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Athletic Club vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 10.05.2026 · 14:15 Estadio de San Mamés Referee: V. Garcia
Athletic Club emblem
Athletic Club
W
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 14:15
Valencia emblem
Valencia
L
W
D
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: No
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.36

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Athletic Club
45%
Draw
10%
Valencia

Form Comparison

■ Athletic Club ■ Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
60%
Form
40%
62%
Att
38%
47%
Def
53%
62%
Poisson distribution
38%
60%
H2h
40%
50%
Goals
50%
57%
Total
43%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.02.2026
Valencia vs Athletic Club
1 — 2
20.09.2025
Valencia vs Athletic Club
2 — 0
18.05.2025
Valencia vs Athletic Club
0 — 1
28.08.2024
Athletic Club vs Valencia
1 — 0
20.01.2024
Valencia vs Athletic Club
1 — 0
29.10.2023
Athletic Club vs Valencia
2 — 2
11.02.2023
Valencia vs Athletic Club
1 — 2
26.01.2023
Valencia vs Athletic Club
1 — 3
21.08.2022
Athletic Club vs Valencia
1 — 0
07.05.2022
Athletic Club vs Valencia
0 — 0

Last Matches

Athletic Club
Valencia
02.05.2026
Alaves vs Athletic Club
4 — 2
25.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
2 — 3
21.04.2026
Athletic Club vs Osasuna
1 — 0
12.04.2026
Athletic Club vs Villarreal
1 — 2
05.04.2026
Getafe vs Athletic Club
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Athletic Club welcomes Valencia to the iconic Estadio de San Mamés for an intriguing mid-table clash. Both teams have experienced mixed fortunes throughout the season, and this encounter offers a chance for either side to finish the campaign on a positive note. With just two points separating them in the league standings, the outcome of this match could be pivotal in determining their final positions.

Athletic Club's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Athletic Club enters this fixture with a somewhat inconsistent run of form, having secured two wins in their last five matches. Their recent victory against Real Betis at home was a testament to their resilience, but defeats to Atletico Madrid and Villarreal have highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite these setbacks, Athletic Club's home form remains solid, with three wins in their last five outings at San Mamés. They have managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per match at home while conceding just 1.00, which provides them with a slight edge when playing on familiar turf. Fortunately for Athletic, they face no injury or suspension issues, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Valencia's Away Challenges and Squad Stability

Valencia, positioned just below Athletic Club in the league, has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with their recent away victory against Sevilla. However, their overall away form has been less impressive, with only one win from their last five matches on the road. Scoring an average of 0.80 goals while conceding 1.00 in away games indicates that Valencia has struggled to assert themselves outside of their home comforts. Despite these challenges, Valencia's squad is also free from injuries or suspensions, allowing them to compete at full strength. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks will be crucial if they are to secure a positive result against Athletic Club.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter with Key Betting Insights

Given the context of the season and the current form of both teams, this match is likely to be closely contested. Both Athletic Club and Valencia have showcased the ability to snatch narrow victories, as evidenced by their recent head-to-head record, which slightly favors Athletic Club with three wins out of the last five encounters. The prediction for this match leans towards a low-scoring affair, primarily due to both teams' average goal-scoring rates and their relatively stable defenses. The most probable event is "All: Both Teams to Score: No," with a confidence score of 8, as neither team has consistently demonstrated prolific goal-scoring form away from their home grounds. Additional betting insights include considering the "Total: Under: 2.5" market, with a high probability that the game will feature limited goals, reflecting the teams' recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: No

Both teams have struggled to score consistently, especially in away games, making a low-scoring match likely.

3.36
Odds
Total:Under: 2.5
75%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Athletic Club vs Valencia
Pin-UP
W11.72
X3.65
W24.70
William Hill
W11.75
X3.60
W24.33
Bet365
W11.73
X3.70
W24.75
Marathonbet
W11.80
X3.84
W24.65
Unibet
W11.81
X3.50
W24.60
Betfair
W11.75
X3.70
W24.33
BetVictor
W11.70
X3.50
W24.50
Pinnacle
W11.74
X3.87
W24.80
SBO
W11.72
X3.31
W24.10
1xBet
W11.83
X3.90
W24.72
Betano
W11.75
X3.75
W24.75
Dafabet
W11.74
X3.70
W24.60

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
34 29 1 4 88
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
34 24 5 5 77
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
34 21 5 8 68
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
34 19 6 9 63
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
34 13 14 7 53
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
34 12 11 11 47
7
Getafe logoGetafe
34 13 5 16 44
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club ★
34 13 5 16 44
9
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
33 11 10 12 43
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
34 11 9 14 42
11
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
34 10 12 12 42
12
Valencia logoValencia ★
34 10 9 15 39
13
Espanyol logoEspanyol
34 10 9 15 39
14
Elche logoElche
34 9 11 14 38
15
Mallorca logoMallorca
34 10 8 16 38
16
Girona logoGirona
34 9 11 14 38
17
Alaves logoAlaves
34 9 9 16 36
18
Sevilla logoSevilla
33 9 7 17 34
19
Levante logoLevante
34 8 9 17 33
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
34 6 10 18 28
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