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Eredivisie

Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie 11.10.2026 · 06:15 Stadion Galgenwaard Referee: Jannick van der Laan
Utrecht emblem
Utrecht
L
W
D
L
D
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 06:15
Willem II emblem
Willem II
L
L
D
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
62%
Utrecht
21%
Draw
17%
Willem II

Form Comparison

■ Utrecht ■ Willem II
Utrecht
Willem II
71%
Form
29%
69%
Att
31%
40%
Def
60%
60%
Poisson distribution
40%
80%
H2h
20%
58%
Goals
42%
63%
Total
37%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.03.2025
Willem II vs Utrecht
2 — 3
21.09.2024
Utrecht vs Willem II
3 — 2
15.05.2022
Willem II vs Utrecht
3 — 0
31.10.2021
Utrecht vs Willem II
5 — 1
01.05.2021
Utrecht vs Willem II
3 — 2
19.02.2021
Willem II vs Utrecht
0 — 6
16.02.2020
Willem II vs Utrecht
1 — 1
29.09.2019
Utrecht vs Willem II
2 — 0
27.01.2019
Utrecht vs Willem II
0 — 1
28.10.2018
Willem II vs Utrecht
0 — 1

Last Matches

Utrecht
Willem II
20.09.2026
Feyenoord vs Utrecht
0 — 5
13.09.2026
Excelsior vs Utrecht
2 — 1
08.09.2026
Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles
3 — 3
30.08.2026
Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven
1 — 6
22.08.2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
3 — 3
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Utrecht
A. Engwanda, A. Stepanov, K. Paredes, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, V. Jensen
Willem II
A. Culum, A. Lachkar, J. Hoogma, K. Boogaard, T. Didillon Hodl

Utrecht are set to face Willem II at Stadion Galgenwaard in an intriguing Eredivisie encounter. Both teams have had a challenging start to the season, with Utrecht sitting just above the relegation zone and Willem II at the bottom of the table. This match provides an opportunity for each side to gain valuable points.

Utrecht's Recent Form

Utrecht currently find themselves in 15th place with five points from seven matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, marked by a mix of high-scoring draws and heavy defeats. They have managed to score 1.80 goals per game in their last five outings but have also conceded a worrying 3.60 goals per game on average. Their recent 3-3 draws against Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam show they have the ability to score but struggle defensively. At home, Utrecht have a record of one win, one draw, and three losses, which indicates some vulnerability on their own turf. Despite this, their head-to-head record against Willem II is encouraging, with four wins in their last five meetings.

Willem II's Struggles

Willem II have had a tough introduction to the Eredivisie this season, currently languishing at the bottom of the table with just two points. They are freshly promoted and finding the transition challenging, having scored only 0.80 goals per game while conceding 2.40 on average in their last five matches. Their away form has been particularly poor, with only one draw and two losses in their last three away matches, including a heavy 5-1 defeat to Ajax. Willem II will need to improve both offensively and defensively to compete effectively against Utrecht.

Match Prediction and Insights

Considering Utrecht's stronger position in the league and their better head-to-head record against Willem II, the prediction is for a Utrecht win. The main prediction is "Handicap 1: 0.5" in favor of Utrecht, given their slightly better form and home advantage. Utrecht's ability to score, coupled with Willem II's defensive struggles, suggests they could cover this handicap.

Additional predictions include "Total Team 1: Over 1.5," as Utrecht have shown they can score at home; "Both Teams to Score: Yes," given both teams' defensive frailties; "Total Team 2: Over 0.5," as Willem II might find the net against a shaky Utrecht defense; and "Win: 1" for Utrecht, reflecting their historical success against Willem II.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%
Win 1
68%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
8 6 2 0 20
2
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
8 6 1 1 19
3
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
8 6 1 1 19
4
Twente logoTwente
8 5 2 1 17
5
Ajax logoAjax
8 4 3 1 15
6
Groningen logoGroningen
8 4 2 2 14
7
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
8 4 2 2 14
8
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
8 2 5 1 11
9
Excelsior logoExcelsior
8 3 2 3 11
10
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
8 2 3 3 9
11
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
8 2 3 3 9
12
Cambuur logoCambuur
8 2 2 4 8
13
Utrecht logoUtrecht ★
8 2 2 4 8
14
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
8 1 3 4 6
15
Telstar logoTelstar
8 1 3 4 6
16
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
8 1 1 6 4
17
ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag
8 0 3 5 3
18
Willem II logoWillem II ★
8 0 2 6 2
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