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J1 League

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction

J1 League 19.09.2026 · 06:00 Ajinomoto Stadium
FC Tokyo emblem
FC Tokyo
W
W
D
W
W
vs
– : –
19 Sep · 06:00
Nagoya Grampus emblem
Nagoya Grampus
L
L
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
52%
FC Tokyo
24%
Draw
24%
Nagoya Grampus

Form Comparison

■ FC Tokyo ■ Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
68%
Form
32%
63%
Att
38%
91%
Def
9%
86%
Poisson distribution
14%
71%
H2h
29%
61%
Goals
39%
73%
Total
27%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.07.2026
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
2 — 1
31.08.2025
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
1 — 1
26.02.2025
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
3 — 1
14.09.2024
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
4 — 1
15.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
3 — 1
24.06.2023
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
2 — 0
18.03.2023
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
0 — 0
29.10.2022
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
2 — 1
20.04.2022
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
0 — 0
10.10.2021
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
2 — 1

Last Matches

FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
12.09.2026
Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo
2 — 0
06.09.2026
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga
2 — 0
02.09.2026
Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo
1 — 1
29.08.2026
V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo
3 — 0
21.08.2026
FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
2 — 0
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

FC Tokyo enters this fixture with an impressive recent record, having notched up three wins and two draws in their last five matches, averaging two goals per game while conceding just 0.6. In contrast, Nagoya Grampus has struggled, winning only two out of their last five matches and conceding an average of two goals per game. This disparity in form is reflected in the league standings, where FC Tokyo sits comfortably in sixth place, while Nagoya Grampus is languishing in 14th.

FC Tokyo has been solid both at home and away, with a slight edge on the road where they have scored two goals per game on average. Their home form remains respectable with 1.67 goals scored per match. Their defense has been particularly resilient, conceding only 1.67 goals at home. Meanwhile, Nagoya Grampus faces significant away challenges, having lost both of their last two away matches with a poor average of 0.5 goals scored and a worrying 2.5 goals conceded per game. The head-to-head record further tilts in favor of FC Tokyo, who have won three of the last five encounters against Nagoya Grampus.

In the goals department, FC Tokyo leads with an average of two goals per match in their recent five games, significantly higher than the 1.4 average of Nagoya Grampus. Their defense stands strong, allowing only 0.6 goals per game, which contrasts sharply with Nagoya Grampus's average of two goals conceded per game. The head-to-head statistics reinforce FC Tokyo's attacking prowess, as they have consistently outscored Nagoya Grampus, including a dominant 4-1 victory. This historical edge, combined with current form, suggests FC Tokyo has the upper hand in offensive and defensive capabilities.

The outcome of this match leans heavily towards FC Tokyo, given their superior form and historical success against Nagoya Grampus. A draw seems the most likely non-win outcome for FC Tokyo, particularly considering their strong defensive record and Nagoya Grampus's struggles in finding the net away from home. The predicted main betting event suggests taking the "1X" market, indicating a home win or draw for FC Tokyo with a confidence score of 8. This prediction is backed by FC Tokyo's current unbeaten streak and Nagoya Grampus's poor away form. Additionally, a total team goal of over 1.5 for FC Tokyo seems probable given their scoring rate, while Nagoya Grampus is less likely to score more than one goal, considering their average away goals. The odds of the match ending with FC Tokyo securing a win with more than one goal also seem favorable.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%
Win 1
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
7 5 2 0 17
2
Vissel Kobe logoVissel Kobe
7 5 1 1 16
3
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
7 5 0 2 15
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logoSanfrecce Hiroshima
7 4 2 1 14
5
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo ★
7 4 2 1 14
6
Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama
7 4 1 2 13
7
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
7 3 3 1 12
8
Kashima logoKashima
7 4 0 3 12
9
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
7 3 2 2 11
10
Cerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka
7 3 1 3 10
11
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
7 2 3 2 9
12
Urawa logoUrawa
7 3 0 4 9
13
Shimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse
7 2 1 4 7
14
V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki
7 2 1 4 7
15
Gamba Osaka logoGamba Osaka
7 1 3 3 6
16
Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya Grampus ★
7 2 0 5 6
17
Kyoto Sanga logoKyoto Sanga
7 1 2 4 5
18
Avispa Fukuoka logoAvispa Fukuoka
7 1 1 5 4
19
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
7 0 4 3 4
20
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
7 1 1 5 4
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