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J1 League

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Prediction

J1 League 17.10.2026 · 01:00 Ajinomoto Stadium Referee: A. Kamimura
Tokyo Verdy emblem
Tokyo Verdy
L
L
D
D
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 01:00
FC Tokyo emblem
FC Tokyo
W
W
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
19%
Tokyo Verdy
26%
Draw
55%
FC Tokyo

Form Comparison

■ Tokyo Verdy ■ FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
13%
Form
87%
18%
Att
82%
11%
Def
89%
8%
Poisson distribution
92%
38%
H2h
62%
44%
Goals
56%
22%
Total
78%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.05.2026
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
2 — 1
22.03.2026
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
0 — 0
15.09.2025
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
1 — 0
02.04.2025
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
2 — 2
17.08.2024
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
0 — 0
13.04.2024
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
2 — 2
12.07.2023
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
1 — 1

Last Matches

Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
11.10.2026
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 — 2
19.09.2026
Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy
1 — 3
13.09.2026
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba
1 — 1
06.09.2026
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy
0 — 0
02.09.2026
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
0 — 2
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

As Tokyo Verdy prepares to host FC Tokyo at the Ajinomoto Stadium, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the J1 League standings. Tokyo Verdy, currently sitting near the bottom of the table, faces a challenging task against an FC Tokyo side that has been in fine form and resides in the upper echelons of the league.

Tokyo Verdy's Struggles

Tokyo Verdy has had a difficult start to their 2027 J1 League campaign, managing to secure just four points from their first eight matches. Their recent performances have been concerning, with no wins and three losses in their last five games. Verdy has struggled offensively, scoring only 0.40 goals per game, while conceding 1.60 on average. At home, they have managed only two draws and three losses in their last five encounters, with an average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. This lack of offensive output and defensive solidity has left them in the relegation zone, desperately needing points to climb out of danger.

FC Tokyo's Confident Form

In contrast, FC Tokyo has been enjoying a strong start to their season, positioned fifth in the league with 17 points from eight matches. Their recent form is impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five games. FC Tokyo's attack has been potent, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game while their defense remains robust, conceding just 0.20 goals per match. On the road, they have been equally strong, with two wins and two draws in their last four away matches, scoring 2.00 goals on average while conceding 0.75. This consistency has cemented their place in the top tier of the league, and they will be looking to maintain this momentum against their city rivals.

Prediction: FC Tokyo to Maintain Dominance

Given the current form and positions of both teams, the prediction leans towards an FC Tokyo victory. FC Tokyo's solid defense and attacking prowess give them the edge over a struggling Tokyo Verdy side. Additionally, FC Tokyo's recent head-to-head record against Verdy, which includes two wins and two draws in their last five encounters, further supports this prediction.

Main Prediction: Handicap 2: 0.5. FC Tokyo's recent form and superior league standing suggest they are well-equipped to win this match by at least one goal.

Additional Predictions: 1. Match Result: 2, Probability: 75%. FC Tokyo's strong form and Tokyo Verdy's struggles make an away win highly likely. 2. Both Teams to Score: No, Probability: 70%. Given Verdy's scoring difficulties and FC Tokyo's defensive strength, it’s plausible that Verdy may not find the net. 3. Total Team 1: Under 0.5, Probability: 60%. Tokyo Verdy's recent attacking struggles suggest they may fail to score. 4. Total Team 2: Over 1.5, Probability: 65%. FC Tokyo's attacking form indicates they are likely to score at least twice.

With FC Tokyo's current momentum and Tokyo Verdy's ongoing challenges, this prediction balances the evidence of their respective performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Match Result: 2
75%
Both Teams to Score: No
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 0.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
11 8 2 1 26
2
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo ★
11 7 3 1 24
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima logoSanfrecce Hiroshima
11 7 2 2 23
4
Vissel Kobe logoVissel Kobe
11 7 1 3 22
5
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
11 7 1 3 22
6
Kashima logoKashima
11 6 2 3 20
7
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
11 5 4 2 19
8
Urawa logoUrawa
11 6 0 5 18
9
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
11 4 5 2 17
10
Fagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama
11 5 1 5 16
11
Shimizu S-pulse logoShimizu S-pulse
11 4 2 5 14
12
Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya Grampus
11 4 1 6 13
13
Cerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka
11 3 4 4 13
14
V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen Nagasaki
11 3 3 5 12
15
Gamba Osaka logoGamba Osaka
11 2 4 5 10
16
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
11 2 3 6 9
17
Kyoto Sanga logoKyoto Sanga
11 2 3 6 9
18
Avispa Fukuoka logoAvispa Fukuoka
11 2 1 8 7
19
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
11 1 3 7 6
20
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy ★
11 0 5 6 5
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