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J1 League

Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

J1 League 09.10.2026 · 06:00 Mercari Stadium Referee: Yudai Yamamoto, Japan
Kashima emblem
Kashima
D
L
L
L
W
vs
– : –
09 Oct · 06:00
Gamba Osaka emblem
Gamba Osaka
L
L
L
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
54%
Kashima
24%
Draw
22%
Gamba Osaka

Form Comparison

■ Kashima ■ Gamba Osaka
Kashima
Gamba Osaka
67%
Form
33%
80%
Att
20%
41%
Def
59%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
62%
H2h
38%
57%
Goals
43%
63%
Total
38%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
0 — 0
31.05.2025
Gamba Osaka vs Kashima
0 — 1
26.06.2024
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
0 — 0
28.04.2024
Gamba Osaka vs Kashima
1 — 2
24.06.2023
Gamba Osaka vs Kashima
2 — 1
29.04.2023
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
4 — 0
05.11.2022
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
0 — 0
13.07.2022
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
2 — 0
18.05.2022
Gamba Osaka vs Kashima
1 — 3
26.03.2022
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
4 — 1

Last Matches

Kashima
Gamba Osaka
19.09.2026
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
3 — 3
11.09.2026
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima
1 — 2
06.09.2026
Kashima vs Urawa
0 — 1
02.09.2026
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima
2 — 4
29.08.2026
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima
2 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Kashima Antlers will face off against Gamba Osaka in an intriguing J1 League clash at the Mercari Stadium. As both teams aim to climb the league table, this match promises to deliver a competitive encounter.

Kashima's Recent Challenges

Kashima Antlers currently sit 8th in the J1 League, having accumulated 13 points from their opening eight matches. Despite a promising start to the season, their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five league outings. Kashima's attack has been relatively productive, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game over this period, but their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding two goals per match. At home, Kashima has been slightly more solid, winning two of their last five home games and averaging 1.67 goals scored while conceding 1.33. However, they will need to tighten up defensively against Gamba Osaka to secure a positive result.

Gamba Osaka's Struggles

Gamba Osaka have had a challenging start to their season, currently languishing in 16th place with just six points. Scoring has been particularly problematic for them, netting a mere 0.40 goals per game in their last five matches. Their recent matches have included a series of low-scoring encounters, with Gamba failing to score in three of their last five games. While they have managed two draws, including a 0-0 stalemate against a strong Sanfrecce Hiroshima side, they are yet to find a win in their last five outings. Gamba's defense, although not impregnable, has been less of a concern, conceding 1.40 goals per game during this stretch.

Prediction and Expected Outcome

Given the current form and recent performances of both teams, the main prediction for this match is "Both Teams to Score: No." Kashima's scoring ability is evident, but their defensive frailties could be shored up against a Gamba side struggling for goals. Conversely, Gamba's lack of offensive prowess suggests they may find it difficult to breach Kashima's defense.

Additional predictions for this match include Kashima to win (1), Total: Under 2.5 goals, Total Team 2: Under 0.5 goals, and Handicap 1: 0.5. These predictions align with the current form of both teams, where Kashima's stronger standing and Gamba's scoring challenges play a significant role in the expected outcome. With Kashima's attacking and defensive records, they are slight favorites to edge this encounter while keeping a clean sheet.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Win 1
65%
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
55%
Handicap 1: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
9 7 0 2 21
2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logoSanfrecce Hiroshima
9 6 2 1 20
3
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
9 6 2 1 20
4
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo
9 6 2 1 20
5
Vissel Kobe logoVissel Kobe
9 6 1 2 19
6
Kashima logoKashima ★
9 5 1 3 16
7
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
9 4 3 2 15
8
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
9 3 4 2 13
9
Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama
9 4 1 4 13
10
Shimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse
9 4 1 4 13
11
Urawa logoUrawa
9 4 0 5 12
12
Cerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka
9 3 3 3 12
13
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
9 2 3 4 9
14
V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki
9 2 3 4 9
15
Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya Grampus
9 3 0 6 9
16
Kyoto Sanga logoKyoto Sanga
9 2 2 5 8
17
Avispa Fukuoka logoAvispa Fukuoka
9 2 1 6 7
18
Gamba Osaka logoGamba Osaka ★
9 1 3 5 6
19
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
9 1 2 6 5
20
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
9 0 4 5 4
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