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Premier League

Aktobe vs Ordabasy Prediction

Premier League 17.10.2026 · 10:00 Koblandy Batyr Stadium Referee: A. Kuchma
Aktobe emblem
Aktobe
W
D
W
W
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 10:00
Ordabasy emblem
Ordabasy
W
W
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
27%
Aktobe
27%
Draw
46%
Ordabasy

Form Comparison

■ Aktobe ■ Ordabasy
Aktobe
Ordabasy
45%
Form
55%
43%
Att
57%
33%
Def
67%
40%
Poisson distribution
60%
36%
H2h
64%
38%
Goals
63%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.05.2026
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
2 — 0
26.10.2025
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
2 — 2
01.03.2025
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
0 — 0
25.08.2024
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
1 — 1
18.05.2024
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
0 — 0
08.05.2024
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
1 — 2
16.09.2023
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
2 — 1
09.04.2023
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
1 — 1
29.10.2022
Ordabasy vs Aktobe
2 — 2
21.08.2022
Aktobe vs Ordabasy
3 — 1

Last Matches

Aktobe
Ordabasy
10.10.2026
Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe
3 — 1
18.09.2026
Aktobe vs Ulytau
2 — 2
12.09.2026
Kaspiy vs Aktobe
2 — 1
05.09.2026
Aktobe vs Zhenys
1 — 0
30.08.2026
Irtysh vs Aktobe
1 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Ordabasy's dominant league position at the top of the table is underpinned by their formidable form, having scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded just 0.80 in their last five encounters. In contrast, Aktobe, sitting in fifth, have been less consistent, with an average of 2.00 goals scored and conceded per match over the same period. This disparity highlights the challenge Aktobe faces as they host the league leaders.

Aktobe's home form is impressive, with four victories and one draw in their last five matches at Koblandy Batyr Stadium, scoring an average of 1.60 goals and conceding just 0.40. This solid home performance provides a stark contrast to their away record, where they've secured only one win in five attempts. Ordabasy, however, are equally strong on the road, having won three of their last five away matches, maintaining an average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded.

The head-to-head record further tilts the balance in Ordabasy's favor, with one win and four draws in the last five meetings, including a solid 2:0 victory in their latest encounter. Aktobe will need to leverage their home advantage to counter Ordabasy's potent attack, a task that will require discipline and tactical astuteness.

Ordabasy's attacking prowess is evident, with recent victories including a 4:0 demolition of Zhetysu and a 3:1 triumph over Altay. Their ability to score multiple goals consistently poses a significant threat, especially against an Aktobe side that has shown vulnerability in defense, particularly in away matches. The contrast in defensive records is notable; Ordabasy’s ability to keep their average goals conceded to 0.80 in recent matches underscores their defensive solidity compared to Aktobe’s more leaky defense.

Prediction for this match leans towards Ordabasy's continued dominance, yet the historical tendency for draws in their head-to-head encounters cannot be ignored. A likely scenario is a closely contested match where Ordabasy's superior form and scoring ability edge out Aktobe's home resilience. The betting market "X2" appears as a strong option. Ordabasy's track record of avoiding defeat away from home, combined with their potent attack, suggests they are more likely to secure at least a draw.

Additional predictions provide further insights. The pattern of high-scoring games suggests "Total:Over: 2.0" as a probable outcome, given both teams’ scoring capabilities. Similarly, Ordabasy's ability to find the net regularly makes "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" a logical choice. Meanwhile, considering Aktobe's home strength, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" holds merit. Finally, acknowledging Ordabasy's defensive organisation, "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" offers a conservative perspective on their potential to limit Aktobe's scoring opportunities.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pinnacle

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Ordabasy logoOrdabasy ★
27 20 4 3 64
2
Kairat Almaty logoKairat Almaty
27 19 6 2 63
3
FC Astana logoFC Astana
27 14 7 6 49
4
Okzhetpes logoOkzhetpes
28 14 6 8 48
5
Aktobe logoAktobe ★
28 13 6 9 45
6
Yelimay Semey logoYelimay Semey
28 12 8 8 44
7
FK Tobol Kostanay logoFK Tobol Kostanay
28 12 4 12 40
8
Ulytau logoUlytau
28 9 8 11 35
9
Kaspiy logoKaspiy
28 9 6 13 33
10
Zhenys logoZhenys
28 8 8 12 32
11
Kyzyl-Zhar logoKyzyl-Zhar
28 7 7 14 28
12
Atyrau logoAtyrau
27 5 12 10 27
13
Irtysh logoIrtysh
28 6 8 14 26
14
Zhetysu logoZhetysu
28 6 7 15 25
15
Altay logoAltay
28 5 9 14 24
16
Kaisar logoKaisar
28 4 12 12 24
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