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Premier League

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 20.09.2026 · 09:00 Vitality Stadium Referee: M. Salisbury
Bournemouth emblem
Bournemouth
W
D
W
D
D
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 09:00
Liverpool emblem
Liverpool
W
D
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
31%
Bournemouth
26%
Draw
43%
Liverpool

Form Comparison

■ Bournemouth ■ Liverpool
Bournemouth
Liverpool
33%
Form
67%
50%
Att
50%
36%
Def
64%
32%
Poisson distribution
68%
20%
H2h
80%
25%
Goals
75%
33%
Total
67%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
24.01.2026
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
3 — 2
15.08.2025
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
4 — 2
01.02.2025
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0 — 2
21.09.2024
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
3 — 0
21.01.2024
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0 — 4
01.11.2023
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
1 — 2
19.08.2023
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
3 — 1
11.03.2023
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
1 — 0
27.08.2022
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
9 — 0
07.03.2020
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
2 — 1

Last Matches

Bournemouth
Liverpool
17.09.2026
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth
2 — 1
12.09.2026
Bournemouth vs Brentford
2 — 2
08.09.2026
Bournemouth vs Lincoln
4 — 0
05.09.2026
Newcastle vs Bournemouth
2 — 2
29.08.2026
Bournemouth vs Everton
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 3 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Bournemouth
A. Adli, E. J. Kroupi, J. Araujo, V. Milosavljevic
Liverpool
C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, G. Leoni, H. Ekitike

Bournemouth has been particularly potent at home, scoring an impressive average of 4.75 goals in their last five matches at Vitality Stadium. This staggering figure contrasts sharply with Liverpool's away performance, where they have managed an average of 2.00 goals in the same number of matches. As the two teams prepare to clash, these statistics paint a picture of contrasting form that could influence the outcome.

Form and Context

Bournemouth enters this match sitting 15th in the league standings, but their recent form suggests they might be poised to climb higher. They have secured three wins and a draw in their last five home matches, showcasing a robust home performance. In contrast, Liverpool, currently 6th, has been more inconsistent at Anfield but remains unbeaten away from home, with a win and a draw in their last two away encounters. Both teams come into this game without injuries or suspensions, ensuring full-strength squads.

Key Numbers

The attacking prowess of Bournemouth is evident, with an average of 1.80 goals scored per match in their last five games, while conceding 1.40. Liverpool, however, has been slightly less prolific, scoring an average of 1.60 goals but conceding only 1.00 per match in the same period. The head-to-head statistics favor Liverpool, who have won four of the last five encounters against Bournemouth, including a dominant 4-0 victory in their most recent meeting. Bournemouth's lone win in these encounters was a thrilling 3-2 affair, highlighting their potential to surprise.

Prediction

Given the data, the prediction for this match leans towards a lively encounter with goals. Bournemouth's formidable home form and scoring rate suggest they are likely to find the net, but Liverpool's solid away defense and historical dominance in this fixture give them an edge. The most likely outcome appears to be Liverpool securing at least a point, with a high probability of both teams scoring, given their recent attacking outputs. The main betting event is "X2," as Liverpool's away unbeaten streak and historical head-to-head advantage make them favorites not to lose. Confidence Score: 8. Additional betting events include "Total:Over: 2.5," given both teams' scoring potential, and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5," reflecting Bournemouth's home scoring record. "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" is also probable, considering Liverpool's away goals, and "Handicap 2: 0.5," as Liverpool's chances of at least a draw are strong.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
55%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Bournemouth vs Liverpool
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Arsenal logoArsenal
4 4 0 0 12
2
Manchester City logoManchester City
4 4 0 0 12
3
Brentford logoBrentford
5 2 3 0 9
4
Leeds logoLeeds
4 2 2 0 8
5
Hull City logoHull City
4 2 2 0 8
6
Brighton logoBrighton
4 2 1 1 7
7
Chelsea logoChelsea
5 2 1 2 7
8
Liverpool logoLiverpool ★
4 1 3 0 6
9
Everton logoEverton
4 1 3 0 6
10
Ipswich logoIpswich
4 2 0 2 6
11
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
4 1 2 1 5
12
Newcastle logoNewcastle
4 1 2 1 5
13
Manchester United logoManchester United
4 1 1 2 4
14
Sunderland logoSunderland
4 1 1 2 4
15
Bournemouth logoBournemouth ★
4 0 3 1 3
16
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
4 1 0 3 3
17
Tottenham logoTottenham
4 0 2 2 2
18
Fulham logoFulham
4 0 1 3 1
19
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
4 0 1 3 1
20
Coventry logoCoventry
4 0 0 4 0
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