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J1 League

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction

J1 League 17.10.2026 · 02:00 Mercari Stadium Referee: Koei Koya
Kashima emblem
Kashima
W
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 02:00
V-varen Nagasaki emblem
V-varen Nagasaki
D
D
W
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
61%
Kashima
23%
Draw
16%
V-varen Nagasaki

Form Comparison

■ Kashima ■ V-varen Nagasaki
Kashima
V-varen Nagasaki
40%
Form
60%
53%
Att
47%
41%
Def
59%
77%
Poisson distribution
23%
100%
H2h
0%
67%
Goals
33%
56%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.07.2025
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki
2 — 1
18.08.2021
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki
3 — 1
21.12.2019
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki
3 — 2
15.08.2018
V-varen Nagasaki vs Kashima
1 — 2
02.05.2018
Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki
2 — 1

Last Matches

Kashima
V-varen Nagasaki
09.10.2026
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
2 — 0
19.09.2026
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
3 — 3
11.09.2026
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima
1 — 2
06.09.2026
Kashima vs Urawa
0 — 1
02.09.2026
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima
2 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Kashima Antlers are set to host V-Varen Nagasaki in an exciting J1 League encounter at the Mercari Stadium. Kashima, currently sitting in the top half of the table, are looking to bounce back from a mixed run of form, while V-Varen Nagasaki aim to climb out of the lower reaches of the standings.

Kashima's Recent Form and Strengths

Kashima Antlers are positioned 8th in the J1 League, having accumulated 13 points from 8 matches. Despite their inconsistent recent form, with only one win in their last five matches, they remain a formidable side at home, winning two of their last three games at the Mercari Stadium. Historically, Kashima have dominated their encounters against V-Varen Nagasaki, winning all five meetings, which includes several high-scoring affairs. This record, combined with their ability to score regularly at home, suggests they have a strong opportunity to secure another victory.

V-varen Nagasaki's Challenges

V-Varen Nagasaki find themselves in 15th place, struggling to find consistency in the early stages of the season. With just eight points from their opening eight matches, they have been unable to secure a win in their last three away outings. Although they recently achieved a solid 2-0 victory over Nagoya Grampus, their away form remains a concern as they have conceded an average of 2.67 goals on the road. Improving their defense will be crucial if they are to challenge Kashima and break their unfavorable head-to-head record.

Match Prediction and Expected Outcome

Given the current standings and historical dominance, the prediction for the Kashima vs V-Varen Nagasaki match leans towards a home victory for Kashima. The Antlers are expected to utilize their home advantage and superior head-to-head record to secure a win. Additionally, both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, which suggests goals are likely in this encounter.

**Main Prediction:** Win: 1 Kashima's consistent home performances and strong head-to-head record against V-Varen Nagasaki make them the favorites to win this match.

**Additional Predictions:** 1. Both Teams to Score: Yes - Considering both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities, there is a high probability of both teams finding the net. 2. Total: Over 1.5 - With both sides frequently involved in high-scoring games, a total of over 1.5 goals is likely. 3. Handicap 1: 0.5 - Kashima are expected to win by at least one goal given their overall stronger performance. 4. Total Team 1: Over 1.5 - Kashima's attacking prowess at home suggests they can score at least two goals against a struggling V-Varen defense.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Handicap 1: 0.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
11 8 2 1 26
2
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo
11 7 3 1 24
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logoSanfrecce Hiroshima
11 7 2 2 23
4
Vissel Kobe logoVissel Kobe
11 7 1 3 22
5
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
11 7 1 3 22
6
Kashima logoKashima ★
11 6 2 3 20
7
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
11 5 4 2 19
8
Urawa logoUrawa
11 6 0 5 18
9
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
11 4 5 2 17
10
Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama
11 5 1 5 16
11
Shimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse
11 4 2 5 14
12
Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya Grampus
11 4 1 6 13
13
Cerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka
11 3 4 4 13
14
V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki ★
11 3 3 5 12
15
Gamba Osaka logoGamba Osaka
11 2 4 5 10
16
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
11 2 3 6 9
17
Kyoto Sanga logoKyoto Sanga
11 2 3 6 9
18
Avispa Fukuoka logoAvispa Fukuoka
11 2 1 8 7
19
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
11 1 3 7 6
20
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
11 0 5 6 5
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