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Copa Sudamericana

Santa Fe vs River Plate Prediction

Copa Sudamericana 12.08.2026 · 20:30 Referee: V. Carrillo
Santa Fe emblem
Santa Fe
W
W
D
W
L
vs
– : –
12 Aug · 20:30
River Plate emblem
River Plate
L
L
L
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Santa Fe
45%
Draw
45%
River Plate

Form Comparison

■ Santa Fe ■ River Plate
Santa Fe
River Plate
32%
Form
68%
38%
Att
62%
100%
Def
0%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
20%
H2h
80%
33%
Goals
67%
31%
Total
69%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.05.2021
River Plate vs Santa Fe
2 — 1
06.05.2021
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0 — 0

Last Matches

Santa Fe
River Plate
08.08.2026
Santa Fe vs Chico
2 — 0
05.08.2026
Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena
2 — 0
02.08.2026
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
2 — 2
30.07.2026
Caracas FC vs Santa Fe
3 — 0
26.07.2026
Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
1 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Santa Fe approaches this Copa Sudamericana fixture with an impressive home form, having won three and drawn two of their last five matches at home, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 0.80. In contrast, River Plate has struggled at home but has been resilient on the road, winning three of their last five away matches, scoring 1.40 goals on average, and conceding 0.80. This sets the stage for an intriguing contest where both teams will look to exploit their strengths.

In terms of recent performances, Santa Fe has been slightly more consistent. Despite a minor setback with a 2-1 loss against Águilas Doradas, they bounced back with a 2-0 victory over Caracas FC. River Plate, however, has been in a slump, with four of their last five matches ending in defeat. Their only respite was a 2-2 draw away at Flamengo, which signifies some resilience in away fixtures. Head-to-head, River Plate holds a minor psychological edge, having beaten Santa Fe once and drawn once in their last two encounters.

Statistically, Santa Fe has been more prolific in front of goal with an average of 1.60 goals scored per match in their last five outings, compared to River Plate’s 0.60. Defensively, River Plate has shown vulnerability, conceding 1.60 goals per game, whereas Santa Fe has been more robust, allowing only 0.80 goals. These figures suggest Santa Fe might have the upper hand, especially playing at home where they have been formidable.

Given the statistical trends and recent form, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Santa Fe, especially considering their unbeaten home record in the last five matches. However, River Plate's ability to perform better away from home cannot be overlooked. The most likely betting event is a "Win 1" for Santa Fe, given their superior home performance and River Plate's current struggles.

Additional betting events worth considering include: "Total:Over: 1.5," as both teams have shown a capacity to score; "X2," given River Plate's resilience in away games; "Total Team 1 Over: 1," considering Santa Fe’s potent home attack; and "Total Team 2 Under: 1," reflecting River Plate's scoring difficulties. These predictions are grounded in the teams' recent form and statistical outputs.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
X2
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
65%
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