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Premier League

Brighton vs Wolves Prediction

Premier League 09.05.2026 · 10:00 Amex Stadium Referee: John Brooks, England
Brighton emblem
Brighton
L
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
09 May · 10:00
Wolves emblem
Wolves
D
L
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
75%
Brighton
16%
Draw
9%
Wolves

Form Comparison

■ Brighton ■ Wolves
Brighton
Wolves
83%
Form
17%
77%
Att
23%
65%
Def
35%
85%
Poisson distribution
15%
62%
H2h
38%
57%
Goals
43%
72%
Total
29%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Wolves vs Brighton
1 — 1
10.05.2025
Wolves vs Brighton
0 — 2
26.10.2024
Brighton vs Wolves
2 — 2
18.09.2024
Brighton vs Wolves
3 — 2
28.02.2024
Wolves vs Brighton
1 — 0
22.01.2024
Brighton vs Wolves
0 — 0
19.08.2023
Wolves vs Brighton
1 — 4
29.04.2023
Brighton vs Wolves
6 — 0
05.11.2022
Wolves vs Brighton
2 — 3

Last Matches

Brighton
Wolves
17.05.2026
Leeds vs Brighton
0 — 1
09.05.2026
Brighton vs Wolves
3 — 0
02.05.2026
Newcastle vs Brighton
1 — 3
21.04.2026
Brighton vs Chelsea
3 — 0
18.04.2026
Tottenham vs Brighton
2 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Brighton
A. Webster, D. Gomez, M. Wieffer, S. Tzimas
Wolves
E. Gonzalez, J. Sa, L. Chiwome, S. Johnstone

Brighton's recent 3-0 victory over Wolves is a stark reminder of the contrasting trajectories these two teams have taken this season. Currently in 8th place, Brighton comes into this fixture with an average of 1.40 goals scored and conceded per match in their last five encounters. Wolves, languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place, have struggled with a paltry average of 0.60 goals scored in the same period, highlighting their difficulties in finding the back of the net.

Brighton has shown a resilient home form, securing three wins in their last five home matches, with an average of 1.60 goals scored and just 1.00 conceded per game. This contrasts sharply with Wolves' away form, which has been dismal, as they have failed to secure a win in their last five away games, conceding an alarming average of 2.60 goals per match. The head-to-head record also favors Brighton, who have won three of the last five encounters against Wolves, including a decisive 3-0 victory just weeks ago.

Key players will miss this match due to injuries on both sides. Brighton will be without D. Gomez, S. Tzimas, A. Webster, and M. Wieffer, while Wolves will be missing L. Chiwome, E. Gonzalez, S. Johnstone, and J. Sa. These absences could influence the dynamics of the game, but the statistics suggest Brighton holds a significant edge in terms of both form and historical performance.

Given the current form and statistical trends, Brighton appears well-positioned to maintain their dominance over Wolves. The prediction leans towards a victory for the home side, driven by their superior goal-scoring ability and more robust defensive record at the Amex Stadium. Considering Wolves' inability to secure wins away from home and their struggle with scoring, the most likely betting event is a Brighton win with a handicap. This event is supported by their recent 3-0 win against Wolves and the significant number of goals Wolves have been conceding on the road.

For those seeking additional betting options, consider the following: the probability of Brighton winning outright is high, but given Wolves' defensive frailties, a Total Team 1 Over 1.5 goals seems probable. With Brighton's strong home goal-scoring record, a Total:Over 2.0 is also a reasonable expectation. Given Wolves' low scoring rate, a Total Team 2 Under 0.5 is probable, and lastly, the odds of Brighton leading at halftime are enhanced by their recent performances and Wolves' poor first-half showings.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total:Over: 2.0
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
7 7 0 0 21
2
Arsenal logoArsenal
7 6 0 1 18
3
Brighton logoBrighton ★
7 5 1 1 16
4
Chelsea logoChelsea
7 4 1 2 13
5
Liverpool logoLiverpool
7 3 3 1 12
6
Brentford logoBrentford
7 2 4 1 10
7
Leeds logoLeeds
7 2 4 1 10
8
Everton logoEverton
7 2 4 1 10
9
Hull City logoHull City
7 2 3 2 9
10
Ipswich logoIpswich
7 3 0 4 9
11
Newcastle logoNewcastle
7 2 2 3 8
12
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
7 2 2 3 8
13
Manchester United logoManchester United
7 1 4 2 7
14
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
7 2 1 4 7
15
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
7 1 3 3 6
16
Tottenham logoTottenham
7 1 3 3 6
17
Coventry logoCoventry
7 2 0 5 6
18
Fulham logoFulham
7 1 2 4 5
19
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
7 1 2 4 5
20
Sunderland logoSunderland
7 1 1 5 4
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