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Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras VS Cerro Porteno: Final Score & Prediction

Copa Libertadores 12.08.2026 · 18:00 Nubank Parque Referee: Y. Perez
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
D
L
W
W
L
Full Time
1 – 1
HT 0:0
12 Aug · 18:00
Cerro Porteno emblem
Cerro Porteno
L
W
L
L
W

Match Stats

Palmeiras 1:1 Cerro Porteno
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.55
Expected Goals (xG)
0.25
21
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
1
11
Shots off Target
4
3
Blocked Shots
3
13
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Shots Outside Box
5
7
Corners
2
6
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
378
Total Passes
248
311
Accurate Passes
168
82%
Pass Accuracy
68%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
40'
F. DominguezYellow Card
49'
M. ChaparroYellow Card
53'
C. DominguezSubstitution · J. Torres
57'
A. D. Canete TorresYellow Card
62'
M. ChaparroSubstitution · A. G. Benitez
62'
A. GamarraSubstitution · M. Klimowicz
E. MartinezSubstitution · Arthur Gabriel
68'
Andreas PereiraRed Card
73'
J. AriasSubstitution · R. Sosa
80'
Vitor RoqueSubstitution · Lucas Evangelista
80'
Allan EliasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
80'
J. LopezGoal · Marlon Freitas
82'
86'
J. MorelYellow Card
J. LopezSubstitution · G. Gomez
87'
89'
F. DominguezSubstitution · I. Aliseda
90+3'
Carlos MiguelOwn Goal
90+6'
C. BobadillaYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
71%
Palmeiras
18%
Draw
11%
Cerro Porteno

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
43%
Form
57%
60%
Att
40%
20%
Def
80%
39%
Poisson distribution
61%
71%
H2h
29%
78%
Goals
22%
52%
Total
48%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
20.05.2026
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
0 — 1
29.04.2026
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
07.05.2025
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0 — 2
09.04.2025
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
1 — 0
24.05.2023
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0 — 3
20.04.2023
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
2 — 1
06.07.2022
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
5 — 0
29.06.2022
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0 — 3

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
09.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Internacional
0 — 0
05.08.2026
Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
02.08.2026
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC
3 — 0
29.07.2026
Vitoria vs Palmeiras
4 — 0
26.07.2026
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Palmeiras enter this Copa Libertadores clash with an impressive record of 2.40 goals scored per match in their last five games, showcasing a potent attacking force. In contrast, Cerro Porteno have averaged 1.80 goals per game in the same period, indicating they are not far behind in offensive capabilities. This sets the stage for an intriguing contest at Nubank Parque.

Palmeiras' recent form has been formidable. They have won four of their last five matches, including a dominant 4-0 away victory over Vitoria and a 3-0 triumph against Fortaleza EC. While their home form has seen three wins and two losses, they have managed to score an average of 1.80 goals while conceding 0.80 goals per match. In contrast, Cerro Porteno's last five outings have been mixed, with three victories and two losses. Their away form is less convincing, having lost three of their last five away games, and they have struggled to score, averaging only 1.00 goal per match while conceding 1.40. This disparity in away performance could make it challenging for them against a strong Palmeiras side.

In terms of head-to-head encounters, Palmeiras have the upper hand with three wins in their last five meetings, while Cerro Porteno have only one victory. Notably, Palmeiras secured a 1-0 win in their most recent matchup. These statistics highlight a pattern of narrow victories for Palmeiras, suggesting a competitive but favorable history for the Brazilian side. Cerro Porteno, on the other hand, will need to overcome their away match woes and find a way to breach Palmeiras' defense, which has conceded an average of 0.60 goals in their last five matches.

Considering the current form and statistical trends, Palmeiras seem well-positioned to emerge victorious in this encounter. Their superior scoring record and home advantage are significant factors. However, Cerro Porteno's ability to occasionally pull off an upset, as seen in their previous head-to-head win, cannot be overlooked. The prediction leans towards a Palmeiras win, with a strong possibility of both teams scoring given their attacking prowess. Given Palmeiras' consistent performance and Cerro Porteno's vulnerability in away games, the likelihood of Palmeiras maintaining a clean sheet is high. Therefore, the main betting event identified is "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" due to Cerro Porteno's limited scoring ability in away fixtures and Palmeiras' solid defensive record. This outcome is supported by a confidence score of 8.

Additional betting opportunities include "Win 1" with a probability of 65%, reflecting Palmeiras' strong home form and historical success against Cerro Porteno. "Total:Over: 1.5" is also probable, given both teams' scoring averages, with a 70% likelihood. A "Handicap 1: 0.5" bet holds a 60% chance, considering Palmeiras' potential to win by at least one goal. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" appears highly probable at 75%, given Palmeiras' consistent scoring at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Handicap 1: 0.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
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William Hill
Bet365
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Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Superbet
888Sport
Dafabet
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