Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Fri, 18 Sep 2026
FA Cup

Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction

FA Cup 16.05.2026 · 10:00 Wembley Stadium Referee: D. England
Chelsea emblem
Chelsea
W
L
D
L
W
vs
– : –
16 May · 10:00
Manchester City emblem
Manchester City
D
W
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
21%
Chelsea
24%
Draw
55%
Manchester City

Form Comparison

■ Chelsea ■ Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
50%
Def
50%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
7%
H2h
93%
24%
Goals
76%
36%
Total
64%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.04.2026
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0 — 3
04.01.2026
Manchester City vs Chelsea
1 — 1
25.01.2025
Manchester City vs Chelsea
3 — 1
18.08.2024
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0 — 2
03.08.2024
Manchester City vs Chelsea
4 — 2
20.04.2024
Manchester City vs Chelsea
1 — 0
17.02.2024
Manchester City vs Chelsea
1 — 1
12.11.2023
Chelsea vs Manchester City
4 — 4
21.05.2023
Manchester City vs Chelsea
1 — 0

Last Matches

Chelsea
Manchester City
19.05.2026
Chelsea vs Tottenham
2 — 1
16.05.2026
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0 — 1
09.05.2026
Liverpool vs Chelsea
1 — 1
04.05.2026
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
1 — 3
26.04.2026
Chelsea vs Leeds
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

In their last five meetings, Manchester City have dominated Chelsea, winning four times and drawing once. As both teams prepare for their FA Cup clash at Wembley Stadium, this recent head-to-head record casts a long shadow over Chelsea's prospects.

Heading into this encounter, both teams display contrasting forms. Chelsea have struggled in their recent outings, securing only one win in their last five matches, with a draw and three losses marking a concerning trend. Their home form is equally troubling, with two wins overshadowed by three defeats. They have averaged 1.00 goals per match recently but have conceded 1.60, hinting at a fragile defense. Conversely, Manchester City arrive in formidable shape, boasting three wins and two draws from their last five games. City's away form is particularly noteworthy, with three victories and two draws, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match while conceding just 0.80. This stark contrast in form sets the stage for an intriguing contest at Wembley.

Chelsea's recent matches have seen them score an average of 1.00 goal per game while conceding 1.60, suggesting difficulties at both ends of the pitch. At home, they score slightly less at 0.80 goals per match, while their defense allows 1.20 goals on average. Manchester City, on the other hand, have been prolific, averaging 1.80 goals per game and conceding just 0.60. Their away performance mirrors this strength, maintaining a scoring rate of 1.80 and conceding only 0.80 goals per match. The head-to-head record further emphasizes City's dominance, with four wins and a draw in their last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory on one occasion. These numbers indicate a clear statistical advantage for Manchester City.

The prediction here leans towards a match dominated by Manchester City, given their superior form and head-to-head record against Chelsea. The most probable outcome is Manchester City maintaining their defensive solidity, leading to a clean sheet victory. With Chelsea struggling to find their offensive rhythm and City's defense holding firm, a "Total Team 2 Under 1.5" market appears promising. This event is supported by Chelsea's current scoring woes and City's defensive consistency. Additionally, the likelihood of City winning, scoring over 2.5 goals collectively, and restricting Chelsea's scoring opportunities are supplementary betting considerations. While City's form suggests a comprehensive performance, the FA Cup's unpredictable nature keeps the door ajar for a potential surprise.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 2
70%
Total:Over: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Chelsea vs Manchester City
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now