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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction

Major League Soccer 29.08.2026 · 19:30 BMO Field Referee: R. Touchan
Toronto FC emblem
Toronto FC
W
D
W
D
L
vs
– : –
29 Aug · 19:30
New York City FC emblem
New York City FC
L
L
L
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Toronto FC
45%
Draw
45%
New York City FC

Form Comparison

■ Toronto FC ■ New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
46%
Form
54%
44%
Att
56%
53%
Def
47%
48%
Poisson distribution
52%
7%
H2h
93%
33%
Goals
67%
39%
Total
62%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
31.07.2026
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
1 — 1
03.07.2025
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
3 — 1
26.04.2025
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
0 — 1
11.05.2024
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
2 — 3
16.03.2024
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
2 — 1
24.09.2023
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
3 — 0
26.07.2023
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
5 — 0
29.04.2023
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
1 — 0
24.04.2022
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
5 — 4
02.04.2022
Toronto FC vs New York City FC
2 — 1

Last Matches

Toronto FC
New York City FC
22.08.2026
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
2 — 1
19.08.2026
Toronto FC vs Charlotte
3 — 3
15.08.2026
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
2 — 1
31.07.2026
New York City FC vs Toronto FC
1 — 1
25.07.2026
DC United vs Toronto FC
1 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Toronto FC's recent outings have been marked by a balanced goal tally, both scoring and conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match over their last five games. Meanwhile, New York City FC (NYCFC) has experienced a dip in form, with a higher average of 1.80 goals conceded per match in the same period. This matchup at BMO Field promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides looking to overturn recent struggles.

Toronto's form has shown glimpses of promise, especially at home, where they have scored an average of 1.80 goals in their last five matches. Despite this, their defensive record remains a concern, with an average of 2.40 goals conceded per home game. NYCFC, on the other hand, has found life on the road challenging, losing four of their last five away fixtures, scoring just 1.00 goal per match while conceding 1.60 on average. Neither team has listed injuries or suspensions, ensuring full-strength squads.

The goal-scoring stats suggest potential fireworks. Toronto's home matches have been high-scoring affairs, with a combined average of 4.20 goals per game. NYCFC's away form, however, has been less prolific, though they have managed to score in all but one of their recent outings. Historically, NYCFC has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last five, including two victories in Toronto. Their most recent clash ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely fought contest might be on the cards.

Predicting the outcome of this fixture involves assessing both teams' tendencies and recent performances. Given the defensive vulnerabilities and scoring capabilities of both sides, a high-scoring draw appears to be the most likely scenario. Toronto's inability to capitalize on home advantage consistently and NYCFC's struggles on the road suggest neither team will dominate. While NYCFC has had the better of previous encounters, their current form does not inspire confidence for an outright win. The prediction leans towards a score draw, with both teams finding the net due to their respective defensive frailties. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by Toronto's high-scoring home games and NYCFC's history of conceding on the road.

The main betting event identified is "X" (draw), with a confidence score of 7. While Toronto has been able to score more freely at home, NYCFC's head-to-head advantage cannot be overlooked. For additional predictions, the "Total:Over: 1.5" market has a high probability, given both teams' scoring trends. The "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is another likely outcome, with Toronto's home scoring record. Similarly, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" reflects NYCFC's ability to score, despite their general away struggles. Lastly, "X2" is a viable market considering NYCFC's historical dominance over Toronto.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
X2
70%

Major League Soccer Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps logoVancouver Whitecaps
20 12 4 4 40
2
Houston Dynamo logoHouston Dynamo
21 12 2 7 38
3
Los Angeles FC logoLos Angeles FC
22 10 5 7 35
4
San Jose Earthquakes logoSan Jose Earthquakes
21 10 3 8 33
5
FC Dallas logoFC Dallas
21 9 6 6 33
6
St. Louis City logoSt. Louis City
21 9 6 6 33
7
Colorado Rapids logoColorado Rapids
21 9 1 11 28
8
Real Salt Lake logoReal Salt Lake
20 8 4 8 28
9
Portland Timbers logoPortland Timbers
21 8 4 9 28
10
Minnesota United FC logoMinnesota United FC
21 7 7 7 28
11
San Diego logoSan Diego
21 7 6 8 27
12
Los Angeles Galaxy logoLos Angeles Galaxy
22 6 8 8 26
13
Seattle Sounders logoSeattle Sounders
20 7 4 9 25
14
Austin logoAustin
21 5 6 10 21
15
Sporting Kansas City logoSporting Kansas City
20 4 3 13 15
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