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J1 League

Nagoya Grampus VS Machida Zelvia: Final Score & Prediction

J1 League 06.09.2026 · 05:00 Toyota Stadium Referee: K. Takasaki
Nagoya Grampus emblem
Nagoya Grampus
L
W
W
L
L
Full Time
1 – 3
HT 0:1
06 Sep · 05:00
Machida Zelvia emblem
Machida Zelvia
W
D
W
W
W

Match Stats

Nagoya Grampus 1:3 Machida Zelvia
61%
Ball Possession
39%
12
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
5
7
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Shots Outside Box
2
6
Corners
2
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
483
Total Passes
320
418
Accurate Passes
246

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Yuya AsanoSubstitution · Yuya Yamagishi
23'
36'
Daihachi OkamuraSubstitution · Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Ryuji IzumiYellow Card
43'
Yuki NogamiSubstitution · Teruki Hara
45'
45+7'
Ryohei ShirasakiGoal
46'
Takahiro AkimotoYellow Card
Henry Heroki MochizukiOwn Goal
55'
Kensuke NagaiSubstitution · Tomoya Koyamatsu
65'
66'
Ryohei ShirasakiSubstitution · Hokuto Shimoda
66'
Takuma NishimuraSubstitution · Tete Yengi
Ryuji IzumiSubstitution · Yota Sato
70'
75'
Alexandre Kouto Horio PisanoOwn Goal
Tomoki TakamineYellow Card
85'
85'
Yuki SomaSubstitution · Yusuke Matsuo
86'
Koki OgawaSubstitution · Mitchell Duke
90+7'
Yusuke MatsuoGoal

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
29%
Nagoya Grampus
28%
Draw
43%
Machida Zelvia

Form Comparison

■ Nagoya Grampus ■ Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
32%
Form
68%
29%
Att
71%
33%
Def
67%
23%
Poisson distribution
77%
7%
H2h
93%
33%
Goals
67%
26%
Total
74%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
06.06.2026
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
2 — 1
30.05.2026
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
2 — 2
30.11.2025
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
3 — 1
02.03.2025
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
1 — 2
06.07.2024
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
1 — 0
02.03.2024
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
0 — 1
16.08.2017
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus
3 — 4
17.05.2017
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
2 — 1
09.09.2015
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
0 — 1

Last Matches

Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
02.09.2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
0 — 3
29.08.2026
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
2 — 1
22.08.2026
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
3 — 1
15.08.2026
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus
1 — 2
08.08.2026
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse
0 — 1
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Machida Zelvia's recent form has been nothing short of extraordinary, as they have averaged 4.00 goals per match over their last five games, conceding just 0.67 on average. This high-scoring trend positions them as the top team in the J1 League standings. In stark contrast, Nagoya Grampus, sitting in 13th position, have seen a more modest output with an average of 1.33 goals scored and conceded in the same number of games. Their recent home performance has been inconsistent, with one win and one loss, scoring a respectable average of 1.50 goals while conceding 1.00.

Form and Context

Nagoya Grampus enters this fixture after a mixed bag of results, including a commendable 3-1 victory over Gamba Osaka, which showcases their potential to compete. However, their recent defeat to Shimizu S-pulse at home indicates vulnerability. In comparison, Machida Zelvia has delivered impressive away performances, winning both of their last two matches away from home and scoring an average of 4.50 goals while conceding just 0.50. This sets a challenging precedent for Nagoya, who have struggled to find consistency both at home and away. The head-to-head record further favors Machida, with four wins in the last five encounters, underscoring a historical advantage.

Key Numbers

The numerical data paints a clear picture of the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Nagoya Grampus has managed to maintain a home scoring average of 1.50 goals, yet their defensive record at home still leaves room for improvement. On the other hand, Machida Zelvia's formidable attack, which has led them to a 5-1 away victory against FC Tokyo, reflects their ability to dominate games offensively. Their defensive solidity, conceding only 0.67 goals on average, further strengthens their position as league leaders. The head-to-head record between these two sides shows a significant tilt in favor of Machida, with Nagoya unable to secure a win in their last five meetings.

Prediction

With Machida Zelvia showcasing an attacking prowess that has consistently overwhelmed opponents, the prediction leans towards them continuing this trend. Given Nagoya's inconsistent form, particularly in defense, the likelihood of Machida scoring multiple goals seems probable. Therefore, the main prediction for this match is "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5". This is backed by Machida's recent high-scoring games and Nagoya's defensive frailties. Additional predictions include Machida Zelvia winning the match outright, as well as the expectation of both teams scoring, given Nagoya's ability to find the net at home. A tightly contested match could also see Nagoya keeping the scoreline respectable, suggesting a probable handicap scenario in their favor.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Win 2
75%
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
1X
40%
Handicap 1: 1.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia ★
7 5 2 0 17
2
Vissel Kobe logoVissel Kobe
7 5 1 1 16
3
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
7 5 0 2 15
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logoSanfrecce Hiroshima
7 4 2 1 14
5
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo
7 4 2 1 14
6
Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama
7 4 1 2 13
7
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
7 3 3 1 12
8
Kashima logoKashima
7 4 0 3 12
9
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
7 3 2 2 11
10
Cerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka
7 3 1 3 10
11
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
7 2 3 2 9
12
Urawa logoUrawa
7 3 0 4 9
13
Shimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse
7 2 1 4 7
14
V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki
7 2 1 4 7
15
Gamba Osaka logoGamba Osaka
7 1 3 3 6
16
Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya Grampus ★
7 2 0 5 6
17
Kyoto Sanga logoKyoto Sanga
7 1 2 4 5
18
Avispa Fukuoka logoAvispa Fukuoka
7 1 1 5 4
19
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
7 0 4 3 4
20
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
7 1 1 5 4
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