distribution
24%
29%
H2h
71%
30%
Goals
70%
57%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
20.02.2026
Union La Calera vs Nublense
0 — 1
26.10.2025
Union La Calera vs Nublense
3 — 0
04.05.2025
Nublense vs Union La Calera
1 — 1
29.09.2024
Nublense vs Union La Calera
0 — 1
05.05.2024
Union La Calera vs Nublense
2 — 1
15.08.2023
Nublense vs Union La Calera
1 — 1
26.02.2023
Union La Calera vs Nublense
1 — 1
10.07.2022
Union La Calera vs Nublense
2 — 2
15.03.2022
Union La Calera vs Nublense
2 — 1
08.03.2022
Nublense vs Union La Calera
0 — 0

Last Matches

Nublense
Union La Calera
10.08.2026
A. Italiano vs Nublense
2 — 2
04.08.2026
Nublense vs Rangers de Talca
1 — 0
26.07.2026
Nublense vs Palestino
2 — 0
12.07.2026
O'Higgins vs Nublense
0 — 1
09.07.2026
Nublense vs O'Higgins
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Nublense's recent home form has been formidable, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. In contrast, Union La Calera occupies the 16th position in the league and has struggled in their last five fixtures, scoring an average of 1.20 goals but also conceding 1.20 per match. Nublense's strong home record could be the deciding factor as they face a Union La Calera side grappling with consistency.

Both teams exhibit contrasting trends entering this match. Nublense has demonstrated resilience and efficiency, especially at home, where they have remained unbeaten in their last five encounters. Their ability to score, coupled with a solid defense, has seen them outperform many opponents. Union La Calera, though managing to secure two away wins in their last five, has been erratic, with a notable 4-0 defeat to Cobresal highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Their inability to convert home advantage into victories further compounds their challenges, emphasizing the uphill battle they face against a well-drilled Nublense side.

Analyzing key numbers from their recent performances reveals distinct patterns. Nublense has scored an average of 1.00 goals per match in their last five outings, yet their defense stands out, conceding only 0.40 goals per game. Conversely, Union La Calera has been more prolific in attack with an average of 1.20 goals but has been let down by their defense, which concedes the same number of goals per game. The head-to-head record also leans slightly in Union La Calera’s favor with three wins to Nublense's one out of their last five encounters. However, Nublense's recent form suggests they might be better poised to challenge that record. Both teams have fared similarly away from home, each with two wins and one draw in their last five away matches, but Nublense's superior home form could tilt the scale in their favor this time.

In terms of prediction, the dynamic at play suggests that Nublense is likely to capitalize on their home advantage. Given Union La Calera's struggles against higher-placed teams and Nublense's defensive solidity, a draw seems less likely. The most probable outcome could be a Nublense victory, considering their recent performances and the statistical trends. Therefore, the betting focus might lean towards a Nublense win, supported by their recent home record and Union La Calera's inconsistent form. Additionally, given Nublense's defensive strength and Union La Calera's scoring ability, the match is expected to see limited goals, though not necessarily a high-scoring affair. The head-to-head history might suggest otherwise, but current form indicates a different trajectory.

The main betting event centers on a "Win 1" prediction for Nublense. This is backed by their unbeaten home streak and Union La Calera's inconsistent form. With a confidence score of 8, Nublense's home prowess provides a solid foundation for this prediction.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
X2
45%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nublense vs Union La Calera
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Primera División Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Colo Colo logoColo Colo
20 16 1 3 49
2
Universidad de Chile logoUniversidad de Chile
20 10 6 4 36
3
Nublense logoNublense ★
19 8 8 3 32
4
U. Catolica logoU. Catolica
19 9 3 7 30
5
Palestino logoPalestino
19 9 3 7 30
6
Deportes Limache logoDeportes Limache
19 8 3 8 27
7
Everton de Vina logoEverton de Vina
19 7 6 6 27
8
Concepción logoConcepción
20 8 3 9 27
9
Coquimbo Unido logoCoquimbo Unido
18 7 5 6 26
10
D. La Serena logoD. La Serena
20 5 9 6 24
11
O'Higgins logoO'Higgins
19 7 3 9 24
12
Huachipato logoHuachipato
20 7 3 10 24
13
A. Italiano logoA. Italiano
20 5 7 8 22
14
Universidad de Concepcion logoUniversidad de Concepcion
18 5 4 9 19
15
Cobresal logoCobresal
20 5 3 12 18
16
Union La Calera logoUnion La Calera ★
20 3 5 12 14
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