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Copa Sudamericana

Atletico-MG VS Santos: Final Score & Prediction

Copa Sudamericana 16.09.2026 · 18:00 MRV Arena Referee: F. Tello
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
L
L
W
W
Full Time
4 – 2
HT 3:1
Penalties 3:1
16 Sep · 18:00
Santos emblem
Santos
W
W
W
D
W

Match Stats

Atletico-MG 4:2 Santos
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
7
2
Blocked Shots
6
10
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Shots Outside Box
9
4
Corners
6
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
477
Total Passes
504
395
Accurate Passes
421

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
51%
Atletico-MG
28%
Draw
21%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
43%
Form
57%
33%
Att
67%
50%
Def
50%
53%
Poisson distribution
47%
29%
H2h
71%
33%
Goals
67%
40%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.09.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
11.04.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
14.09.2025
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
16.04.2025
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
27.08.2023
Atletico-MG vs Santos
2 — 0
23.04.2023
Santos vs Atletico-MG
0 — 0
05.10.2022
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
11.06.2022
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
13.10.2021
Atletico-MG vs Santos
3 — 1
27.06.2021
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Santos
12.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
3 — 1
09.09.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
0 — 2
05.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
0 — 2
01.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro
2 — 1
29.08.2026
Atletico-MG vs Vitoria
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Atletico-MG has been a resilient force at home, maintaining an unbeaten record in their last five matches at the MRV Arena with three wins and two draws. Their home advantage has been underscored by an average of 1.80 goals scored per game, while conceding just 0.80. In contrast, Santos has also demonstrated strong away performances, securing three wins in their last five away encounters, averaging 1.40 goals scored per game. As these two Brazilian giants clash in the Copa Sudamericana, their recent trajectories suggest a closely contested match.

Both teams come into this fixture with no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineups. Atletico-MG's recent form has been a mix of solid home performances and less convincing away results. They secured back-to-back home victories against Cruzeiro and Vitoria, each by a 2-1 margin. Conversely, their away form has been less imposing, with only one win in five, pointing to a potential vulnerability.

Santos, on the other hand, boasts a strong away form, including a notable 3-2 victory against Internacional. However, they have experienced inconsistency, highlighted by a heavy 3-0 defeat to Palmeiras. Their ability to snatch crucial away victories could be pivotal against Atletico-MG. Both teams have a similar goal scoring average of 1.00 per game over their last five matches, suggesting that defensive resilience could play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

Atletico-MG and Santos have shared a balanced head-to-head record in recent encounters. In the last five meetings, Santos has a slight edge with two victories compared to Atletico-MG’s one, while two matches have ended in draws. This history indicates that neither team has dominated the other, pointing to a potentially tight encounter.

Given the statistical insights, a draw seems a plausible outcome. Both teams have demonstrated defensive robustness, especially Atletico-MG at home and Santos on the road. The head-to-head record further supports this possibility, with two of their last five encounters ending in stalemates. Our prediction leans towards a draw, but with potential goals given their recent scoring patterns.

One of the most probable betting events is a "Draw" outcome. Both teams exhibit similar strengths and weaknesses, with solid defensive setups and moderate attacking outputs. Atletico-MG's unbeaten home record and Santos’ formidable away form suggest a closely matched battle. Our confidence score for this prediction is 7, based on recent performance metrics and historical clashes.

Additional betting opportunities include Total:Over: 1.5 with a 60% probability, considering both teams' average goals scored. Total:Over: 2.0 is also plausible, with a probability of 50%, given the goal-scoring capabilities each has shown. A bet on "1X" at 65% is reasonable, given Atletico-MG's strong home form. Lastly, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" with a 55% probability aligns with Santos' consistent away scoring record.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
60%
Total:Over: 2.0
50%
1X
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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