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Premier League

Atyrau VS Ordabasy: Final Score & Prediction

Premier League 17.09.2026 · 11:00 Turkestan Arena Referee: S. Iskakov
Atyrau emblem
Atyrau
L
W
L
L
D
Full Time
0 – 3
HT 0:1
17 Sep · 11:00
Ordabasy emblem
Ordabasy
W
L
W
W
W

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
20'
B. JohnsenGoal · Leo Natel ⚽
Y. TkachenkoYellow Card
40'
46'
T. KeitaSubstitution · M. Capatina ⇆
S. SatanovYellow Card
50'
54'
B. JohnsenGoal · Z. Amir ⚽
⇆ M. StanicSubstitution · K. Dorofeev
62'
⇆ A. BoranshievSubstitution · Henrique
62'
⇆ Y. TkachenkoSubstitution · D. Pantelic
63'
65'
Leo NatelSubstitution · E. Astanov ⇆
77'
Z. AmirSubstitution · Everton ⇆
83'
S. AstanovSubstitution · A. Nurymbet ⇆
90+2'
B. JohnsenGoal · D. Abagna ⚽

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
15%
Atyrau
24%
Draw
61%
Ordabasy

Form Comparison

■ Atyrau ■ Ordabasy
Atyrau
Ordabasy
25%
Form
75%
25%
Att
75%
30%
Def
70%
20%
Poisson distribution
80%
25%
H2h
75%
42%
Goals
58%
28%
Total
72%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.04.2026
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
1 — 1
03.08.2025
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
2 — 2
03.05.2025
Atyrau vs Ordabasy
1 — 2
15.09.2024
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
1 — 0
06.03.2024
Atyrau vs Ordabasy
1 — 1
15.07.2023
Atyrau vs Ordabasy
1 — 1
03.06.2023
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
2 — 1
01.10.2022
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
2 — 0
29.07.2022
Ordabasy vs Atyrau
1 — 2
22.07.2022
Atyrau vs Ordabasy
1 — 4

Last Matches

Atyrau
Ordabasy
12.09.2026
Kaisar vs Atyrau
0 — 1
05.09.2026
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau
1 — 0
30.08.2026
Atyrau vs FC Astana
2 — 3
16.08.2026
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes
0 — 2
09.08.2026
Atyrau vs Aktobe
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Ordabasy's current form is impressive, having scored an average of 1.80 goals per match over their last five outings, while conceding just 0.80. In contrast, Atyrau has averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded over the same period. As these two teams prepare to face off at Munaishy Stadium, the disparities in their recent performances will be a critical factor.

Form and Context

Atyrau is struggling at the lower end of the table, sitting in 12th place. Their recent form reflects their league position, with only one win in their last five matches. At home, they have failed to secure a victory in their past five attempts, drawing twice and losing thrice. Meanwhile, Ordabasy is at the top of the league, showcasing a stark contrast in fortunes. Although their away form is not flawless, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, their overall momentum remains strong. This clash sees a team fighting to escape the relegation zone against a side determined to solidify their top position.

Key Numbers

In terms of offensive output, Ordabasy has the clear edge, with a recent average of 1.80 goals per game, compared to Atyrau’s 0.80. Defensively, Ordabasy also holds the advantage, conceding only 0.80 goals on average, while Atyrau has struggled with an average of 1.20 goals conceded per game. At home, Atyrau has managed to score an average of 1.00 goal but has conceded 2.00, a worrying stat as they face a potent Ordabasy attack. Head-to-head results also favor Ordabasy, with two wins and three draws in their last five meetings against Atyrau, showcasing their ability to perform well against this opponent.

Prediction

Given the current form and head-to-head history, the prediction for this match leans towards Ordabasy maintaining their top spot with a strong performance. Atyrau's home struggles are likely to continue against a team that has proven its capability to win under various circumstances. The most likely betting event is Ordabasy taking a lead into halftime, as they have demonstrated a knack for starting strong, particularly when facing lower-ranked teams. With a Confidence Score of 7, this event presents a balanced combination of risk and reward, reflecting Ordabasy’s superior form and Atyrau’s vulnerabilities. Additional betting options include Ordabasy to win outright, considering their league position and form, with an estimated probability of 70%. The likelihood of both teams scoring seems moderate at 60%, given Atyrau's scoring at home. A draw, although less likely at 20%, cannot be entirely ruled out based on historical draws between these teams. Finally, a bet on Total:Over: 1.5 goals is predicted with an 80% chance, considering recent goal-scoring trends of both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
70%
Both Teams To Score
60%
X
20%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
Pinnacle
SBO
Betano

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Ordabasy logoOrdabasy ★
26 19 4 3 61
2
Kairat Almaty logoKairat Almaty
26 18 6 2 60
3
FC Astana logoFC Astana
26 14 6 6 48
4
Aktobe logoAktobe
27 13 6 8 45
5
Okzhetpes logoOkzhetpes
27 13 6 8 45
6
Yelimay Semey logoYelimay Semey
27 11 8 8 41
7
FK Tobol Kostanay logoFK Tobol Kostanay
27 11 4 12 37
8
Ulytau logoUlytau
27 9 8 10 35
9
Zhenys logoZhenys
27 8 8 11 32
10
Kaspiy logoKaspiy
27 9 5 13 32
11
Kyzyl-Zhar logoKyzyl-Zhar
27 7 7 13 28
12
Atyrau logoAtyrau ★
26 5 11 10 26
13
Irtysh logoIrtysh
27 6 8 13 26
14
Kaisar logoKaisar
27 4 12 11 24
15
Altay logoAltay
27 5 8 14 23
16
Zhetysu logoZhetysu
27 5 7 15 22
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