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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 23.05.2026 · 19:00 Estadio Mendizorrotza Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Alaves emblem
Alaves
W
W
D
L
W
vs
– : –
23 May · 19:00
Rayo Vallecano emblem
Rayo Vallecano
W
D
D
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.90

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Alaves
35%
Draw
30%
Rayo Vallecano

Form Comparison

■ Alaves ■ Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Form
47%
44%
Att
56%
45%
Def
55%
59%
Poisson distribution
41%
40%
H2h
60%
43%
Goals
57%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.01.2026
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
2 — 0
26.10.2025
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves
1 — 0
29.03.2025
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
0 — 2
26.10.2024
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves
1 — 0
10.03.2024
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
1 — 0
15.09.2023
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves
2 — 0
16.04.2022
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
1 — 0
18.12.2021
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves
2 — 0
28.01.2019
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
0 — 1
22.09.2018
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves
1 — 5

Last Matches

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
17.05.2026
Oviedo vs Alaves
1 — 0
13.05.2026
Alaves vs Barcelona
1 — 0
09.05.2026
Elche vs Alaves
1 — 1
02.05.2026
Alaves vs Athletic Club
2 — 4
25.04.2026
Alaves vs Mallorca
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

As the 2025-26 La Liga season draws to a close, Alaves and Rayo Vallecano prepare to lock horns at the Estadio Mendizorrotza. With contrasting recent forms and league positions, both teams are eager to finish their campaigns on a positive note. Alaves, currently sitting in 15th place, look to leverage their home advantage, while Rayo Vallecano, in 11th, aim to continue their solid performances and climb higher on the table.

Alaves' Recent Form and Challenges

Alaves have experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. With a league position of 15th, they have managed to secure only two wins in their last five matches. A notable victory against Barcelona with a narrow 1-0 scoreline stands out, but losses to teams like Real Madrid and Athletic Club highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game. Despite these challenges, Alaves have shown resilience at home, with a record of two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their ability to score an average of 1.60 goals per match at home indicates potential for an offensive display against Rayo Vallecano. Importantly, Alaves have no injury or suspension concerns heading into this match, allowing them to field their strongest squad.

Rayo Vallecano's Solid Performances

Rayo Vallecano have demonstrated their capabilities with a solid run of form, currently positioned 11th in the league. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, including impressive away victories against Getafe and Strasbourg. Defensively, Rayo Vallecano have been particularly effective, conceding only 0.40 goals per game on average in their recent fixtures. Their away form has shown some vulnerabilities, with two losses in the last five games, but they have compensated with a resilient defense. Rayo Vallecano will aim to exploit Alaves' defensive lapses and continue their recent head-to-head success, having won three out of the last five encounters against Alaves. Like their opponents, Rayo Vallecano have no injuries or suspensions, ensuring a full-strength lineup.

Prediction and Betting Insights

This matchup between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano promises to be an intriguing contest, with both teams having contrasting strengths. Alaves' decent home performance might be tested by Rayo Vallecano's robust defense and recent form. A key prediction for this fixture is the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net, as Alaves have shown scoring prowess at home, while Rayo Vallecano possess the attacking threat to capitalize on defensive errors. The main betting event to consider is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given the statistical trends and recent match dynamics. With Alaves' average goals scored at home and Rayo's defensive strength, this outcome seems probable.

Other potential betting events include a draw (X), considering both teams' evenly matched capabilities, and "Total:Over: 2.0," anticipating a moderate scoring game. Additionally, betting on Rayo Vallecano to score at least once (Total Team 2 Over: 0.5) and Alaves' home advantage potentially leading to at least one goal (Total Team 1 Over: 0.5) are worth considering. All these markets align with the main prediction and provide a strategic approach for this La Liga clash.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Alaves have a decent scoring record at home, and Rayo Vallecano have been scoring consistently in recent matches.

2.90
Odds
X
30%
Total:Over: 2.0
40%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
Pin-UP
W12.20
X3.35
W23.15
William Hill
W12.10
X3.40
W23.10
Bet365
W12.15
X3.40
W23.10
Marathonbet
W12.27
X3.54
W23.24
Unibet
W12.17
X3.35
W23.35
Betfair
W12.20
X3.50
W23.25
BetVictor
W12.15
X3.25
W23.10
Pinnacle
W12.17
X3.49
W23.31
SBO
W12.20
X3.06
W22.87
1xBet
W12.31
X3.60
W23.29
Betano
W12.18
X3.45
W23.30
Dafabet
W12.23
X3.50
W23.25

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
37 31 1 5 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
37 26 5 6 83
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
37 21 6 10 69
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
37 21 6 10 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
37 14 15 8 57
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
37 13 12 12 51
7
Getafe logoGetafe
37 14 6 17 48
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano ★
37 11 14 12 47
9
Valencia logoValencia
37 12 10 15 46
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
37 11 12 14 45
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
37 12 9 16 45
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
37 13 6 18 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
37 12 7 18 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves ★
37 11 10 16 43
15
Levante logoLevante
37 11 9 17 42
16
Osasuna logoOsasuna
37 11 9 17 42
17
Elche logoElche
37 10 12 15 42
18
Girona logoGirona
37 9 13 15 40
19
Mallorca logoMallorca
37 10 9 18 39
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
37 6 11 20 29
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