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Copa Libertadores

Corinthians VS Estudiantes L.P.: Final Score & Prediction

Copa Libertadores 16.09.2026 · 20:30 Neo Quimica Arena Referee: Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
L
D
L
L
L
Full Time
0 – 1
HT 0:0
16 Sep · 20:30
Estudiantes L.P. emblem
Estudiantes L.P.
W
D
L
D
W

Match Stats

Corinthians 0:1 Estudiantes L.P.
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
0
3
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Shots Outside Box
2
3
Corners
4
3
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
22
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
469
Total Passes
356
386
Accurate Passes
279

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Breno BidonYellow Card
4'
41'
Tiago Tomas PalaciosYellow Card
45'
Leandro Gonzalez PirezYellow Card
64'
Joaquín CorreaSubstitution · Fabricio Pérez
André CarrilloSubstitution · André
69'
76'
Baltasar Gallego RodriguezSubstitution · Gabriel Neves
76'
Joaquín Tobio BurgosSubstitution · Edwuin Cetre
87'
Alexis CastroGoal · Tiago Tomas Palacios
AllanSubstitution · Gui Negão
90+1'
Gabriel PaulistaSubstitution · Pedro Raul
90+1'
Breno BidonSubstitution · Jesse Lingard
90+1'
90+1'
Eros Nazareno MancusoSubstitution · Eric Meza
90+1'
Fabricio PérezSubstitution · Ramiro Funes Mori
Rodrigo GarroYellow Card
90+7'
Memphis DepayPenalty Missed
90+11'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
48%
Corinthians
31%
Draw
21%
Estudiantes L.P.

Form Comparison

■ Corinthians ■ Estudiantes L.P.
Corinthians
Estudiantes L.P.
43%
Form
57%
33%
Att
67%
43%
Def
57%
50%
Poisson distribution
50%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
45%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.09.2026
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1 — 1
29.08.2023
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1 — 0
22.08.2023
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
1 — 0

Last Matches

Corinthians
Estudiantes L.P.
13.09.2026
Flamengo vs Corinthians
1 — 2
09.09.2026
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1 — 1
06.09.2026
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc
1 — 2
30.08.2026
Corinthians vs Santos
0 — 1
23.08.2026
Coritiba vs Corinthians
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

Corinthians have struggled for form recently, with a concerning record of just one win in their last five matches. Their offense has been particularly underwhelming, averaging only 0.80 goals per game. Estudiantes L.P., on the other hand, have shown more promise, sitting second in their league and averaging 1.20 goals per match in the same period.

Form and Context

Corinthians' recent form is alarming as they have managed only one victory in their last five outings, losing the other four. This poor run includes a mix of home and away matches, with the team particularly struggling at home where they have lost three out of their last five. Estudiantes L.P., in contrast, have had a mixed run with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. While their away form leaves much to be desired, with just one win in five, their overall performance has been more steady compared to Corinthians. Both teams have no injury or suspension concerns going into this match, which means they can field their strongest line-ups.

Key Numbers

Digging into the numbers, Corinthians have scored and conceded an average of 0.80 and 1.40 goals per game respectively over their last five matches. At home, they have a slightly better record, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.20. Estudiantes L.P., meanwhile, have conceded fewer goals per match on average (0.80) than Corinthians but have also experienced difficulties on the road, scoring only 0.60 goals per game. In head-to-head encounters, Corinthians have historically had the upper hand, winning two of their previous meetings, with Estudiantes L.P. yet to secure a victory against them in this competition.

Prediction

Given the current trends, the most likely event is for Estudiantes L.P. to maintain their defensive solidity against a struggling Corinthians side. The prediction here points towards a scenario where Estudiantes L.P. manage to avoid defeat, making the "X2" market a compelling option. Corinthians' inability to capitalize on home advantage and their low goal-scoring rate make them vulnerable. With a confidence score of 8, Estudiantes L.P.'s stronger league position and recent form suggest they are unlikely to leave empty-handed. Additional predictions include a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent goal averages, with probabilities assigned accordingly.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0
70%
X
50%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
Handicap 2: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
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