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Premier League

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 17.10.2026 · 12:30 St James' Park Referee: Jarred Gillett
Newcastle emblem
Newcastle
L
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 12:30
Aston Villa emblem
Aston Villa
W
D
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
43%
Newcastle
26%
Draw
31%
Aston Villa

Form Comparison

■ Newcastle ■ Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa
58%
Form
42%
57%
Att
43%
39%
Def
61%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.02.2026
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
1 — 3
25.01.2026
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
0 — 2
16.08.2025
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
0 — 0
19.04.2025
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
4 — 1
26.12.2024
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
3 — 0
30.01.2024
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
1 — 3
12.08.2023
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
5 — 1
23.07.2023
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
3 — 3
15.04.2023
Aston Villa vs Newcastle
3 — 0
29.10.2022
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
4 — 0

Last Matches

Newcastle
Aston Villa
12.10.2026
Coventry vs Newcastle
1 — 4
19.09.2026
Newcastle vs Hull City
2 — 1
14.09.2026
Leeds vs Newcastle
1 — 4
08.09.2026
Millwall vs Newcastle
1 — 0
05.09.2026
Newcastle vs Bournemouth
2 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Newcastle
A. Elanga, B. Toure, E. Jaouen, J. Ramsey, V. Livramento
Aston Villa
A. Onana, G. Hemmings, I. Maatsen, I. Mbaye, M. Ruggeri, R. Barkley

Newcastle United will host Aston Villa at St. James' Park in an intriguing Premier League match on October 17th. Both teams have had mixed starts to their campaigns, with Newcastle sitting in the mid-table and Aston Villa looking to climb out of the lower ranks. This clash promises to be competitive, with both sides aiming to gain crucial points.

Newcastle's Home Form and Recent Performances

Newcastle United enters this encounter in 9th place, having accumulated 8 points from their five matches this season. Their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with notable victories against Hull City and Tottenham, a draw against Bournemouth, and losses to Leeds. Their performance at St. James' Park has been solid, with two wins and two draws in their last five home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game. Newcastle has shown resilience, especially in home matches, but their defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.60 goals on average, could be a concern against a potent Aston Villa attack.

Aston Villa's Strong Away Record

Aston Villa currently finds themselves in 16th place, having gathered 4 points, but their away form has been impressive. They have managed to win four of their last five away matches, including a noteworthy victory over Tottenham in the league and a Champions League triumph against Club Brugge KV. Villa's attack has been prolific, scoring 2.60 goals per game on average over their last five encounters. However, their defense has been less stable, conceding 1.60 goals per game. Despite their lower league position, Aston Villa's ability to score goals on the road makes them a formidable opponent for Newcastle.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score

For this matchup between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, the prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." Both teams have shown the ability to score frequently, with Newcastle averaging 1.60 goals per game and Aston Villa 2.60 in their last five matches. Additionally, both sides have conceded goals at a similar rate, which suggests that defenses may not dominate this encounter.

Additional predictions for this match include "Total: Over 1.5," "Total Team 1: Over 0.5," "Total Team 2: Over 0.5," and "Double Chance: 1X." These picks are supported by the attacking prowess each team has demonstrated in recent outings, coupled with their defensive vulnerabilities. Newcastle's strong home record and Villa's effective away performances make for an exciting clash where goals are expected from both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%
1X
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Manchester City logoManchester City
6 6 0 0 18
2
Arsenal logoArsenal
6 5 0 1 15
3
Brighton logoBrighton
6 4 1 1 13
4
Brentford logoBrentford
6 2 4 0 10
5
Everton logoEverton
6 2 4 0 10
6
Chelsea logoChelsea
6 3 1 2 10
7
Leeds logoLeeds
6 2 3 1 9
8
Hull City logoHull City
6 2 3 1 9
9
Liverpool logoLiverpool
6 2 3 1 9
10
Ipswich logoIpswich
6 3 0 3 9
11
Newcastle logoNewcastle ★
6 2 2 2 8
12
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
6 2 1 3 7
13
Manchester United logoManchester United
6 1 3 2 6
14
Coventry logoCoventry
6 2 0 4 6
15
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5
16
Aston Villa logoAston Villa ★
6 1 2 3 5
17
Sunderland logoSunderland
6 1 1 4 4
18
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
6 0 3 3 3
19
Tottenham logoTottenham
6 0 3 3 3
20
Fulham logoFulham
6 0 2 4 2
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