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Ligue 1

Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 17.05.2026 · 19:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Referee: S. Frappart
Nantes emblem
Nantes
L
W
L
L
D
vs
– : –
17 May · 19:00
Toulouse emblem
Toulouse
W
W
D
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.86

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Nantes
45%
Draw
45%
Toulouse

Form Comparison

■ Nantes ■ Toulouse
Nantes
Toulouse
36%
Form
64%
38%
Att
62%
61%
Def
39%
34%
Poisson distribution
66%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
45%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
27.09.2025
Toulouse vs Nantes
2 — 2
27.04.2025
Nantes vs Toulouse
0 — 0
18.08.2024
Toulouse vs Nantes
0 — 0
11.02.2024
Toulouse vs Nantes
1 — 2
13.08.2023
Nantes vs Toulouse
1 — 2
14.05.2023
Toulouse vs Nantes
0 — 0
29.04.2023
Nantes vs Toulouse
1 — 5
28.08.2022
Nantes vs Toulouse
3 — 1
30.05.2021
Nantes vs Toulouse
0 — 1
27.05.2021
Toulouse vs Nantes
1 — 2

Last Matches

Nantes
Toulouse
08.05.2026
Lens vs Nantes
0 — 1
02.05.2026
Nantes vs Marseille
3 — 0
26.04.2026
Rennes vs Nantes
1 — 2
22.04.2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes
0 — 3
19.04.2026
Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29
1 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As we approach the final stages of the Ligue 1 season, a crucial encounter is set to unfold at the Stade de la Beaujoire where Nantes will host Toulouse. With Nantes fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone and Toulouse comfortably mid-table, both teams have different motivations driving them towards a positive result. The clash promises to be an intriguing contest with plenty at stake for the home side.

Nantes: Fighting for Survival

Nantes find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the league standings. Their recent form has been inconsistent, having managed to secure only one win in their last five matches. While their 3-0 victory over Marseille showcased their potential, losses to top teams like Paris Saint Germain and Lens have highlighted their struggles. At home, Nantes have been more resilient, with a record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They have averaged 1.60 goals per game at home, demonstrating an ability to perform in front of their fans. However, balancing this is their vulnerability at the back, having conceded an average of 1.00 goals. With no reported injuries or suspensions, Nantes will be fielding their best eleven in this crucial fixture.

Toulouse: Aiming for a Strong Finish

Toulouse, currently 10th in the league, have experienced a mixed bag of results lately. Their last five matches have seen them secure a win against Strasbourg and earn a draw against Monaco, but they have also suffered heavy defeats to Lille and Lens. On the road, Toulouse have shown they can be dangerous, averaging 2.00 goals per game in their last five away fixtures. However, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.80 goals. This defensive frailty could pose a challenge against a Nantes side eager to exploit such weaknesses. Like their opponents, Toulouse are fortunate to have a fully fit squad with no suspensions as they aim to finish their season on a high.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, this match is poised to be an open contest with opportunities for both sides to find the back of the net. The previous meetings between Nantes and Toulouse have often been closely contested, with three draws in their last five encounters. Given the defensive vulnerabilities displayed by both teams in recent matches, a prediction of both teams scoring seems likely. The attacking potential of Toulouse, paired with Nantes' need for points, suggests a lively encounter. Our main prediction is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" with a confidence score of 8. This is backed by the statistical trend of high-scoring matches away from home for Toulouse and Nantes' solid scoring record at home. Additionally, expect a match with goals, with markets such as "Total: Over: 2.5" and "Total: Over: 1.5" providing value.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have been scoring and conceding frequently, especially Toulouse in away games and Nantes at home.

2.86
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
1X
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Nantes vs Toulouse
Pin-UP
W12.54
X3.50
W22.54
William Hill
W12.50
X3.40
W22.50
Bet365
W12.50
X3.50
W22.50
Marathonbet
W12.62
X3.62
W22.67
Unibet
W12.48
X3.65
W22.60
Betfair
W12.63
X3.60
W22.60
BetVictor
W12.50
X3.40
W22.55
Pinnacle
W12.55
X3.63
W22.61
SBO
W12.44
X3.14
W22.49
1xBet
W12.66
X3.68
W22.72
Betano
W12.57
X3.60
W22.62
888Sport
W12.50
X3.40
W22.50
Dafabet
W12.60
X3.65
W22.65

Ligue 1 Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain
32 23 4 5 73
2
Lens logoLens
32 21 4 7 67
3
Lille logoLille
33 18 7 8 61
4
Lyon logoLyon
33 18 6 9 60
5
Rennes logoRennes
33 17 8 8 59
6
Marseille logoMarseille
33 17 5 11 56
7
Monaco logoMonaco
33 16 6 11 54
8
Strasbourg logoStrasbourg
32 13 8 11 47
9
Lorient logoLorient
33 11 12 10 45
10
Toulouse logoToulouse ★
33 12 8 13 44
11
Paris FC logoParis FC
33 10 11 12 41
12
Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 29
32 10 8 14 38
13
Angers logoAngers
33 9 8 16 35
14
Le Havre logoLe Havre
33 6 14 13 32
15
Auxerre logoAuxerre
33 7 10 16 31
16
Nice logoNice
33 7 10 16 31
17
Nantes logoNantes ★
33 5 8 20 23
18
Metz logoMetz
33 3 7 23 16
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