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La Liga

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction

La Liga 23.05.2026 · 19:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Real Madrid emblem
Real Madrid
W
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
23 May · 19:00
Athletic Club emblem
Athletic Club
D
L
L
W
L
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.08

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Real Madrid
45%
Draw
10%
Athletic Club

Form Comparison

■ Real Madrid ■ Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
71%
Form
29%
46%
Att
54%
75%
Def
25%
79%
Poisson distribution
21%
80%
H2h
20%
82%
Goals
18%
72%
Total
28%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.12.2025
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
0 — 3
20.04.2025
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club
1 — 0
04.12.2024
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
2 — 1
31.03.2024
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club
2 — 0
12.08.2023
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
04.06.2023
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club
1 — 1
22.01.2023
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
03.02.2022
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
1 — 0
16.01.2022
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
22.12.2021
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
1 — 2

Last Matches

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
17.05.2026
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
1 — 0
14.05.2026
Real Madrid vs Oviedo
2 — 0
10.05.2026
Barcelona vs Real Madrid
0 — 2
03.05.2026
Espanyol vs Real Madrid
2 — 0
24.04.2026
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
1 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Real Madrid hosts Athletic Club at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. With both teams eager to finish their campaigns on a high, fans can expect an electrifying encounter. Real Madrid is currently placed second in the league and will be keen to secure another victory at home, while Athletic Club, sitting in ninth place, looks to make a statement against a top-tier opponent.

Real Madrid's recent performances have showcased their resilience and competitive spirit. With a solid home form, they have registered three wins, a draw, and a single loss in their last five outings at the Santiago Bernabéu. Scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game at home, Real Madrid's attack is complemented by a defense that concedes an average of 1.20 goals. Notably, they come into this fixture without any injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup. Despite a challenging defeat to Barcelona recently, their victories against teams like Oviedo and Alaves demonstrate their capacity to bounce back swiftly.

Athletic Club, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results lately. Their away form, with just one win in their last five outings, highlights some struggles on the road. Conceding an average of 2.40 goals per game away from home points to defensive vulnerabilities that Real Madrid might exploit. Nevertheless, Athletic Club's ability to score 1.20 goals per game away from home indicates they can be dangerous on the counter-attack. Their recent win against Osasuna will give them some confidence as they prepare for this tough matchup. With no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, Athletic Club is set to field a strong side as well.

In considering the dynamics of this clash, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair. Real Madrid's home strength and Athletic Club's defensive frailties suggest that goals are likely to be on the menu. The most probable betting event is "Total: Over: 2.5" goals, given the attacking potential both teams have shown. With Real Madrid's tendency to score at home and Athletic Club's capacity to find the net on the road, combined with their recent head-to-head history that has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game, this prediction carries a confidence score of 8. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high, supported by their consistent goal-scoring in recent matches.

Overall, as Real Madrid and Athletic Club square off, fans and bettors alike can anticipate an engaging contest with plenty of action in front of goal.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have shown consistent goal-scoring form, and their recent head-to-head matches have averaged over 2.5 goals per game.

4.08
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 3.0
55%
1X
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club
Pin-UP
W11.45
X4.55
W26.25
William Hill
W11.44
X4.50
W26.00
Bet365
W11.48
X4.75
W25.50
Marathonbet
W11.49
X4.85
W26.45
Unibet
W11.45
X4.75
W26.40
Betfair
W11.44
X5.00
W27.00
BetVictor
W11.44
X4.40
W25.75
Pinnacle
W11.50
X4.68
W25.71
SBO
W11.41
X4.27
W25.42
1xBet
W11.52
X4.93
W26.55
Betano
W11.52
X4.70
W25.70
Dafabet
W11.50
X4.90
W26.00

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
37 31 1 5 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid ★
37 26 5 6 83
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
37 21 6 10 69
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
37 21 6 10 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
37 14 15 8 57
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
37 13 12 12 51
7
Getafe logoGetafe
37 14 6 17 48
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
37 11 14 12 47
9
Valencia logoValencia
37 12 10 15 46
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
37 11 12 14 45
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
37 12 9 16 45
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club ★
37 13 6 18 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
37 12 7 18 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves
37 11 10 16 43
15
Levante logoLevante
37 11 9 17 42
16
Osasuna logoOsasuna
37 11 9 17 42
17
Elche logoElche
37 10 12 15 42
18
Girona logoGirona
37 9 13 15 40
19
Mallorca logoMallorca
37 10 9 18 39
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
37 6 11 20 29
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