Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Prediction

Major League Soccer 16.05.2026 · 23:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium Referee: V. Rivas
New York Red Bulls emblem
New York Red Bulls
D
W
W
L
L
vs
– : –
16 May · 23:30
New York City FC emblem
New York City FC
L
D
W
W
L
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 3.0
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.91

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
New York Red Bulls
45%
Draw
45%
New York City FC

Form Comparison

■ New York Red Bulls ■ New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
50%
Form
50%
56%
Att
44%
39%
Def
61%
45%
Poisson distribution
55%
20%
H2h
80%
32%
Goals
68%
40%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
29.04.2026
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 3
27.09.2025
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
2 — 3
17.05.2025
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 0
23.11.2024
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 2
28.09.2024
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 5
18.05.2024
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
2 — 1
16.09.2023
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
0 — 0
04.08.2023
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 0
13.05.2023
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 0

Last Matches

New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
16.05.2026
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 1
13.05.2026
New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
3 — 2
09.05.2026
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
3 — 1
02.05.2026
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
0 — 2
29.04.2026
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

New York Red Bulls
A. Marcucci, C. Harper, E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York City FC
A. Martinez, A. O'Neill, D. Baiera, K. O'Toole, Talles Magno

As the New York Red Bulls prepare to host New York City FC at the Sports Illustrated Stadium, fans are poised for another thrilling encounter in this heated rivalry. Scheduled for May 16th, this Major League Soccer fixture promises high stakes and intense action as both teams aim to outdo each other under the floodlights.

New York Red Bulls' Struggles and Home Fortunes

The New York Red Bulls have experienced a turbulent run of form recently, grappling with inconsistencies both at home and away. Despite an average of 2.40 goals per game at home, they have struggled to convert this into victories, as evidenced by their recent performances which include two wins and two losses in the last five home matches. Their defensive frailties have been stark, with an average of 2.40 goals conceded per game at home, contributing to their current predicament. Notably, their recent 4-4 draw with DC United showcased their attacking prowess while simultaneously highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Fortunately for the Red Bulls, they enter this match with no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup against their city rivals.

New York City FC's Away Strengths and Recent Ups and Downs

New York City FC arrives at this match with a contrasting away form, having secured three wins out of their last five away fixtures. They have been more potent on the road, averaging 2.00 goals per game, which reflects their offensive capabilities. However, their defensive record remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game while away. NYCFC's recent performances have been a mix of high-scoring draws and narrow losses, as seen in their thrilling 4-4 draw with FC Cincinnati. They boast a slight edge in the head-to-head record against the Red Bulls, with four victories in their last five encounters, including a decisive 3-1 win earlier this season. Like their opponents, NYCFC is fortunate to have no players missing due to injury or suspension, allowing them to deploy their full arsenal in this derby clash.

Prediction: A High-Scoring Showdown

Given the recent form and historical encounters between these two sides, this match is likely to be a thrilling, high-scoring affair. The Red Bulls' defensive struggles combined with NYCFC's prolific attacking away from home suggest that goals will flow freely at the Sports Illustrated Stadium. The head-to-head record supports this prediction, with their past meetings frequently resulting in high-scoring outcomes. Thus, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 3.0," given the attacking talents on display and the defensive lapses both teams have shown. This prediction is underscored by the likelihood of both teams finding the net multiple times, as they have consistently done in recent matches.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0

Both teams have shown strong attacking form and weak defenses, with recent head-to-head matches being high-scoring.

2.91
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
Pin-UP
W12.56
X3.75
W22.42
William Hill
W12.50
X3.40
W22.45
Bet365
W12.62
X3.70
W22.45
Marathonbet
W12.60
X3.58
W22.45
Unibet
W12.55
X3.65
W22.50
Betfair
W12.60
X3.60
W22.50
BetVictor
W12.60
X3.70
W22.40
Pinnacle
W12.70
X3.72
W22.54
SBO
W12.54
X3.53
W22.42
Betano
W12.65
X3.70
W22.50
Dafabet
W12.70
X3.80
W22.46

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
14 10 2 2 32
2
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
15 10 2 3 32
3
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
14 8 2 4 26
4
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
15 7 4 4 25
5
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
12 7 3 2 24
6
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
14 7 1 6 22
7
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
15 6 4 5 22
8
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
14 6 3 5 21
9
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
15 5 5 5 20
10
San Diego logoSan Diego
15 4 5 6 17
11
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
15 5 1 9 16
12
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
14 4 4 6 16
13
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
14 4 2 8 14
14
Austin logoAustin
15 3 5 7 14
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
14 3 2 9 11
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now