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Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 22.08.2026 · 14:00 Goffertstadion Referee: A. Bos
NEC Nijmegen emblem
NEC Nijmegen
L
W
W
L
D
vs
– : –
22 Aug · 14:00
Excelsior emblem
Excelsior
L
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
64%
NEC Nijmegen
20%
Draw
16%
Excelsior

Form Comparison

■ NEC Nijmegen ■ Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
40%
Def
60%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
80%
H2h
20%
80%
Goals
20%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.04.2026
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
0 — 2
09.08.2025
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
5 — 0
06.05.2024
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
0 — 3
13.08.2023
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
3 — 4
19.02.2023
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
0 — 3
08.10.2022
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
1 — 1
09.04.2021
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
2 — 1
08.01.2021
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
3 — 2
09.04.2020
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
06.12.2019
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
2 — 1

Last Matches

NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
19.08.2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt
1 — 3
15.08.2026
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen
4 — 1
11.08.2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus
2 — 1
08.08.2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar
1 — 2
04.08.2026
Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen
0 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Excelsior's recent form paints an impressive picture, with the team winning all of their last five matches and scoring a staggering average of 3.8 goals per game. In contrast, NEC Nijmegen has struggled, managing just two victories in their last five outings, and averaging only 0.8 goals per game. This stark difference in form sets the stage for an intriguing encounter at the Goffertstadion.

NEC Nijmegen has had mixed results at home, winning twice but losing three times in their last five home fixtures. Their home goalscoring average stands at 2.2 goals per game, which is notably higher than their overall scoring rate. However, defensively, they have conceded 1.2 goals on average at home. Excelsior, on the other hand, has been flawless on the road, winning all five of their recent away matches while scoring 3.8 goals per game and conceding just 1. These figures highlight Excelsior's formidable attack and solid defense, especially when playing away from home.

In head-to-head encounters, NEC Nijmegen has dominated, winning four of the last five matchups against Excelsior and scoring three or more goals in each of those victories. The most recent meeting saw NEC Nijmegen win 3-0 away at Excelsior, a result that will encourage the home side despite their recent struggles.

The current statistics suggest a fascinating clash of styles and confidence levels. Excelsior's attacking prowess has been evident, with a total of 19 goals in their last five matches. NEC Nijmegen, while not as prolific, has shown they can find the net at home. Given their past encounters, where NEC Nijmegen has often come out on top, the match promises to be competitive despite Excelsior's recent superior form.

The prediction for this match leans towards both teams finding the back of the net, given their respective scoring records and head-to-head history. While Excelsior's current league-leading form makes them favorites, NEC Nijmegen's past successes against Excelsior and their ability to score at home can't be overlooked. The suggested betting event is "Both Teams to Score" based on the statistical likelihood of both teams hitting the target, with Excelsior's high-scoring games and NEC's historical edge in head-to-head matches. The confidence score for this prediction is 8 out of 10, reflecting the strong evidence from recent performances and historical results.

For additional betting opportunities, considering Excelsior's unbeaten away record and goal-scoring form, betting on "Win 2" carries a 70% probability. Given NEC Nijmegen's decent home scoring rate, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is likely with a 75% probability. "Total:Over: 2.5" should also be considered given Excelsior's attacking capacity, with a probability of 65%. Lastly, "Handicap 2: 0.5" is supported by Excelsior's ability to win convincingly, assigned a probability of 60%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 2
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

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2
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
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3
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4
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3 1 1 1 4
8
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
3 1 1 1 4
9
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
3 1 1 1 4
10
Excelsior logoExcelsior ★
2 1 0 1 3
11
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen ★
2 1 0 1 3
12
Twente logoTwente
2 1 0 1 3
13
Telstar logoTelstar
2 1 0 1 3
14
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
3 1 0 2 3
15
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3 0 1 2 1
16
Willem II logoWillem II
2 0 0 2 0
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ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag
3 0 0 3 0
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3 0 0 3 0
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