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Liga MX

Leon vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX 24.10.2026 · 19:00 Estadio León Referee: Said Martinez, Honduras
Leon emblem
Leon
W
L
D
W
D
vs
– : –
24 Oct · 19:00
Toluca emblem
Toluca
D
D
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
28%
Leon
27%
Draw
45%
Toluca

Form Comparison

■ Leon ■ Toluca
Leon
Toluca
62%
Form
38%
50%
Att
50%
56%
Def
44%
45%
Poisson distribution
55%
15%
H2h
85%
35%
Goals
65%
44%
Total
56%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.09.2026
Toluca vs Leon
2 — 0
25.04.2026
Toluca vs Leon
4 — 1
04.10.2025
Leon vs Toluca
2 — 4
08.02.2025
Leon vs Toluca
3 — 3
02.11.2024
Toluca vs Leon
2 — 2
03.02.2024
Toluca vs Leon
4 — 1
21.10.2023
Leon vs Toluca
1 — 0
29.01.2023
Toluca vs Leon
0 — 0
26.07.2022
Leon vs Toluca
0 — 1
01.05.2022
Leon vs Toluca
4 — 4

Last Matches

Leon
Toluca
20.10.2026
Tigres UANL vs Leon
2 — 0
17.10.2026
Leon vs Club America
3 — 5
09.10.2026
Puebla vs Leon
1 — 1
27.09.2026
Leon vs FC Juarez
2 — 1
20.09.2026
Club Queretaro vs Leon
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

As the Liga MX season progresses, Leon hosts Toluca at Estadio León on October 24, 2026. Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent performances, making for an intriguing encounter.

Leon's Home Resilience

Leon has demonstrated strong form at home, winning their last five home matches while scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding just 0.20 per game. Their recent 2-0 victory over Atletico San Luis highlights their capability to secure results at Estadio León. Despite their solid home record, Leon's last five matches overall show a mixed bag, including a 3-1 loss to U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Their ability to capitalize on home advantage could play a crucial role against Toluca.

Toluca's Offensive Threat

Toluca currently sits second in Liga MX, a testament to their strong start to the season. Despite this, their recent form has been shaky, with three losses in their last five matches. Toluca has shown potency in attack, averaging 1.80 goals per match, but their defense has been a concern, conceding 2.20 goals per game. Their recent 1-0 win over Puebla suggests they can still grind out results, especially away from home, where they have managed two wins in their last five outings.

Predicting a Competitive Clash

In this Leon vs. Toluca prediction, both teams are expected to find the net given their respective scoring records. Leon's home strength combined with Toluca's attacking flair suggests a closely contested match. The main pick for this clash is "Both Teams to Score: Yes," as both sides have shown vulnerabilities in defense while possessing the capability to score.

Additional predictions include "Double Chance: 1X" due to Leon's impressive home form, "Total: Over 1.5" reflecting the likelihood of multiple goals, "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" as Leon is expected to score, and "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" given Toluca's offensive threat. Overall, this clash promises to be an engaging affair with goals from both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Club America logoClub America
12 8 3 1 27
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
13 6 5 2 23
3
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
13 7 2 4 23
4
Toluca logoToluca ★
13 6 4 3 22
5
Leon logoLeon ★
13 6 3 4 21
6
Atlas logoAtlas
13 6 3 4 21
7
Monterrey logoMonterrey
12 6 2 4 20
8
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
12 6 2 4 20
9
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
13 6 1 6 19
10
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
12 4 5 3 17
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
13 4 4 5 16
12
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
13 4 4 5 16
13
Puebla logoPuebla
13 4 4 5 16
14
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
13 3 5 5 14
15
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
13 3 5 5 14
16
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
13 3 4 6 13
17
Necaxa logoNecaxa
13 2 3 8 9
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
13 1 1 11 4
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