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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Major League Soccer 09.05.2026 · 14:30 Soldier Field Referee: A. Chapman
Chicago Fire emblem
Chicago Fire
W
W
L
L
L
vs
– : –
09 May · 14:30
New York Red Bulls emblem
New York Red Bulls
D
W
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
61%
Chicago Fire
20%
Draw
19%
New York Red Bulls

Form Comparison

■ Chicago Fire ■ New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
83%
Form
17%
63%
Att
37%
70%
Def
30%
80%
Poisson distribution
20%
62%
H2h
38%
55%
Goals
45%
69%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.07.2025
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
1 — 0
05.04.2025
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
2 — 1
14.09.2024
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 1
13.04.2024
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
0 — 0
26.01.2024
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 2
30.09.2023
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
0 — 1
29.04.2023
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
1 — 1
18.05.2022
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
3 — 3
30.04.2022
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
1 — 2

Last Matches

Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
16.05.2026
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
2 — 0
13.05.2026
DC United vs Chicago Fire
3 — 1
09.05.2026
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
1 — 3
02.05.2026
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 3
29.04.2026
Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City
1 — 2
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Chicago Fire
A. Franco, L. Barroso, R. Lod, S. Rogers
New York Red Bulls
A. Marcucci, C. Harper

Chicago Fire enters this clash with a slight edge in recent form, having secured three victories in their last five matches, notably a 2-1 triumph over Toronto FC. The Fire have been inconsistent at home, with two wins and three losses in their last five home games. Their attacking output averages 1.60 goals per game at Soldier Field, but defensively, they concede an average of 2.00 goals. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. The Red Bulls have struggled on the road, matching Fire’s inconsistency with two wins and three losses, scoring an average of 1.40 goals and conceding 2.20.

In terms of key numbers, Chicago Fire has scored an average of 1.80 goals over their last five matches while conceding 1.60, indicating a slight offensive edge over the Red Bulls, who have averaged 1.40 goals and conceded 1.80 in the same period. Head-to-head, both teams have won twice in their last five meetings, with one match ending in a draw. This parity suggests a closely contested match is on the cards. The Fire's home record against the Red Bulls stands balanced, with a recent 2-1 victory and a 1-3 loss, reflecting no clear dominance.

The prediction for this matchup hinges on defensive vulnerabilities, particularly given both teams' recent form. Chicago Fire’s defense at home, allowing 2.00 goals, coupled with Red Bulls' away defensive record, conceding 2.20 goals per match, points towards a potential goal-fest. With Chicago’s attacking potency and the Red Bulls' leaky defense, the expectation is for multiple goals. A high-scoring encounter is likely, given the teams' offensive trends and defensive frailties. The most probable outcome is a match with over 2.5 goals, driven by Chicago’s ability to find the net and Red Bulls' susceptibility to concede. This makes "Total: Over 2.5" a strong bet, with a confidence score of 7. Additionally, the possibility of a goal-heavy game is reinforced by the recent head-to-head results, which have often seen both teams scoring.

For additional predictions, consider "Total: Over 1.5" with a high probability due to both teams' recent scoring trends. Similarly, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is likely as Chicago Fire have consistently scored at home. Conversely, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" holds due to Red Bulls' ability to find the net away. Finally, "Total: Under 3.0" serves as a hedge, recognizing the possibility of goal suppression despite the attacking metrics.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
28 15 6 7 51
2
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
28 14 8 6 50
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
28 13 8 7 47
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
28 13 7 8 46
5
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
28 13 6 9 45
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
29 11 9 9 42
7
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
28 11 8 9 41
8
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
28 11 4 13 37
9
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
29 9 9 11 36
10
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
28 9 6 13 33
11
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
28 9 5 14 32
12
San Diego logoSan Diego
28 8 8 12 32
13
Austin logoAustin
28 7 10 11 31
14
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
28 7 9 12 30
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
28 6 4 18 22
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