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La Liga

Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 20.09.2026 · 15:00 Estadio de Mestalla Referee: I. Galech
Valencia emblem
Valencia
W
L
L
L
L
vs
– : –
20 Sep · 15:00
Real Sociedad emblem
Real Sociedad
L
L
W
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Valencia
28%
Draw
37%
Real Sociedad

Form Comparison

■ Valencia ■ Real Sociedad
Valencia
Real Sociedad
30%
Form
70%
25%
Att
75%
50%
Def
50%
0%
Poisson distribution
100%
50%
H2h
50%
43%
Goals
57%
40%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
17.05.2026
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3 — 4
16.08.2025
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1 — 1
19.01.2025
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1 — 0
28.09.2024
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
3 — 0
16.05.2024
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
1 — 0
27.09.2023
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
0 — 1
25.02.2023
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
1 — 0
06.11.2022
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
1 — 1
06.02.2022
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
0 — 0
21.11.2021
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
0 — 0

Last Matches

Valencia
Real Sociedad
15.09.2026
Alaves vs Valencia
1 — 0
11.09.2026
Sevilla vs Valencia
0 — 1
06.09.2026
Valencia vs Barcelona
0 — 5
30.08.2026
Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia
1 — 3
25.08.2026
Valencia vs Real Betis
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 0 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Valencia
C. Tarrega, D. Foulquier, D. Lopez, J. Copete, L. Rioja, M. Diakhaby, S. Canos, U. Sadiq
Real Sociedad
A. Odriozola, I. Zubeldia

Valencia's form heading into their clash against Real Sociedad is concerning, with just 0.20 goals scored on average over their last five matches and a heavy 0-5 home defeat to Barcelona highlighting their struggles. In contrast, Real Sociedad, sitting mid-table at ninth, average 1.20 goals per match in the same period, showing a more potent attacking threat.

Form and Context

Valencia's recent form has been dismal, languishing at the bottom of La Liga with four losses and one draw in their last five matches. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. At the Mestalla, they've been particularly vulnerable, with only one point earned from a possible 15. Real Sociedad, while not at their best, have shown promise with two wins in their last five outings. However, their away form mirrors Valencia's home struggles, having lost four of their last five away games. This encounter puts a spotlight on two teams eager to rectify their poor spells, with Valencia particularly desperate to climb out of the relegation zone.

Key Numbers

When comparing their scoring capabilities, Real Sociedad's 1.20 goals per game starkly contrasts Valencia's meager 0.20. Defensively, Valencia have conceded 1.80 goals per game at home, slightly better than Sociedad's away concession rate of 2.40. Historically, their head-to-head battles have been evenly matched, with each team securing two wins and one draw in their last five meetings. This parity suggests a competitive edge despite their current league positions, with Valencia's last win against Sociedad dating back to a narrow 1-0 victory.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends and current form, a prediction of a draw seems plausible. Valencia's defensive resilience at home, albeit shaky, and Sociedad's inconsistency on the road could result in a stalemate. With the absence of injuries and suspensions for both sides, the match dynamics remain largely tactical. Betting on both teams to score appears likely, considering their defensive lapses and previous head-to-head scoring records. The lack of a decisive edge for either team makes a draw the most probable outcome, reflecting their recent performances and historical encounters.

In betting terms, the most likely event is a draw (market: X). Valencia's inability to secure wins at home coupled with Sociedad's away struggles suggest a tightly contested match. A Confidence Score of 7 reflects the balanced nature of this prediction. Additional betting predictions include both teams scoring, given their defensive vulnerabilities, and specific goal totals based on their recent scoring trends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
X2
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Valencia vs Real Sociedad
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
6 6 0 0 18
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
6 5 0 1 15
3
Real Betis logoReal Betis
6 5 0 1 15
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
6 4 1 1 13
5
Sevilla logoSevilla
6 4 1 1 13
6
Alaves logoAlaves
6 3 1 2 10
7
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna
6 2 3 1 9
8
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
5 2 1 2 7
9
Espanyol logoEspanyol
7 2 1 4 7
10
Racing Santander logoRacing Santander
6 2 1 3 7
11
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
6 2 1 3 7
12
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad ★
6 2 1 3 7
13
Osasuna logoOsasuna
6 2 1 3 7
14
Villarreal logoVillarreal
6 1 2 3 5
15
Levante logoLevante
5 1 2 2 5
16
Getafe logoGetafe
6 1 2 3 5
17
Elche logoElche
7 1 2 4 5
18
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
6 0 4 2 4
19
Valencia logoValencia ★
6 1 1 4 4
20
Malaga logoMalaga
6 0 3 3 3
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