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La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga 13.09.2026 · 15:00 Anoeta Referee: J. Alberola
Real Sociedad emblem
Real Sociedad
W
D
W
L
L
vs
– : –
13 Sep · 15:00
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
L
L
W
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
32%
Real Sociedad
28%
Draw
40%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Real Sociedad ■ Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
50%
Form
50%
46%
Att
54%
43%
Def
57%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
38%
H2h
62%
39%
Goals
61%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
2 — 2
07.03.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
3 — 2
04.01.2026
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 1
10.05.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
4 — 0
06.10.2024
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 1
25.05.2024
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 2
08.10.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
2 — 1
02.08.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
0 — 0
02.08.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
28.05.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad
2 — 1

Last Matches

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
07.09.2026
Elche vs Real Sociedad
3 — 2
03.09.2026
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
0 — 0
29.08.2026
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
2 — 1
26.08.2026
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
1 — 4
21.08.2026
Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
0 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Real Sociedad
A. Odriozola, P. Marin
J. Martin
Atletico Madrid
A. Sorloth

Real Sociedad comes into this match with an average of just 0.80 goals scored over their last five games, while Atletico Madrid has been significantly more productive, averaging 2.00 goals per game in the same period.

Form and Context

Real Sociedad's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five results showing one win, one draw, and three losses. Their only victory came against Espanyol, a narrow 2-1 win at home. With a less than stellar average of 0.80 goals scored per match, they have struggled offensively. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.80 goals, indicating vulnerabilities at the back, both home and away.

In contrast, Atletico Madrid sits comfortably in third place, showcasing form that includes three wins, one draw, and a single loss from their last five outings. Their attacking department has been productive, scoring an average of 2.00 goals, while their defense has been relatively sturdy, conceding 1.40 goals per game. Atletico's away form has been decent with two victories, though they have also suffered two defeats, indicating some inconsistency on the road.

Key Numbers

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides reveal a competitive history, with Atletico winning twice and drawing twice in their last five meetings. Real Sociedad has managed only one win against the visitors. At Anoeta, Sociedad's home advantage sees them scoring an average of 0.75 goals per match while conceding the same number. Atletico's away games show a more aggressive approach, with the team scoring an average of 1.75 and conceding 1.75 goals.

The goals conceded by Sociedad at home match Atletico's scoring prowess on the road, suggesting a potentially tight contest. However, with Atletico's superior offensive capabilities, they may find the back of the net more frequently.

Prediction

For this encounter, given Atletico Madrid's superior goal-scoring record and Real Sociedad's defensive frailties, a likely event is Atletico Madrid scoring first. Atletico's ability to take control early in matches, as evidenced by their recent performances, aligns well with Sociedad's tendency to concede. Therefore, the prediction is that Atletico Madrid will score the first goal, driven by their robust attacking lineup. Confidence in this outcome is high, with a score of 8 out of 10.

Additional betting opportunities consider Real Sociedad's home form and Atletico's away tendencies. Another plausible outcome is a draw, given their historical head-to-head results. The probability of both teams scoring is also considerable, given their respective scoring and conceding patterns. Lastly, considering Atletico's away scoring average, a bet on them scoring over 1.5 goals holds weight.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X
30%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
4 4 0 0 12
2
Alaves logoAlaves
4 3 1 0 10
3
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
4 3 0 1 9
4
Real Betis logoReal Betis
4 3 0 1 9
5
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
4 2 2 0 8
6
Sevilla logoSevilla
4 2 1 1 7
7
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
4 2 1 1 7
8
Osasuna logoOsasuna
4 2 1 1 7
9
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad ★
5 2 1 2 7
10
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
4 2 0 2 6
11
Levante logoLevante
4 1 2 1 5
12
Espanyol logoEspanyol
4 1 1 2 4
13
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
4 1 1 2 4
14
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
4 1 1 2 4
15
Getafe logoGetafe
4 1 1 2 4
16
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
5 0 3 2 3
17
Villarreal logoVillarreal
4 0 2 2 2
18
Malaga logoMalaga
4 0 2 2 2
19
Elche logoElche
4 0 1 3 1
20
Valencia logoValencia
4 0 1 3 1
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