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Ligue 1

Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction

Ligue 1 22.11.2026 · 14:45 Orange Vélodrome
Marseille emblem
Marseille
W
W
W
W
L
vs
– : –
22 Nov · 14:45
Le Mans emblem
Le Mans
D
L
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
66%
Marseille
21%
Draw
13%
Le Mans

Form Comparison

■ Marseille ■ Le Mans
Marseille
Le Mans
88%
Form
12%
83%
Att
17%
63%
Def
38%
72%
Poisson distribution
28%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
77%
Total
24%

Last Matches

Marseille
Le Mans
08.11.2026
Lens vs Marseille
1 — 2
05.11.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille
0 — 1
01.11.2026
Marseille vs Toulouse
2 — 0
25.10.2026
Marseille vs Le Havre
4 — 3
22.10.2026
Sturm Graz vs Marseille
1 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Marseille
D. Cornelius, Emerson
Le Mans
A. Bourabaa

Marseille is set to face Le Mans at the Orange Vélodrome on November 22nd in a Ligue 1 clash. Both teams are looking to secure crucial points, with Marseille aiming to maintain their strong start to the season while Le Mans seeks to lift themselves out of the lower ranks.

Marseille's Strong Start

Marseille has demonstrated a robust performance this season, currently sitting 4th in the Ligue 1 standings with 18 points from 10 matches. Their recent form is impressive, with four wins in their last five games, including a significant victory against Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League. Marseille has shown strength in attack, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game over their last five matches, and their recent home form has been solid, though they have conceded at a similar rate. Despite injuries to D. Cornelius and Emerson, Marseille's squad depth has allowed them to continue performing at a high level domestically and in Europe.

Le Mans' Challenging Transition

Le Mans, newly promoted to Ligue 1, has faced a challenging start to their campaign, positioned 15th in the league table with just 8 points. Their recent form highlights the struggle, with no wins in their last five matches. Le Mans has managed to draw against Monaco, but they have suffered heavy defeats, notably a 3-0 loss to Toulouse and a 3-1 defeat by Paris Saint Germain. The team has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game while scoring only 0.60. The absence of A. Bourabaa adds to their difficulties as they prepare to face a strong Marseille side.

Prediction: Marseille to Dominate

In this encounter, Marseille is well-positioned to secure a victory against Le Mans. Given their strong form and attacking prowess, the main prediction for this match is "Handicap 1: 1.5". Marseille's ability to score consistently, coupled with Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities, supports this prediction. Additionally, Marseille's momentum and higher league position bolster their chances of a decisive win at home.

Additional predictions for this match include "Win: 1", "Total Team 1: Over 1.5", "Total Team 2: Under 1.5", and "Both Teams to Score: No". Marseille's strong attack and Le Mans' struggles in front of goal suggest a one-sided affair with Marseille likely to keep a clean sheet while scoring multiple goals. These predictions align with the current form and statistics of both teams, making a Marseille victory the most probable outcome.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
80%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
SBO
Dafabet

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 23
2
Lille logoLille
10 6 3 1 21
3
Paris FC logoParis FC
10 6 2 2 20
4
Marseille logoMarseille ★
10 6 0 4 18
5
Lyon logoLyon
10 5 2 3 17
6
Nice logoNice
10 5 2 3 17
7
Monaco logoMonaco
10 4 4 2 16
8
Rennes logoRennes
10 5 1 4 16
9
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
10 4 3 3 15
10
Lorient logoLorient
10 4 3 3 15
11
Lens logoLens
10 4 1 5 13
12
Toulouse logoToulouse
10 3 4 3 13
13
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
10 3 1 6 10
14
Auxerre logoAuxerre
10 3 1 6 10
15
Le Mans logoLe Mans ★
10 1 5 4 8
16
Angers logoAngers
10 2 2 6 8
17
Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes
10 2 2 6 8
18
Le Havre logoLe Havre
10 0 2 8 2
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