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Liga MX

Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction

Liga MX 07.11.2026 · 20:00 Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca emblem
Toluca
D
D
D
D
L
vs
– : –
07 Nov · 20:00
Monterrey emblem
Monterrey
D
L
W
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Toluca
23%
Draw
22%
Monterrey

Form Comparison

■ Toluca ■ Monterrey
Toluca
Monterrey
33%
Form
67%
44%
Att
56%
44%
Def
56%
59%
Poisson distribution
41%
60%
H2h
40%
58%
Goals
42%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.10.2026
Monterrey vs Toluca
2 — 1
06.09.2026
Toluca vs Monterrey
2 — 0
10.01.2026
Monterrey vs Toluca
0 — 1
06.12.2025
Toluca vs Monterrey
3 — 2
03.12.2025
Monterrey vs Toluca
1 — 0
24.09.2025
Toluca vs Monterrey
6 — 2
10.05.2025
Toluca vs Monterrey
2 — 1
07.05.2025
Monterrey vs Toluca
3 — 2
18.01.2025
Toluca vs Monterrey
1 — 1
31.08.2024
Monterrey vs Toluca
1 — 2

Last Matches

Toluca
Monterrey
31.10.2026
Club America vs Toluca
2 — 2
24.10.2026
Leon vs Toluca
1 — 1
21.10.2026
Toluca vs Club Tijuana
2 — 2
17.10.2026
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
1 — 1
09.10.2026
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
2 — 3
W: 0 · D: 4 · L: 1

As Toluca prepares to host Monterrey at the Estadio Nemesio Diez, both teams are eyeing a crucial win to boost their positions in the Liga MX standings. With Toluca sitting 5th and Monterrey close behind in 8th, this match promises to be a competitive encounter that could have significant implications for the playoff spots.

Toluca's Recent Performance

Toluca has been consistent this season, maintaining a position in the top quarter of the Liga MX table. They currently hold the 5th spot with 23 points from 14 games. While their recent form shows some struggles, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches, they have shown resilience, particularly in home games. Toluca has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last five home matches, indicating their offensive strength at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in the same period.

Monterrey's Recent Form

Monterrey comes into this fixture with a recent record that shows promise, having secured two wins and a draw in their last five matches. They sit 8th in the league, only three points behind Toluca, with a game in hand. Monterrey has been effective on the road, as evidenced by their impressive 4-1 victory against Puebla. They have also shown defensive solidity, conceding just 1 goal per game on average in their last five outings. Monterrey's ability to score, combined with their defensive strengths, makes them a formidable opponent for Toluca.

Match Prediction and Expectations

In this tightly contested Liga MX encounter, both Toluca and Monterrey will be eager to secure valuable points. For this prediction, we anticipate that both teams will find the back of the net, given their attacking capabilities and vulnerabilities in defense. Therefore, the main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." This prediction is supported by the recent form of both teams, where they have shown offensive prowess yet defensive frailties.

Supporting this main prediction, we also foresee the following outcomes: Monterrey securing at least a draw with "Double Chance: X2," considering their recent form and defensive strength. Additionally, we predict "Total: Over 1.5" goals, aligning with the teams' scoring trends. For Toluca, we expect "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" goals, given their solid home scoring record. Lastly, Monterrey is likely to score, so "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" is another reasonable prediction.

In summary, the upcoming clash between Toluca and Monterrey is likely to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams eager to capitalize on their offensive strengths.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X2
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
1xBet

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Club America logoClub America
15 8 5 2 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 29
3
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
15 9 2 4 29
4
Atlas logoAtlas
15 8 3 4 27
5
Toluca logoToluca ★
15 6 6 3 24
6
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
15 5 7 3 22
7
Leon logoLeon
15 6 4 5 22
8
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
15 7 1 7 22
9
Monterrey logoMonterrey ★
14 6 3 5 21
10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 20
11
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
14 6 2 6 20
12
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
15 5 4 6 19
13
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
15 5 4 6 19
14
Puebla logoPuebla
15 4 4 7 16
15
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
15 3 6 6 15
16
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
15 3 5 7 14
17
Necaxa logoNecaxa
15 2 4 9 10
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
15 2 2 11 8
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