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La Liga

Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 18.10.2026 · 12:30 La Rosaleda Referee: Jesús Gil
Malaga emblem
Malaga
D
L
L
D
D
vs
– : –
18 Oct · 12:30
Real Sociedad emblem
Real Sociedad
D
W
L
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
30%
Malaga
28%
Draw
42%
Real Sociedad

Form Comparison

■ Malaga ■ Real Sociedad
Malaga
Real Sociedad
23%
Form
77%
25%
Att
75%
60%
Def
40%
37%
Poisson distribution
63%
50%
H2h
50%
55%
Goals
45%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
07.01.2024
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
0 — 1
22.04.2018
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
2 — 0
10.12.2017
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
0 — 2
14.05.2017
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
2 — 2
16.01.2017
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
0 — 2
27.02.2016
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
1 — 1
03.10.2015
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
3 — 1
04.04.2015
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
1 — 1
01.11.2014
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
0 — 1
17.02.2014
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
0 — 1

Last Matches

Malaga
Real Sociedad
09.10.2026
Malaga vs Espanyol
1 — 1
20.09.2026
Getafe vs Malaga
0 — 1
17.09.2026
Malaga vs Villarreal
1 — 3
13.09.2026
Celta Vigo vs Malaga
1 — 1
06.09.2026
Malaga vs Levante
0 — 0
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Malaga
A. Ochoa, D. Murillo, J. Cajuste, J. Cruz, J. Lobete, M. Diarra
Real Sociedad
A. Odriozola, J. Aramburu, L. Beitia
P. Marin

Malaga, recently promoted from the Segunda División, is struggling at the bottom of La Liga, having earned only 4 points from their first eight matches. Real Sociedad, on the other hand, is comfortably positioned in the top half of the table, though they have shown some inconsistency in their recent outings. As these two teams prepare to clash at La Rosaleda, the match promises to be an intriguing encounter between a struggling newcomer and a seasoned La Liga side.

Malaga's Challenge to Escape Relegation

Malaga has found life in La Liga challenging, securing just four draws and suffering four losses in their opening eight games. Their recent form is worrying, with the team managing to score only 0.60 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Their last five matches have included three draws and two losses, highlighting their struggle to secure victories. At home, they have been slightly more resilient, with four draws and one loss, scoring an average of 1.00 goals while conceding 1.40. Despite their difficulties, Malaga will be looking to make a statement against Real Sociedad and start their climb away from the relegation zone.

Real Sociedad's Quest for Consistency

Real Sociedad currently sits in the top 40% of La Liga, a position that reflects their potential but also their inconsistency. With two wins in their last five games, including an impressive away victory against Valencia, Sociedad has shown they can perform on the road. They average 1.40 goals scored per game, but their defense has been porous, conceding 2.00 goals per game over their last five outings. Away from home, they have been slightly better, scoring 1.60 goals per game, which could prove crucial against a Malaga side that has struggled to find the back of the net.

Prediction: Real Sociedad to Capitalize on Malaga's Struggles

Given the current form and table positions, the prediction for Malaga vs Real Sociedad leans towards an away victory. Malaga's struggles in adapting to the top flight and their inability to secure wins make Real Sociedad the more likely victors. Real Sociedad's away form and scoring ability suggest they can overcome Malaga’s home resilience.

- **Main Prediction:** Real Sociedad to win - **Additional Predictions:** - Total: Under 3.0 - Both Teams to Score: No - Handicap 2: 0.5 - Total Team 2: Over 0.5

Real Sociedad's stronger league position and better recent form, especially away from home, provide the rationale for expecting them to secure a win against a Malaga side that has struggled to adapt to the demands of La Liga. Their attacking prowess and Malaga's defensive vulnerabilities further support this prediction.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
8 8 0 0 24
2
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
8 6 1 1 19
3
Real Betis logoReal Betis
8 6 1 1 19
4
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
8 6 0 2 18
5
Sevilla logoSevilla
8 4 2 2 14
6
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad ★
8 4 1 3 13
7
Alaves logoAlaves
8 3 2 3 11
8
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
8 2 4 2 10
9
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
8 1 5 2 8
10
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
6 2 2 2 8
11
Villarreal logoVillarreal
8 2 2 4 8
12
Espanyol logoEspanyol
8 2 2 4 8
13
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 8
14
Getafe logoGetafe
8 2 2 4 8
15
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
8 2 2 4 8
16
Osasuna logoOsasuna
8 2 2 4 8
17
Levante logoLevante
7 1 3 3 6
18
Elche logoElche
8 1 3 4 6
19
Valencia logoValencia
8 1 2 5 5
20
Malaga logoMalaga ★
8 0 4 4 4
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