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Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 16.10.2026 · 14:00 Abe Lenstra Stadion Referee: Robin Hensgens
Heerenveen emblem
Heerenveen
L
W
D
L
D
vs
– : –
16 Oct · 14:00
Excelsior emblem
Excelsior
L
D
L
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
57%
Heerenveen
24%
Draw
19%
Excelsior

Form Comparison

■ Heerenveen ■ Excelsior
Heerenveen
Excelsior
50%
Form
50%
47%
Att
53%
61%
Def
39%
21%
Poisson distribution
79%
50%
H2h
50%
33%
Goals
67%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.03.2026
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
1 — 2
04.10.2025
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
2 — 1
19.01.2024
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
3 — 0
23.09.2023
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
0 — 3
13.05.2023
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
0 — 0
22.12.2022
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
—
05.11.2022
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
0 — 1
30.07.2022
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
3 — 1
30.10.2019
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
0 — 3
30.03.2019
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
1 — 0

Last Matches

Heerenveen
Excelsior
09.10.2026
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen
0 — 2
19.09.2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
4 — 0
13.09.2026
Heerenveen vs Telstar
0 — 0
06.09.2026
Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar
2 — 3
30.08.2026
Willem II vs Heerenveen
2 — 2
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Heerenveen
D. Proper
Excelsior
N. Naujoks

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash at the Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen will host Excelsior, with both teams eager to climb the league table. Heerenveen, currently positioned 10th, faces a resilient Excelsior side that sits in 7th place. With both teams showcasing varied form in recent matches, this encounter promises to be an intriguing battle.

Heerenveen's Mixed Form

Heerenveen enters this match with mixed results from their last five games. They managed an impressive 4-0 away victory against Sparta Rotterdam, but have struggled at home, failing to score in their last two fixtures at the Abe Lenstra Stadion. With an average of 1.60 goals scored per game in their recent outings, Heerenveen has shown they can find the back of the net, but their home form remains a concern, with an average of just 0.60 goals scored. Defensively, they have conceded 1.40 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities that Excelsior might exploit.

Excelsior's Strong Away Record

Excelsior has been in commendable form, particularly away from home, where they remain unbeaten in their last five matches. Their scoring prowess is evident, with an average of 3.20 goals per game on the road. Excelsior's recent draw against Ajax and victory over Willem II highlight their ability to perform against varied opposition. While they have conceded 1.40 goals per game, their attacking capabilities have often overshadowed defensive lapses. Currently in a position that could lead to European competition, Excelsior will look to capitalize on Heerenveen's inconsistent home form.

Match Prediction

In this encounter between Heerenveen and Excelsior, the prediction favors Excelsior's ability to maintain their unbeaten away run. Given Heerenveen's struggles at home and Excelsior's strong away performances, the main prediction is "Double Chance: X2." Excelsior's robust away record and Heerenveen's lackluster home form support this prediction. Additionally, expect a goal-filled match with "Total: Over 3.0" goals, "Both Teams to Score: Yes," "Total Team 1: Over 0.5," and "Total Team 2: Over 1.5," reflecting both teams' recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0
65%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
8 6 2 0 20
2
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
8 6 1 1 19
3
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
8 6 1 1 19
4
Twente logoTwente
8 5 2 1 17
5
Ajax logoAjax
8 4 3 1 15
6
Groningen logoGroningen
8 4 2 2 14
7
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
8 4 2 2 14
8
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
8 2 5 1 11
9
Excelsior logoExcelsior ★
8 3 2 3 11
10
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen ★
8 2 3 3 9
11
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
8 2 3 3 9
12
Cambuur logoCambuur
8 2 2 4 8
13
Utrecht logoUtrecht
8 2 2 4 8
14
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
8 1 3 4 6
15
Telstar logoTelstar
8 1 3 4 6
16
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
8 1 1 6 4
17
ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag
8 0 3 5 3
18
Willem II logoWillem II
8 0 2 6 2
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