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Coppa Italia

Palermo VS Mantova: Final Score & Prediction

Coppa Italia 03.09.2026 · 12:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera Referee: D. Di Marco
Palermo emblem
Palermo
W
W
W
L
W
Full Time
5 – 2
HT 2:0
03 Sep · 12:00
Mantova emblem
Mantova
W
W
W
L
W

Match Stats

Palermo 5:2 Mantova
43%
Ball Possession
57%
13
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
5
1
Blocked Shots
0
8
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Shots Outside Box
6
3
Corners
2
2
Offsides
6
9
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
336
Total Passes
442
254
Accurate Passes
366

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Gabriel StrefezzaGoal · Claudio Gomes
9'
14'
Simone TrimboliSubstitution · Rachid Kouda
43'
Rares IlieYellow Card
45'
Ismael CajazzoSubstitution · Francesco Ruocco
45'
Federico ChinettiSubstitution · Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Gabriel StrefezzaSubstitution · Dennis Johnsen
45'
Antonio PalumboGoal (Penalty)
45+6'
52'
Francesco RuoccoGoal
55'
Rachid KoudaGoal · Rares Ilie
Alessandro GabrielloniYellow Card
59'
60'
Ettore GliozziSubstitution · Vanja Vlahovic
Alessandro GabrielloniSubstitution · Joel Pohjanpalo
61'
Antonio PalumboSubstitution · Hernani
61'
Giangiacomo MagnaniSubstitution · Patryk Peda
61'
62'
Francesco RuoccoYellow Card
Joel PohjanpaloGoal · Dennis Johnsen
70'
Claudio GomesSubstitution · Jacopo Segre
73'
77'
Tommaso Del LungoSubstitution · Bodin Tomašević
Dennis JohnsenGoal · Jacopo Segre
89'
Joel PohjanpaloGoal · Dominic Vavassori
90+5'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Palermo
24%
Draw
20%
Mantova

Form Comparison

■ Palermo ■ Mantova
Palermo
Mantova
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
67%
H2h
33%
56%
Goals
44%
56%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.03.2026
Palermo vs Mantova
2 — 1
11.01.2026
Mantova vs Palermo
1 — 1
16.02.2025
Palermo vs Mantova
2 — 2
30.10.2024
Mantova vs Palermo
0 — 0

Last Matches

Palermo
Mantova
30.08.2026
Arezzo vs Palermo
3 — 2
23.08.2026
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
1 — 0
17.08.2026
Palermo vs Lecce
2 — 0
11.08.2026
Juventus vs Palermo
0 — 2
07.08.2026
Melbourne City vs Palermo
2 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Palermo's recent defensive solidity is notable, as they have conceded just 0.60 goals on average over their last five matches. Meanwhile, Mantova's offensive prowess has been on display, with an average of 2.60 goals scored per match during the same period. This sets the stage for a fascinating encounter between a team with a strong defensive record and an opponent with a potent attack.

Form and Context

Both Palermo and Mantova come into this Coppa Italia clash with solid recent form, though their approaches have been quite different. Palermo's last five matches have seen them secure three wins, one draw, and a single loss, highlighting a defense-first strategy with only 0.60 goals conceded per game. Their home form is particularly strong, boasting three wins and two draws in their recent outings, with an impressive average of 2.60 goals scored per match at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Mantova, on the other hand, has been on an attacking spree, winning four out of their last five matches, including notable victories over Lazio and Legnago Salus. Their away form is particularly commendable, with three wins from as many games, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding just 0.67. The absence of injuries or suspensions for both teams ensures that they can field their strongest line-ups.

Key Numbers

Palermo's defense will need to be at its best against a Mantova side that has been prolific in front of goal. While Palermo has managed to average 1.20 goals per game in their last five matches, Mantova's attacking numbers are superior, with 2.60 goals per game. Historically, their head-to-head encounters have been tight, with Palermo having a slight edge with one win and three draws in their last four meetings.

Mantova's ability to score freely, particularly in away fixtures, presents a significant challenge for Palermo. However, Palermo's ability to keep clean sheets at home, with an average of just 0.60 goals conceded, could be crucial. The clash of styles—Palermo's sturdy defense against Mantova's aggressive attack—adds an extra layer of intrigue to this knockout match.

Prediction

The prediction for this match leans towards a tightly contested affair with both sides having clear strengths to leverage. Given Palermo's strong home form and defensive solidity, they will be confident in keeping Mantova's attack in check. However, considering Mantova's excellent away record and scoring rate, the most likely betting event is a draw. This outcome reflects the balance between Palermo's home resilience and Mantova's away scoring capabilities.

As additional betting events, Palermo's ability to score at least once at home is supported by their average home goals of 2.60. Similarly, Mantova's scoring proficiency suggests they will also find the net, making both teams to score a probable event. With neither side showing a clear upper hand in the head-to-head record, a balanced affair is expected, making a draw with both teams scoring a reasonable expectation. Given the dynamics, a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for either side appears probable.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
1X
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Palermo vs Mantova
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