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Liga MX

Toluca VS Santos Laguna: Final Score & Prediction

Liga MX 20.09.2026 · 20:00 Estadio Nemesio Diez Referee: Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez
Toluca emblem
Toluca
W
W
W
W
W
Full Time
2 – 3
HT 2:1
20 Sep · 20:00
Santos Laguna emblem
Santos Laguna
W
L
D
L
L

Match Stats

Toluca 2:3 Santos Laguna
46%
Ball Possession
54%
24
Total Shots
22
9
Shots on Target
6
12
Shots off Target
11
3
Blocked Shots
5
18
Shots Inside Box
12
6
Shots Outside Box
10
6
Corners
7
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7
439
Total Passes
515
361
Accurate Passes
435

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
⚽ Federico ViñasGoal · Alexis Vega
25'
Nicolás CastroYellow Card
38'
⚽ João Paulo Dias FernandesGoal · Alexis Vega
43'
45'
Emmanuel EcheverriaSubstitution · Diego González ⇆
45'
Salvador MariscalSubstitution · Francisco Villalba ⇆
45+1'
Ezequiel BullaudeGoal ⚽
Antonio Ricardo Mohamed MatijevichYellow Card
45+4'
Everardo LopezRed Card
45+7'
45+8'
Facundo CáseresYellow Card
⇆ Alexis VegaSubstitution · Jorge Diaz
66'
⇆ Federico ViñasSubstitution · Jesús Angulo
66'
69'
L. GómezSubstitution · Kevin Palacios ⇆
69'
Ezequiel BullaudeSubstitution · Eduardo Aguirre ⇆
75'
Facundo CáseresSubstitution · Javier Guemez ⇆
⇆ João Paulo Dias FernandesSubstitution · Luan Garcia
81'
86'
Kevin PalaciosGoal · Francisco Villalba ⚽
⇆ Nicolás CastroSubstitution · Brian Garcia
90+1'
90+5'
Francisco VillalbaGoal · Mauricio Cuevas ⚽

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
71%
Toluca
18%
Draw
11%
Santos Laguna

Form Comparison

■ Toluca ■ Santos Laguna
Toluca
Santos Laguna
76%
Form
24%
75%
Att
25%
67%
Def
33%
85%
Poisson distribution
15%
80%
H2h
20%
63%
Goals
38%
74%
Total
26%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.01.2026
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
3 — 1
16.07.2025
Santos Laguna vs Toluca
2 — 4
06.04.2025
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
2 — 1
22.09.2024
Santos Laguna vs Toluca
2 — 0
21.02.2024
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
1 — 0
05.11.2023
Santos Laguna vs Toluca
3 — 1
23.02.2023
Santos Laguna vs Toluca
0 — 5
16.10.2022
Santos Laguna vs Toluca
1 — 2
13.10.2022
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
4 — 3
23.07.2022
Toluca vs Santos Laguna
2 — 1

Last Matches

Toluca
Santos Laguna
15.09.2026
Puebla vs Toluca
1 — 0
12.09.2026
Toluca vs Atlas
5 — 2
06.09.2026
Toluca vs Monterrey
2 — 0
02.09.2026
Toluca vs Leon
2 — 0
30.08.2026
Toluca vs FC Juarez
4 — 0
W: 5 · D: 0 · L: 0

Toluca's impressive run is underscored by their last five matches, where they have scored an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding none. This formidable form sees them sitting comfortably in third place in Liga MX. In stark contrast, Santos Laguna finds themselves struggling, positioned at 17th in the league with an average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Toluca's recent performances include dominant victories such as a 3-0 win over Atlas and a 4-0 triumph against FC Juarez, showcasing a well-oiled attack and an impregnable defense. Santos Laguna, meanwhile, has had a tough stretch, managing just one win in their last five outings, a 2-0 victory over Philadelphia Union, but otherwise showing vulnerabilities, especially in a 3-2 loss to Puebla.

Toluca's strength at home is evident, having won all of their last five home games while maintaining a perfect defensive record. They average 2.60 goals per game at home, a statistic that highlights their attacking prowess in familiar settings. Conversely, Santos Laguna's away form has been poor, with just one win in their last five away fixtures and an average of 1.80 goals conceded per game. The head-to-head record between these two teams also favors Toluca, who have won four out of their last five encounters, including a convincing 4-2 win away from home. Santos Laguna's single victory against Toluca in recent history was a narrow 2-0 home win, indicating their struggles when facing Toluca on the road.

Given the current form and statistics, Toluca appears to have the upper hand. Their ability to score freely and maintain solidity at the back makes them overwhelming favorites against a Santos Laguna side that has struggled both offensively and defensively. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, Toluca's consistent performances suggest a continuation of their winning streak. The prediction leans heavily in favor of a Toluca victory, with a strong possibility of them keeping a clean sheet, given Santos Laguna's scoring woes.

For the betting event, a 'Win 1' for Toluca is a sound choice. Their unbeaten run at home, coupled with Santos Laguna's troubles on the road, solidifies this prediction. A confidence score of 9 is assigned to this event, reflecting Toluca's clear statistical advantage. Additional betting opportunities include 'Total Team 1 Over: 1.5,' given Toluca's scoring rate, with a 75% probability. 'Handicap 1: 1' is also appealing, with Toluca likely to win by more than one goal, having a 70% probability. 'Total Team 2 Under: 1' is plausible, as Santos Laguna has struggled to find the net, holding a 65% probability. Lastly, 'X2' is given a 10% probability, acknowledging the slim chance of Santos Laguna disrupting Toluca's dominance.

Prediction and Betting Tips

9/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Handicap 1: 1
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
65%
X2
10%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
SBO
1xBet
Pinnacle

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Club America logoClub America
10 6 3 1 21
2
Toluca logoToluca ★
11 6 2 3 20
3
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
10 6 2 2 20
4
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
11 5 4 2 19
5
Leon logoLeon
11 5 3 3 18
6
Atlas logoAtlas
11 5 3 3 18
7
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
11 5 2 4 17
8
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
10 4 3 3 15
9
Puebla logoPuebla
11 4 3 4 15
10
Monterrey logoMonterrey
10 4 2 4 14
11
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca
11 3 4 4 13
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
11 3 4 4 13
13
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
11 3 4 4 13
14
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna ★
11 4 1 6 13
15
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
11 3 3 5 12
16
Atlante FC logoAtlante FC
11 2 5 4 11
17
Necaxa logoNecaxa
11 2 3 6 9
18
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
11 1 1 9 4
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