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La Liga

Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 24.10.2026 · 12:30 Estadio de Mestalla Referee: J. Manzano
Valencia emblem
Valencia
D
D
L
W
L
vs
– : –
24 Oct · 12:30
Villarreal emblem
Villarreal
D
W
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
29%
Valencia
27%
Draw
44%
Villarreal

Form Comparison

■ Valencia ■ Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
42%
Form
58%
42%
Att
58%
45%
Def
55%
15%
Poisson distribution
85%
15%
H2h
85%
30%
Goals
70%
32%
Total
69%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.02.2026
Villarreal vs Valencia
2 — 1
25.10.2025
Valencia vs Villarreal
0 — 2
15.02.2025
Villarreal vs Valencia
1 — 1
31.08.2024
Valencia vs Villarreal
1 — 1
17.03.2024
Villarreal vs Valencia
1 — 0
02.01.2024
Valencia vs Villarreal
3 — 1
03.05.2023
Valencia vs Villarreal
1 — 1
31.12.2022
Villarreal vs Valencia
2 — 1
19.04.2022
Villarreal vs Valencia
2 — 0
30.10.2021
Valencia vs Villarreal
2 — 0

Last Matches

Valencia
Villarreal
17.10.2026
Valencia vs Athletic Club
0 — 0
11.10.2026
Racing Santander vs Valencia
2 — 2
20.09.2026
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
2 — 3
15.09.2026
Alaves vs Valencia
1 — 0
11.09.2026
Sevilla vs Valencia
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Valencia will host Villarreal at the Estadio de Mestalla in what promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams. The match holds significant weight for Valencia, currently languishing in the relegation zone, as they seek to turn their fortunes around against a Villarreal side sitting mid-table.

Valencia's Struggles in La Liga

Valencia's current season has been challenging, as they find themselves in the 19th position after eight matches. With just one win and five points to their name, the team is in the relegation zone and needs every point to climb out of danger. Their recent form has been inconsistent, managing only one victory in their last five matches, a narrow 1-0 away win at Alaves. However, their home form is particularly concerning, with four losses and a draw in their last five games, scoring just two goals while conceding ten. Valencia's inconsistent performance is a stark contrast to their previous season, where they finished 9th in the league. The team needs to improve their attacking prowess and tighten their defense if they hope to avoid relegation.

Villarreal's Mid-table Position

Villarreal is currently positioned 11th in the league, having accumulated eight points from their eight matches. While their standing isn't as perilous as Valencia's, they too are seeking better consistency. Villarreal's recent results have been a mixed bag, with notable victories against Levante and Malaga, which they won 3-1, but they have also faced defeats against top-tier teams like Real Madrid and Real Betis. Away from home, Villarreal has struggled somewhat, with only one win in their last five outings. Despite this, their scoring ability has been more reliable, averaging 2.00 goals per game in their last five matches. Villarreal will likely look to capitalize on Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a win.

Prediction: Villarreal to Capitalize on Valencia's Weaknesses

For this encounter between Valencia and Villarreal, the prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes". Given Valencia's leaky defense, which has conceded an average of 2.20 goals per game recently, and Villarreal's decent scoring form, both teams finding the net seems probable. Additionally, Valencia's urgent need for points might push them to be more aggressive in attack, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Additional predictions include: 1. Double Chance: X2 (probability: 70) - Villarreal's stronger recent form and Valencia's struggles suggest Villarreal is unlikely to lose. 2. Total Team 1: Under 1.5 (probability: 65) - Valencia's scoring struggles at home indicate they may score fewer goals. 3. Total Team 2: Over 0.5 (probability: 75) - Villarreal's scoring record suggests they are likely to score at least once. 4. Handicap 2: 0.5 (probability: 60) - Villarreal is expected to perform well enough to avoid a loss, even with a goal advantage for Valencia.

These predictions are grounded in the current form and statistical evidence from the teams' recent performances. Both teams have shown the potential to score, but Villarreal's slight edge in form and position makes them more favorable in this matchup.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X2
70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
9 9 0 0 27
2
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
9 7 1 1 22
3
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
9 7 0 2 21
4
Real Betis logoReal Betis
9 6 1 2 19
5
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
9 5 1 3 16
6
Sevilla logoSevilla
9 4 2 3 14
7
Alaves logoAlaves
9 3 2 4 11
8
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
9 2 5 2 11
9
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
9 2 5 2 11
10
Osasuna logoOsasuna
9 3 2 4 11
11
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
7 2 3 2 9
12
Villarreal logoVillarreal ★
9 2 3 4 9
13
Espanyol logoEspanyol
9 2 2 5 8
14
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 8
15
Getafe logoGetafe
8 2 2 4 8
16
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
9 2 2 5 8
17
Levante logoLevante
8 1 4 3 7
18
Elche logoElche
9 1 4 4 7
19
Valencia logoValencia ★
9 1 3 5 6
20
Malaga logoMalaga
9 0 4 5 4
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