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Premyer Liqa

Neftchi Baku VS Safa Baku: Final Score & Prediction

Premyer Liqa 05.09.2026 · 12:30 Palms Sports Arena Referee: A. Aghayev
Neftchi Baku emblem
Neftchi Baku
L
W
W
W
L
Full Time
4 – 1
HT 1:0
05 Sep · 12:30
Safa Baku emblem
Safa Baku
L
W
L

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
R. AbbasovGoal
35'
B. SambouSubstitution · F. Vargas
46'
46'
O. DiawSubstitution · D. Mertens
46'
B. DansokoSubstitution · T. Fuller
48'
M. MusayevGoal
59'
Luis FelipeYellow Card
63'
Luis FelipeSubstitution · N. Aliyev
A. SkribekGoal
64'
A. SkribekGoal
66'
I. MathewSubstitution · E. Safarov
68'
E. MahmudovSubstitution · Gustavo Klismahn
69'
77'
F. YusifliSubstitution · R. Huseynli
Breno AlmeidaGoal (Penalty)
79'
Gustavo KlismahnYellow Card
80'
A. SkribekSubstitution · V. Sevelj
81'
Breno AlmeidaSubstitution · D. Savic
84'

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
73%
Neftchi Baku
19%
Draw
8%
Safa Baku

Form Comparison

■ Neftchi Baku ■ Safa Baku
Neftchi Baku
Safa Baku
67%
Form
33%
89%
Att
11%
60%
Def
40%
100%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
0%
0%
Goals
0%
72%
Total
28%

Last Matches

Neftchi Baku
Safa Baku
30.08.2026
Zira vs Neftchi Baku
0 — 1
23.08.2026
Neftchi Baku vs Araz
5 — 0
16.08.2026
Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku
3 — 1
30.07.2026
Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku
1 — 0
22.07.2026
Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk
2 — 4
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Neftchi Baku's impressive recent form is underscored by their commanding 5-0 victory over Araz, a match that highlights their attacking prowess. Neftchi currently sits atop the league, having accumulated a string of strong performances, winning four of their last five matches. In contrast, Safa Baku, positioned sixth on the table, has struggled to find consistency, with a mixed bag of results culminating in a narrow 1-0 win against Qabala. The upcoming clash at the Palms Sports Arena promises to be a compelling encounter between these two Baku-based sides, each with differing fortunes this season.

Neftchi Baku's recent form demonstrates their dominance, particularly in attack. They have scored an average of 2.20 goals per game over their last five fixtures, showcasing their ability to find the net with regularity. However, their home form is less convincing, with just one win in their last five home matches and an average of 1.75 goals conceded per game. Safa Baku, meanwhile, has been less prolific in front of goal, managing only 0.50 goals per match over their last five outings. Their away form is similarly challenging, with only one win and an average of one goal conceded per game. Despite these struggles, Safa Baku's recent victory against Qabala could provide a much-needed confidence boost.

Statistically, Neftchi Baku has outperformed Safa Baku in almost every metric. Neftchi has scored significantly more goals, both overall and at home, while also maintaining a tighter defense, particularly in away matches where they have conceded only 0.50 goals on average. Without any head-to-head data available, the focus remains on current form and statistical output. Neftchi Baku's home advantage could be tempered by their inconsistent results at Palms Sports Arena, but their superior goal-scoring capability remains a clear threat to Safa Baku.

The prediction for this match leans heavily in favor of Neftchi Baku, given their superior league position, recent form, and scoring statistics. A potential betting event could be Neftchi Baku to win with a clean sheet, supported by Safa Baku's low goal-scoring rate and Neftchi's relatively strong defensive performance in away matches. This scenario is bolstered by Safa Baku's recent struggles to score, particularly in away games. Additional betting events that could provide interest include a Neftchi Baku win, given their strong form, and a low total goals count, reflecting Safa Baku's scoring difficulties. With both teams having no injuries or suspensions, squad depth should not play a pivotal role in the outcome.

In conclusion, while Neftchi Baku appears to possess the upper hand in this matchup, Safa Baku's potential to disrupt their opponent's rhythm cannot be entirely discounted. The battle between Neftchi's attacking flair and Safa's defensive resilience will likely define the match, with Neftchi Baku expected to capitalize on their current momentum.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
55%
Handicap 1: 1
50%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Neftchi Baku vs Safa Baku
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sabah FA logoSabah FA
3 3 0 0 9
2
Zira logoZira
4 3 0 1 9
3
Qarabag logoQarabag
3 3 0 0 9
4
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku ★
4 3 0 1 9
5
Turan logoTuran
4 2 1 1 7
6
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
4 1 2 1 5
7
Qabala logoQabala
4 1 1 2 4
8
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
4 1 1 2 4
9
Kapaz logoKapaz
3 1 0 2 3
10
Safa Baku logoSafa Baku ★
4 1 0 3 3
11
Araz logoAraz
4 0 1 3 1
12
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt
3 0 0 3 0
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