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Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga 09.05.2026 · 16:30 Metropolitano Stadium Referee: César Soto Grado, Spain
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
W
D
W
L
D
vs
– : –
09 May · 16:30
Celta Vigo emblem
Celta Vigo
W
L
L
L
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.94

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Atletico Madrid
45%
Draw
10%
Celta Vigo

Form Comparison

■ Atletico Madrid ■ Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
50%
Form
50%
56%
Att
44%
50%
Def
50%
60%
Poisson distribution
40%
85%
H2h
15%
78%
Goals
22%
63%
Total
37%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.10.2025
Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 1
15.02.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
1 — 1
26.09.2024
Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 1
12.05.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
1 — 0
21.10.2023
Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 3
12.02.2023
Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 1
10.09.2022
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
4 — 1
26.02.2022
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
2 — 0
15.08.2021
Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 2
08.02.2021
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
2 — 2

Last Matches

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
02.05.2026
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 0
29.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
1 — 1
25.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
3 — 2
22.04.2026
Elche vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 3
18.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
2 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Atletico Madrid is set to host Celta Vigo at the Metropolitano Stadium on May 9th. Both teams will be eager to secure a win, with Atletico aiming to solidify their position in the top four, while Celta Vigo looks to climb higher in the league standings. The stage is set for an intriguing encounter between two sides with contrasting recent forms.

Atletico Madrid's Unsteady Home Form

Atletico Madrid enters this fixture with mixed emotions, having managed only one victory in their last five matches. Their recent form has seen them struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. At home, they've not been at their best, with just one win in their last five performances. Despite these challenges, Atletico's attacking prowess remains intact, as they have consistently found the net, averaging 1.80 goals per match in their last five outings. The absence of any injured or suspended players gives manager Diego Simeone a full squad to choose from, which could be crucial in their quest to bounce back.

Celta Vigo's Struggle for Form

Celta Vigo's recent form has been less than inspiring, as they currently sit in 7th place in the league. The team has suffered five consecutive defeats, with their defense conceding an average of 2.40 goals per game. Their attack has also struggled, averaging just 0.40 goals over the same period. Away from home, Celta Vigo has shown some resilience, winning two out of their last five matches. However, they will need to significantly improve both offensively and defensively to challenge Atletico Madrid. Like their opponents, Celta Vigo has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

Prediction: Defensive Resilience to Dictate the Outcome

Given the recent trends, a low-scoring affair seems likely when Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo meet. Atletico's defensive vulnerabilities have been apparent, yet Celta Vigo's attacking struggles mean they might not fully exploit these weaknesses. Historically, matches between these two have been closely contested, with Atletico often emerging as the victors. The prediction leans towards a game where goals might be scarce, as both teams aim to tighten up at the back. The most likely betting event is "Total: Under: 2.5" due to the combination of Celta Vigo's low scoring average and Atletico's defensive issues. It's a match where a solitary goal could decide the outcome, making this a high-value prediction with a moderate confidence score.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Celta Vigo's recent goal drought and Atletico's defensive lapses suggest a low-scoring match.

2.94
Odds
Win 1
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Pin-UP
W12.12
X3.40
W23.30
William Hill
W12.05
X3.40
W23.30
Bet365
W12.05
X3.30
W23.40
Marathonbet
W12.17
X3.22
W23.84
Unibet
W11.98
X3.45
W23.90
Betfair
W12.05
X3.25
W23.60
BetVictor
W12.05
X3.40
W23.25
Pinnacle
W12.18
X3.19
W23.84
SBO
W12.06
X3.14
W23.06
1xBet
W12.20
X3.27
W23.90
Betano
W12.15
X3.15
W23.75
Dafabet
W12.08
X3.35
W23.55

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
34 29 1 4 88
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
34 24 5 5 77
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
34 21 5 8 68
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
34 19 6 9 63
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
34 13 14 7 53
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo ★
34 12 11 11 47
7
Getafe logoGetafe
34 13 5 16 44
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
34 13 5 16 44
9
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
33 11 10 12 43
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
34 11 9 14 42
11
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
34 10 12 12 42
12
Valencia logoValencia
34 10 9 15 39
13
Espanyol logoEspanyol
34 10 9 15 39
14
Elche logoElche
34 9 11 14 38
15
Mallorca logoMallorca
34 10 8 16 38
16
Girona logoGirona
34 9 11 14 38
17
Alaves logoAlaves
34 9 9 16 36
18
Sevilla logoSevilla
33 9 7 17 34
19
Levante logoLevante
34 8 9 17 33
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
34 6 10 18 28
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