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Elche vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 09.05.2026 · 12:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
Elche emblem
Elche
L
W
W
W
L
vs
– : –
09 May · 12:00
Alaves emblem
Alaves
L
W
L
D
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.91

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Elche
45%
Draw
10%
Alaves

Form Comparison

■ Elche ■ Alaves
Elche
Alaves
64%
Form
36%
41%
Att
59%
63%
Def
37%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
40%
H2h
60%
42%
Goals
58%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Alaves vs Elche
3 — 1
05.02.2022
Elche vs Alaves
3 — 1
26.10.2021
Alaves vs Elche
1 — 0
31.07.2021
Alaves vs Elche
0 — 1
11.05.2021
Elche vs Alaves
0 — 2
18.10.2020
Alaves vs Elche
0 — 2

Last Matches

Elche
Alaves
03.05.2026
Celta Vigo vs Elche
1 — 3
26.04.2026
Oviedo vs Elche
2 — 1
22.04.2026
Elche vs Atletico Madrid
3 — 2
11.04.2026
Elche vs Valencia
1 — 0
03.04.2026
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

As the La Liga season approaches its climax, Elche hosts Alaves at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on May 9. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, with Elche sitting in 14th and Alaves just two spots below at 16th. This match presents an opportunity for both sides to secure crucial points and potentially improve their standings.

Elche's Solid Home Form

Elche comes into this fixture with a notable home record, having remained undefeated in their last five matches at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. They have secured three wins and two draws, showcasing a resilient defense that has conceded an average of just one goal per game at home. Their offensive capabilities have also been commendable, averaging 1.6 goals per match over the same period. The home side has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup. This stability could be pivotal as they seek to continue their positive run in front of their supporters.

Alaves' Offensive Threat

Alaves, on the other hand, has displayed a potent attacking force in recent matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite this offensive prowess, their defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, conceding 2.2 goals on average per match. Alaves' away form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five games on the road, accompanied by three losses and a draw. Nevertheless, their ability to find the back of the net, even in tough fixtures, cannot be overlooked. Like Elche, Alaves will be pleased to have a full squad available, as they aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the home team.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given the recent form and statistical trends, this encounter is likely to be an open and attacking affair. Both Elche and Alaves have demonstrated the capability to score, and their head-to-head history suggests competitive matches, with neither side dominating. Therefore, the most likely betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5," as both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games recently. With Elche's stable home defense and Alaves' attacking flair, fans can anticipate an entertaining match that might just see goals aplenty. This prediction carries a confidence score of 8, considering the combined average goals from both teams in recent fixtures and their head-to-head encounters.

Additionally, with Alaves' recent scoring record and Elche's solid home form, "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" is a probable outcome. This is supported by Alaves' consistent ability to score away from home, despite their defensive frailties. The odds favor a closely contested matchup, with a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with Elche scoring and conceding regularly at home, and Alaves demonstrating attacking strength.

2.91
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total:Over: 2.0
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
85%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Elche vs Alaves
Pin-UP
W12.22
X3.30
W23.20
William Hill
W12.25
X3.30
W23.00
Bet365
W12.20
X3.50
W23.00
Marathonbet
W12.29
X3.34
W23.38
Unibet
W12.23
X3.30
W23.35
Betfair
W12.25
X3.50
W23.00
BetVictor
W12.20
X3.30
W23.00
Pinnacle
W12.28
X3.31
W23.41
SBO
W12.10
X3.15
W22.98
1xBet
W12.33
X3.40
W23.44
Betano
W12.27
X3.25
W23.30
Dafabet
W12.24
X3.35
W23.15

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
34 29 1 4 88
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
34 24 5 5 77
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
34 21 5 8 68
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
34 19 6 9 63
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
34 13 14 7 53
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
34 12 11 11 47
7
Getafe logoGetafe
34 13 5 16 44
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
34 13 5 16 44
9
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
33 11 10 12 43
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
34 11 9 14 42
11
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
34 10 12 12 42
12
Valencia logoValencia
34 10 9 15 39
13
Espanyol logoEspanyol
34 10 9 15 39
14
Elche logoElche ★
34 9 11 14 38
15
Mallorca logoMallorca
34 10 8 16 38
16
Girona logoGirona
34 9 11 14 38
17
Alaves logoAlaves ★
34 9 9 16 36
18
Sevilla logoSevilla
33 9 7 17 34
19
Levante logoLevante
34 8 9 17 33
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
34 6 10 18 28
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