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Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs New York City FC Prediction

Major League Soccer 13.05.2026 · 19:15 Bank of America Stadium Referee: J. Freemon
Charlotte emblem
Charlotte
W
L
D
L
L
vs
– : –
13 May · 19:15
New York City FC emblem
New York City FC
L
D
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
42%
Charlotte
26%
Draw
32%
New York City FC

Form Comparison

■ Charlotte ■ New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
50%
Form
50%
47%
Att
53%
43%
Def
57%
69%
Poisson distribution
31%
40%
H2h
60%
36%
Goals
64%
48%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.04.2026
New York City FC vs Charlotte
1 — 2
07.11.2025
Charlotte vs New York City FC
1 — 3
01.11.2025
New York City FC vs Charlotte
0 — 0
28.10.2025
Charlotte vs New York City FC
0 — 1
20.09.2025
New York City FC vs Charlotte
2 — 0
12.07.2025
Charlotte vs New York City FC
2 — 0
27.04.2024
New York City FC vs Charlotte
2 — 1
24.02.2024
Charlotte vs New York City FC
1 — 0
05.07.2023
New York City FC vs Charlotte
1 — 1

Last Matches

Charlotte
New York City FC
16.05.2026
Charlotte vs Toronto FC
3 — 1
13.05.2026
Charlotte vs New York City FC
0 — 1
09.05.2026
Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 2
02.05.2026
New England Revolution vs Charlotte
0 — 1
28.04.2026
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC
0 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Charlotte
A. Westwood, H. Kessler, H. Toffolo
New York City FC
A. Martinez, A. O'Neill, D. Baiera, K. O'Toole, Talles Magno

Charlotte has shown resilience in their recent matches, boasting a solid defense with an average of 0.80 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Meanwhile, New York City FC comes into this match with an average of 1.40 goals scored in the same period, indicating a potential clash between Charlotte's defensive solidity and NYCFC's attacking prowess.

Form and Context

Charlotte's current form is somewhat mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly noteworthy, with two wins, two draws, and only one loss, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match while conceding 1.20. This contrasts with their away struggles, where they have only managed one win out of five. Conversely, New York City FC has been slightly more consistent, securing two wins, one draw, and two losses. They averaged 1.00 goals scored and conceded in away matches, highlighting a balanced but unpredictable away performance. Both teams are missing key players due to injuries, with Charlotte's H. Kessler and H. Toffolo sidelined, and NYCFC missing Talles Magno among others. This could influence the match dynamics significantly.

Key Numbers

In head-to-head matchups, New York City FC has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five encounters, including the last meeting where they edged out Charlotte 1-0. Charlotte has managed two wins in these encounters, suggesting that while NYCFC has been slightly more successful, Charlotte is capable of turning the tables. Goals have not been in short supply, with NYCFC scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game over their last five matches, compared to Charlotte's 1.20. The defensive records show a slight edge for Charlotte, conceding fewer goals on average. This balance of attack and defense could be a decisive factor in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends and current squad availability, the prediction leans towards a closely contested match. A draw seems plausible, supported by Charlotte's solid home defense and NYCFC's balanced away record. The most likely betting event is a "Handicap 1: 0.5", as Charlotte has been strong at home and NYCFC might struggle without some key players. This prediction is backed with a Confidence Score of 7, reflecting the tight nature of the contest. Additional betting predictions support a low-scoring affair, with "Total: Under: 2.5" having a high probability due to both teams' recent defensive performances. "X" (draw) is a strong contender as well, considering the close dynamics between the teams. "1X" is likely, given Charlotte's solid home form, and "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is plausible, with Charlotte consistently finding the net at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total: Under: 2.5
60%
X
55%
1X
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
30 16 7 7 55
2
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
30 14 9 7 51
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
30 14 9 7 51
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
30 13 9 8 48
5
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
30 13 8 9 47
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
31 12 10 9 46
7
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
30 11 9 10 42
8
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
31 10 10 11 40
9
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
30 11 6 13 39
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
30 10 6 14 36
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
30 9 7 14 34
12
San Diego logoSan Diego
30 8 10 12 34
13
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
30 8 10 12 34
14
Austin logoAustin
30 7 10 13 31
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
30 6 4 20 22
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