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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs DC United Prediction

Major League Soccer 28.10.2026 · 19:30 BMO Field Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
W
D
W
L
L
vs
– : –
28 Oct · 19:30
DC United emblem
DC United
L
L
W
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Toronto FC
45%
Draw
10%
DC United

Form Comparison

■ Toronto FC ■ DC United
Toronto FC
DC United
64%
Form
36%
53%
Att
47%
61%
Def
39%
55%
Poisson distribution
45%
38%
H2h
62%
47%
Goals
53%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
25.07.2026
DC United vs Toronto FC
2 — 1
10.05.2025
Toronto FC vs DC United
2 — 0
22.02.2025
DC United vs Toronto FC
2 — 2
31.08.2024
Toronto FC vs DC United
1 — 3
01.06.2024
DC United vs Toronto FC
2 — 2
27.05.2023
Toronto FC vs DC United
2 — 1
25.02.2023
DC United vs Toronto FC
3 — 2
21.05.2022
DC United vs Toronto FC
2 — 2
19.03.2022
Toronto FC vs DC United
2 — 1
07.11.2021
Toronto FC vs DC United
1 — 3

Last Matches

Toronto FC
DC United
17.10.2026
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
2 — 0
14.10.2026
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC
3 — 3
10.10.2026
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2 — 1
26.09.2026
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
0 — 2
19.09.2026
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Toronto FC will host DC United at BMO Field in a crucial end-of-season clash in Major League Soccer. Both teams are aiming to finish the season on a high note, with Toronto FC looking to leverage their recent home strength, while DC United seeks to overcome their struggles away from home.

Toronto FC's Home Comforts

Toronto FC currently sits 10th in the Major League Soccer standings, with 36 points from 30 games. They have shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five fixtures at BMO Field, with two wins and three draws. This home form has seen them score an average of 2.40 goals per game while conceding 2.00. Despite being in the bottom 40% of the league, their recent performances include a commendable 2-1 victory over CF Montreal and a thrilling 3-3 draw with Orlando City SC. Toronto's ability to find the back of the net consistently at home could be pivotal in their match against DC United.

DC United's Away Woes

DC United is positioned 13th in the league, just a few points behind Toronto FC, with 33 points from 29 matches. Their away form has been a concern, with no victories in their last five away games, where they have conceded an average of 3.00 goals per match. DC United's recent results include a heavy 4-1 loss to Orlando City SC and a 4-0 defeat against Inter Miami. Despite these setbacks, they managed a spirited 3-3 draw with Vancouver Whitecaps on the road, showcasing their potential to score. However, their defensive frailties away from home could pose significant challenges against a Toronto side that performs well at BMO Field.

Prediction for a Home Win

In this matchup, the prediction leans towards a home win for Toronto FC, given their solid performances at BMO Field and DC United's struggles on the road. Toronto's ability to score consistently and DC United's defensive vulnerabilities suggest that the home team has the upper hand.

Main prediction: Handicap 1: 0.5. Toronto's unbeaten home form and DC United's poor away record make a strong case for Toronto to secure at least a narrow victory.

Additional predictions include Both Teams to Score: Yes due to both teams' recent scoring patterns, Total: Over 2.5 as Toronto's home games often see high goal totals, Total Team 1: Over 1.5 considering Toronto's scoring rate at home, and Double Chance: 1X to account for Toronto's home resilience and DC United's struggles away.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
1X
80%

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
31 16 7 8 55
2
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
31 15 9 7 54
3
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
31 14 9 8 51
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
31 13 9 9 48
5
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
31 13 9 9 48
6
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
31 12 10 9 46
7
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
31 11 10 10 43
8
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
31 12 6 13 42
9
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
31 10 10 11 40
10
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
31 11 6 14 39
11
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
31 10 7 14 37
12
San Diego logoSan Diego
31 8 11 12 35
13
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
31 8 11 12 35
14
Austin logoAustin
31 8 10 13 34
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
31 6 4 21 22
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