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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction

Major League Soccer 10.10.2026 · 13:00 BMO Field Referee: Allen Chapman
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
L
L
L
W
D
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 13:00
CF Montreal emblem
CF Montreal
W
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Toronto FC
25%
Draw
26%
CF Montreal

Form Comparison

■ Toronto FC ■ CF Montreal
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
57%
Form
43%
64%
Att
36%
38%
Def
62%
65%
Poisson distribution
35%
75%
H2h
25%
71%
Goals
29%
62%
Total
38%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.07.2026
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
0 — 0
30.08.2025
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
1 — 1
17.05.2025
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
1 — 6
30.04.2025
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2 — 2
20.07.2024
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
0 — 1
18.05.2024
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
5 — 1
20.08.2023
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2 — 3
13.05.2023
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
2 — 0
09.05.2023
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
1 — 2
04.09.2022
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
3 — 4

Last Matches

Toronto FC
CF Montreal
26.09.2026
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
0 — 2
19.09.2026
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC
1 — 3
12.09.2026
Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC
0 — 3
09.09.2026
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
2 — 1
05.09.2026
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire
4 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Toronto FC
D. Mihailovic, N. Palacio
CF Montreal
B. Ceballos, B. Hidalgo, B. Vera, D. Sealy

As the Major League Soccer season nears its conclusion, Toronto FC will host CF Montreal at BMO Field on October 10, 2026. Both teams are struggling at the bottom of the league table, with Toronto FC sitting 13th and CF Montreal in last place, making this clash an opportunity for both sides to salvage some pride.

Toronto FC's Home Resilience

Toronto FC has had a challenging season, reflected in their 13th position out of 15 in the Major League Soccer standings. With 29 points from 27 games, they find themselves in the bottom 20% of the league. Despite their overall struggles, Toronto FC has shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five home matches, with two wins and three draws. They have managed to average 2.4 goals per game at home while conceding 2.0 goals, demonstrating their ability to score but also a vulnerability in defense. Their recent 4-4 draw against Chicago Fire and a 2-1 win over top-placed Nashville SC highlight their capability to compete strongly on home turf.

CF Montreal's Road Challenges

CF Montreal, currently at the bottom of the table with 24 points, have had an equally challenging season. They have particularly struggled away from home, winning just one of their last five away matches. Their away form shows an average of 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 2.4, which has contributed to their poor position in the league standings. However, they have shown flashes of quality, such as their 3-1 victory over FC Cincinnati, which suggests they can be dangerous if underestimated. Nevertheless, their inconsistency and defensive frailty remain significant concerns as they head into this matchup against Toronto FC.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Given the recent trends and performances, the prediction for the match between Toronto FC and CF Montreal is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." Toronto FC's strong offensive record at home, paired with their defensive vulnerabilities, suggests that goals are likely from both sides. CF Montreal's inconsistent yet capable attack further supports this prediction, as they have shown they can find the net even in challenging matches.

Additional predictions for this encounter include a Draw (X), as both teams are evenly matched and struggling for form. The total goals are likely to go Over 1.5, reflecting both teams' defensive issues. Toronto FC is expected to score Over 0.5 goals, given their home scoring record. Finally, CF Montreal is also predicted to score Over 0.5 goals, aligning with the expectation of both teams finding the back of the net.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X
40%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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SBO
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Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
30 16 7 7 55
2
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
30 14 9 7 51
3
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
30 14 9 7 51
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
30 13 9 8 48
5
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
30 13 8 9 47
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
31 12 10 9 46
7
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
30 11 9 10 42
8
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
31 10 10 11 40
9
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
30 11 6 13 39
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
30 10 6 14 36
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
30 9 7 14 34
12
San Diego logoSan Diego
30 8 10 12 34
13
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
30 8 10 12 34
14
Austin logoAustin
30 7 10 13 31
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
30 6 4 20 22
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