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Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs DC United Prediction

Major League Soccer 21.10.2026 · 19:00 TQL Stadium Referee: T. Ford
FC Cincinnati emblem
FC Cincinnati
L
W
L
D
D
vs
– : –
21 Oct · 19:00
DC United emblem
DC United
L
W
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
61%
FC Cincinnati
20%
Draw
19%
DC United

Form Comparison

■ FC Cincinnati ■ DC United
FC Cincinnati
DC United
56%
Form
44%
61%
Att
39%
54%
Def
46%
60%
Poisson distribution
40%
50%
H2h
50%
42%
Goals
58%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
31.05.2025
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
1 — 2
12.04.2025
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
0 — 1
03.07.2024
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 3
10.03.2024
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0 — 0
24.06.2023
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
3 — 0
06.05.2023
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
2 — 1
09.10.2022
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 5
05.03.2022
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0 — 1
25.09.2021
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
4 — 2
31.07.2021
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0 — 0

Last Matches

FC Cincinnati
DC United
14.10.2026
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
2 — 3
10.10.2026
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati
3 — 1
26.09.2026
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
1 — 3
19.09.2026
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati
2 — 2
12.09.2026
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte
3 — 3
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

FC Cincinnati
K. Fletcher, S. Gidi
DC United
G. Segal, K. Rowles

FC Cincinnati enters this encounter with a commendable home record, winning three out of their last five matches at TQL Stadium. Their home performances have been marked by an average of 1.80 goals scored per game, while they have managed to keep their average goals conceded at just 1.00. In contrast, DC United has struggled on the road, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game while scoring just 1.40. Recent results show DC United's vulnerability away from home, evident in their 3-1 loss to Charlotte and a 3-0 defeat at home against New England Revolution.

Form and Context

FC Cincinnati's recent form displays a solid run, especially at home. With three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, they have shown resilience, particularly in their 2-0 victory over U.N.A.M. - Pumas. DC United, on the other hand, has exhibited inconsistency. Despite a spirited 2-1 victory against Toronto FC, their defensive frailties were exposed in a 3-1 loss to Charlotte and a goalless defeat against New England Revolution. Both teams have two wins each and one draw in their recent head-to-head matchups, indicating a closely contested rivalry.

Key Numbers

FC Cincinnati has scored an average of 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches, conceding just 1.00. At home, they have shown even more attacking prowess with an average of 1.80 goals scored per match. Meanwhile, DC United's defensive struggles are highlighted by their average of 2.00 goals conceded over their last five matches. In head-to-head clashes, FC Cincinnati has won two of the last five encounters, mirroring DC United's two victories, with one match ending in a draw. This parity suggests that the upcoming clash could once again be closely contested.

Prediction

Given the statistical trends, FC Cincinnati appears better poised to capitalize on their home advantage. The most likely betting event is "Handicap 1: 0.5" due to Cincinnati's superior home form and DC United's defensive vulnerabilities on the road. The probability of Cincinnati maintaining their unbeaten home streak is bolstered by their consistent scoring rate and DC United's struggle to keep clean sheets away from home. Additional betting events to consider include the likelihood of "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" based on FC Cincinnati's scoring trend and "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" due to DC United's ability to find the net in most matches. The prediction for a win or draw for Cincinnati is also reasonable, given their home form and DC United's away record.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
1X
75%
X
40%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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#TeamMPWDLPts
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Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
30 16 7 7 55
2
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
30 14 9 7 51
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
30 14 9 7 51
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
30 13 9 8 48
5
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
30 13 8 9 47
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
31 12 10 9 46
7
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
30 11 9 10 42
8
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
31 10 10 11 40
9
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
30 11 6 13 39
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
30 10 6 14 36
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
30 9 7 14 34
12
San Diego logoSan Diego
30 8 10 12 34
13
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
30 8 10 12 34
14
Austin logoAustin
30 7 10 13 31
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
30 6 4 20 22
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