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La Liga

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga 29.08.2026 · 15:30 Referee: I. Diaz
Sevilla emblem
Sevilla
W
W
L
W
W
vs
– : –
29 Aug · 15:30
Atletico Madrid emblem
Atletico Madrid
D
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
27%
Sevilla
28%
Draw
45%
Atletico Madrid

Form Comparison

■ Sevilla ■ Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
60%
Form
40%
56%
Att
44%
50%
Def
50%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
40%
H2h
60%
41%
Goals
59%
49%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.04.2026
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
2 — 1
01.11.2025
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
3 — 0
06.04.2025
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 2
08.12.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
4 — 3
11.02.2024
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 0
25.01.2024
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
1 — 0
23.12.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
1 — 0
05.08.2023
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 1
04.03.2023
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
6 — 1
01.10.2022
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 2

Last Matches

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
22.08.2026
Athletic Club vs Sevilla
3 — 1
15.08.2026
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
2 — 1
08.08.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla
1 — 2
02.08.2026
Utrecht vs Sevilla
1 — 0
31.07.2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Sevilla
2 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

In their last five outings, Atletico Madrid has scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, showcasing a potent attacking force, whereas Sevilla has netted an average of 1.60 goals per game. As both teams prepare to meet, Sevilla's slightly more resilient defense, conceding just 1.00 goal per match compared to Atletico's 1.40, might give them a slight edge.

Form and Context

Both teams enter this clash with strong recent performances. Sevilla, sitting in fourth place, has demonstrated consistency, especially at home, with three wins in their last three matches. Their home form has been impressive, scoring an average of 1.67 goals while conceding just 0.67. Atletico Madrid, however, holds a higher league position in third, and while their home form is formidable with a 3.00 goals per game average, their away performance has been less convincing. Winning just one of their last three away fixtures, Atletico concedes an average of 2.00 goals in these matches, which could be a concern against a disciplined Sevilla side.

Key Numbers

Sevilla's solid home performance contrasts with Atletico's vulnerability on the road. The head-to-head record also hints at a closely contested battle; Sevilla has managed two wins in the last five encounters, while Atletico has claimed three victories. Atletico Madrid's attack has been prolific, particularly at home, but they have struggled defensively away, which Sevilla might exploit. With both teams having no injuries or suspensions, the contest promises to be a direct reflection of their current form and tactical setups.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends, a draw appears to be a plausible outcome. Sevilla's home advantage and defensive solidity might counterbalance Atletico's offensive prowess. The prediction leans towards a draw, primarily due to Atletico's inconsistency on the road and Sevilla's robust home form. Additionally, with both sides capable of scoring, the match could see goals from both teams. The most probable betting event is "X", with a confidence score of 7. The likelihood of a draw is bolstered by Sevilla's capability to hold strong defensively against Atletico's attack. In addition to the main prediction, consider the following: Sevilla might score over 0.5 goals, given their home scoring record; Atletico Madrid is likely to score over 0.5 goals, reflecting their offensive strength; the combined goal total might exceed 1.5, and Atletico's away struggles suggest Sevilla might avoid defeat through 1X.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
Total:Over: 1.5
70%
1X
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
William Hill
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
Dafabet

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sevilla logoSevilla ★
2 2 0 0 6
2
Alaves logoAlaves
2 1 1 0 4
3
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid ★
2 1 1 0 4
4
Barcelona logoBarcelona
1 1 0 0 3
5
Espanyol logoEspanyol
2 1 0 1 3
6
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
1 1 0 0 3
7
Real Betis logoReal Betis
1 1 0 0 3
8
Getafe logoGetafe
2 1 0 1 3
9
Villarreal logoVillarreal
2 0 2 0 2
10
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
2 0 2 0 2
11
Valencia logoValencia
1 0 1 0 1
12
Osasuna logoOsasuna
1 0 1 0 1
13
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
1 0 1 0 1
14
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
2 0 1 1 1
15
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
2 0 1 1 1
16
Malaga logoMalaga
2 0 1 1 1
17
Levante logoLevante
2 0 1 1 1
18
Elche logoElche
2 0 1 1 1
19
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
1 0 0 1 0
20
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
1 0 0 1 0
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