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Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24.05.2026 · 19:00 Estadio de la Ceramica Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Villarreal emblem
Villarreal
L
L
D
W
W
vs
– : –
24 May · 19:00
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
W
W
L
L
W
Our Prediction
X
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.91

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Villarreal
45%
Draw
45%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Villarreal ■ Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
37%
Form
63%
56%
Att
44%
33%
Def
67%
63%
Poisson distribution
37%
15%
H2h
85%
33%
Goals
67%
40%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.09.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
2 — 0
25.01.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
1 — 1
19.08.2024
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 2
01.04.2024
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 2
12.11.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
3 — 1
04.06.2023
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 2
21.08.2022
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
0 — 2
09.01.2022
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 2
29.08.2021
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
2 — 2
28.02.2021
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 2

Last Matches

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
17.05.2026
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
0 — 2
13.05.2026
Villarreal vs Sevilla
2 — 3
10.05.2026
Mallorca vs Villarreal
1 — 1
02.05.2026
Villarreal vs Levante
5 — 1
26.04.2026
Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
2 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Villarreal welcome Atletico Madrid to the Estadio de la Ceramica in what promises to be a captivating showdown for third place in the table. With both teams showcasing their strengths throughout the season, this match is pivotal for securing a top-three finish. The stakes are high, and with no injury or suspension concerns for either side, both squads are set to field their strongest line-ups.

Villarreal's Recent Resurgence

Villarreal have been in impressive form, especially at home, where they have won four out of their last five matches. Their recent 5-1 demolition of Levante is a testament to their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.80 goals scored per game at home. The Yellow Submarine have managed to keep their defense relatively tight as well, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match at their fortress. However, their recent away performances have been less convincing, securing only one win in their last five away games. Despite this inconsistency, Villarreal's home form remains a formidable challenge for any visiting team.

Atletico Madrid's Defensive Steadfastness

Atletico Madrid, under their seasoned manager, have established themselves as a defensively solid unit, conceding just 0.80 goals on average over their last five matches. Although their form has been somewhat erratic, with two away wins and three losses in their last five outings, their ability to grind out results cannot be underestimated. Atletico's recent head-to-head record against Villarreal is promising, having secured three wins and two draws in their last five encounters. Despite their struggles at home, their performance away from the Wanda Metropolitano has been more encouraging, with a respectable 1.40 goals scored per match.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle

Given Villarreal's strong home record and Atletico Madrid's solid defensive setup, this match is set to be a tactical battle. Both teams have shown the ability to score, as reflected in their recent goal-scoring averages. With Villarreal's knack for finding the back of the net at home and Atletico's resilient defense, a draw seems the most likely outcome, making "X" a compelling prediction for this encounter. The head-to-head history supports this view, with two of the last five matches ending in a stalemate. For those looking at betting options, a draw offers a balanced outcome that considers both teams' strengths and recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X

Both teams have shown competitive form with Villarreal strong at home and Atletico defensively sound, leading to two draws in their last five head-to-head meetings.

2.91
Odds
Total:Over: 2.0
65%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
Pin-UP
W12.42
X3.75
W22.56
William Hill
W12.45
X3.70
W22.50
Bet365
W12.45
X3.70
W22.60
Marathonbet
W12.58
X3.88
W22.59
Unibet
W12.43
X3.90
W22.60
Betfair
W12.40
X3.90
W22.45
BetVictor
W12.38
X3.70
W22.50
Pinnacle
W12.44
X3.72
W22.70
SBO
W12.31
X3.49
W22.44
1xBet
W12.62
X3.94
W22.63
Betano
W12.47
X3.75
W22.65
Dafabet
W12.43
X3.80
W22.60

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
37 31 1 5 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
37 26 5 6 83
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal ★
37 21 6 10 69
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
37 21 6 10 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
37 14 15 8 57
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
37 13 12 12 51
7
Getafe logoGetafe
37 14 6 17 48
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
37 11 14 12 47
9
Valencia logoValencia
37 12 10 15 46
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
37 11 12 14 45
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
37 12 9 16 45
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
37 13 6 18 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
37 12 7 18 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves
37 11 10 16 43
15
Levante logoLevante
37 11 9 17 42
16
Osasuna logoOsasuna
37 11 9 17 42
17
Elche logoElche
37 10 12 15 42
18
Girona logoGirona
37 9 13 15 40
19
Mallorca logoMallorca
37 10 9 18 39
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
37 6 11 20 29
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