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AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie 17.05.2026 · 12:30 AFAS Stadion Referee: E. van de Graaf
AZ Alkmaar emblem
AZ Alkmaar
D
D
D
D
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 12:30
NAC Breda emblem
NAC Breda
D
W
L
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
5.68

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
AZ Alkmaar
50%
Draw
0%
NAC Breda

Form Comparison

■ AZ Alkmaar ■ NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
64%
Form
36%
73%
Att
27%
63%
Def
38%
76%
Poisson distribution
24%
71%
H2h
29%
62%
Goals
38%
68%
Total
32%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
31.08.2025
NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar
0 — 1
24.04.2025
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
1 — 1
15.12.2024
NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar
1 — 2
12.02.2020
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
1 — 3
08.02.2019
NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar
0 — 3
12.08.2018
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
5 — 0
17.02.2018
NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar
1 — 3
10.09.2017
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
2 — 1
10.05.2015
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
3 — 2

Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
17.05.2026
AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
3 — 3
10.05.2026
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
1 — 1
03.05.2026
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
2 — 2
23.04.2026
GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
0 — 0
19.04.2026
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen
5 — 1
W: 1 · D: 4 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

AZ Alkmaar
J. Hornkamp, K. Smit
NAC Breda
A. Salama, B. Lucassen, D. Odoi, L. Greiml, R. Paula

As the Eredivisie season draws to a close, AZ Alkmaar will welcome NAC Breda to the AFAS Stadion on May 17, 2026, at 12:30. This match is pivotal for both teams, albeit for different reasons. AZ Alkmaar is looking to consolidate their position in the league's upper echelons, while NAC Breda is fighting to escape the relegation zone.

AZ Alkmaar: A Formidable Force at Home

AZ Alkmaar has been impressive in their recent outings, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly formidable, with three wins and two draws, underscoring their resilience at the AFAS Stadion. Averaging 2.80 goals per game at home, they have been prolific in front of goal, while their defense has been relatively tight, conceding just 1.00 goals on average. With no injury or suspension concerns, AZ Alkmaar will look to leverage their full-strength squad to secure another vital victory.

NAC Breda: Struggles on the Road

In stark contrast, NAC Breda has found themselves languishing near the bottom of the table, with their recent form reflecting their struggles. Without a win in their last five matches, they have managed just one draw, with four losses, illustrating their difficulties in turning performances into points. Their away form is particularly concerning, scoring a meager 0.40 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.80. Despite having a fully fit squad, Breda's lack of cutting edge in attack and vulnerability at the back have made their survival battle an uphill task.

Prediction: Goals Galore at AFAS Stadion

Given the contrasting fortunes of these two sides, this match is likely to be dominated by AZ Alkmaar. The hosts' attacking prowess and NAC Breda's defensive frailties suggest that goals will be on the cards. With AZ consistently finding the net and Breda struggling to keep clean sheets, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair. This fixture has historically seen AZ Alkmaar come out on top, and with their current form, they are poised to continue this trend. The most likely betting event, therefore, is a high goal tally, with AZ Alkmaar dictating the proceedings. Expect a lively match where the home side's offensive might will likely overpower Breda's defenses.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

AZ Alkmaar's strong home form and high goal average, coupled with NAC Breda's poor away defensive record, suggest a match with over 2.5 goals.

5.68
Odds
Total:Over: 3.0
70%
1X
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
Pin-UP
W11.25
X5.80
W210.00
William Hill
W11.29
X5.50
W28.00
Bet365
W11.28
X5.75
W29.50
Marathonbet
W11.26
X6.05
W28.80
Unibet
W11.30
X5.50
W28.00
Betfair
W11.25
X5.50
W28.50
BetVictor
W11.25
X6.50
W29.50
Pinnacle
W11.28
X6.50
W28.61
SBO
W11.31
X5.70
W27.05
1xBet
W11.29
X6.39
W29.25
Betano
W11.31
X6.30
W210.00
888Sport
W11.30
X5.50
W27.50
Dafabet
W11.39
X5.60
W27.20

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 84
2
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
34 19 8 7 65
3
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 59
4
Twente logoTwente
34 15 13 6 58
5
Ajax logoAjax
34 14 14 6 56
6
Utrecht logoUtrecht
34 15 8 11 53
7
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar ★
34 14 10 10 52
8
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
34 14 9 11 51
9
Groningen logoGroningen
34 14 6 14 48
10
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 43
11
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 39
12
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 38
13
Excelsior logoExcelsior
34 10 8 16 38
14
Telstar logoTelstar
34 9 10 15 37
15
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 37
16
FC Volendam logoFC Volendam
34 8 8 18 32
17
NAC Breda logoNAC Breda ★
34 6 11 17 29
18
Heracles logoHeracles
34 5 4 25 19
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